Protector - exceptional Norwegian insurance company

Alright, the preliminary growth figures for 2025 and the Jan 1, 2026 gross written premium growth figures have been released, which are very significant for the full year’s growth (approx. one-third). In about every third of Prote’s insurance contracts, the policy period is the calendar year, and thus Jan 1 is the first day of the period.

2025 GWP growth is 14% in local currencies, which I think is a solid level compared to Prote’s history. In contrast, the Jan 1 growth is an outstanding 25%, of which the French market, opened in 2025, accounts for 47%!!! :rocket: :rocket: :rocket: This means they have really won over clients there. Hopefully, more information regarding French profitability will be available in next week’s earnings release.

Based on these figures, I updated my tables a bit, and the base case gives a target price of 620-650 with a P/E of 17.5, depending slightly on the development of investment assets, for which there will be more info next week. I’ll publish the updated table then. It might also be worth considering whether a P/E of 17.5 is too conservative a valuation, given the growth, ROE, and track record.

Edit. Corrected an error regarding the January 1st share of the full year’s growth.

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