eQ Plc has absolutely always been my favorite stock on the Helsinki Stock Exchange, although incredibly tragically it has never made it into my portfolio.
I ended up choosing the company as my stockbroker in the 2000s because its user interface was ahead of its time and clearly the best in Finland. Unfortunately, at some point, they ended up being owned by Icelandic raiders.
The Icelanders’ shenanigans, of course, eventually failed to withstand economic realities, so in one of the biggest injustices in Finnish stock market history, eQ Bank was then sold to Nordnet, along with its Finnish customers (including myself).
Fortunately, the Icelanders’ crazy leverage games couldn’t completely destroy the company, even though the most interesting part was sold, and the asset management business was successfully merged back onto the stock exchange through Amanda Capital.
Of course, I didn’t buy the company because they no longer had brokerage operations, and stock investing was extremely hated at the time, and it would also seem crazy to own an asset manager if/when the Eurozone falls apart. The share price was just under two euros.
Sometime in 2013, it became clear that the Eurozone would survive, but stocks and investing were still largely shunned by the public, and the share price had already surged well over two euros, so it was wiser to wait for a dip to get in with a good margin of safety.
In 2015, the share price had already surged over five euros, which was starting to be seen as a deserved rise as it became clear to the market that eQ is one of Finland’s best asset management companies. But who would be crazy enough to buy this at five euros?!?
In 2017, serious threats began to emerge in the global economy as Donald Trump became president and the Fed raised interest rates in a truly frightening way. Rate hikes are always followed by a big crash, so now would be an especially bad time to buy a foolish eight-euro eQ stock!
In 2019, I almost lost my mind, as buying a cyclical stock after a long boom simply cannot be anything other than an investment mistake, and the stock market had to crash soon, right? Didn’t it? The bubble of everything and endless quantitative easing would surely have to come to an end someday, at which point cyclical asset managers like the twelve-euro bubble-eQ would inevitably fall back to buying prices as stock prices correct sharply towards the historical Shiller P/E!
In March 2020, eQ stock dipped back to eleven euros. A ridiculously high price for a cyclical asset manager, while a pandemic destroys the global economy.
In 2021, eQ’s stock broke thirty euros for the first time. THIRTY EUROS! Almost tripled from the pandemic lows, and the market capitalization exceeded one billion euros for the first time. I prayed that this stock would someday fall back to twenty euros so I could get on board with one of Finland’s best stocks, which will clearly win the Finnish asset management sector and generate incredible returns for its owners year after year.
In 2022, eQ’s price returned to around twenty euros. However, I did not buy the stock, because a big recession is coming soon, and central banks will start raising interest rates and sucking money out of the markets, so why on earth buy a cyclical asset management company in such a market? For now, I will wait for the next economic Armageddon, and by then, when other investors get their just deserts, depending on whether leverage has been used or not, I promise to fill my portfolio with as much eQ goodness as it can hold 