Betting competition: Remedy's closing price 30.12.2019

Dear forum members,

In honor of the start of the stock market year, it’s time to announce a prediction competition: guess the closing price of Remedy Entertainment Oyj on December 31, 2019.

I chose Remedy as the subject because the company has generated significant interest on the forum (discussion here). Furthermore, the stage of the company’s strategy implementation is an exciting one for organizing this competition this year.

The competition closes on January 31, 2019, at 12:00 PM, at which point the thread will be locked. Participate by writing your best estimate of the closing price on that day in this thread.

According to the forum host, Evangelist Pulkkinen, “There might be something extra available at the end of the year,” meaning Inderes will provide and distribute any prizes as it sees fit.

Good luck and success to all!

Edit: I ask participants to write only one message in this thread per person. If necessary, you can edit your message until January 31, 2019. This practice will make it easier to review the results. Thank you :slight_smile:

1 Like

I’ll have to think carefully about what to answer here, as Remedy is not on my watch list. I’ll have to do a quick analysis and post the answer here before that day. I’d like an Inderes t-shirt please :upside_down_face:

Or premium for a year

3 Likes

My guess:

The share price on 31.12.2019 will be €9.60.

Assumptions:

  • Control will be released in Q4, and profits from the game will only be fully recognized in Q1/2020.
  • Good professional Metacritic reviews for the game (avg. 82/100) will drive the share price up by the end of the year.
  • Total sales of Control will reach 2.7 million units by the end of H1/2020.
  • The Crossfire HD project will deliver a positive surprise during 2019.

I will update my guess if new information emerges in January :slight_smile:

The rate on 31.12.2019 is €11.72.

Control will be released in Q3 and sell over 2.5 million by the end of the year. In addition, Crossfire HD is expected to generate more pleasant royalties.

2 Likes

€12.21

Let’s say 11,23€ off the top of my head.

Since people seem quite optimistic, let’s add one more pessimistic view to the thread.

€6.50.

My guess is 10€

€8.88

9.02€

€7.8

The good reviews and promising sales of Control, which will be available for the Christmas market, will increase its value, but for the most part, this will not materialize until early 2020. Therefore, I predict that the stock price will rise to 9.35 euros by the end of 2019/2020 and continue to rise at least slightly even after that.

1 Like

Control will be distributed in Q3, but sales won’t be a hit. Stock price 6€.

14.28e

Control will be released in late autumn and will do well in reviews and Christmas sales. This would already be reflected in the year-end price, so let’s optimistically guess 16.31 :roll_eyes:

Let’s go way over the others. Exactly €20!

1 Like

14.25€

10.66

11.05

€10.50

Assumptions for an optimistic forecast:

  • Control performs slightly better than market expectations
  • Remedy publishes information about its game projects, which receive a positive reception
  • Improved visibility slightly increases the company’s valuation multiples
1 Like