Investing in the megatrend of meat alternative proteins

In my opinion, it’s quite clear that there’s a shift happening in food production from animal proteins to plant-based ones. The latter are not only more ecological, but soon, more importantly, also cheaper protein sources for consumers. In investment discussions, it seems that this megatrend has been missed, certainly partly because most people interested in investing are meat-eating guys like me. But if one wants to benefit financially from this change, what should one start investing in? Beyond Meat, of course, but what else?

Edit: I changed the title to refer to all meat substitutes, not just plant-based proteins, because other alternative protein sources naturally fall under this trend as well.

5 Likes

What was the SPAC for Tattooed Chef then?

Tattooed Chef seems like an interesting option; it looks like there’s quite a bit of discussion about it on the forum. It appears to focus on the ready-meal segment, specifically the premium end of it.

I’m interested in this topic!

Unfortunately, I don’t have much knowledge about companies in this field, so I’ll follow the discussion.

In my own life and among my friends, this trend has been strongly reflected in our consumer choices as alternatives have increased. I don’t know how much of a bubble I live in, though. :slight_smile:

1 Like

At home, we eat Quorn (mycoprotein), Oumph! (soy), soy mince and strips, Boltsi, tofu, my wife likes Beyond Meat, but I’m not convinced. Pulled oats..

Oumph! is the best in my opinion.

2 Likes

At least my interpretation is that in the past couple of years, the quality of plant proteins has advanced so rapidly that within 10 years, there will be no other reason to use “real meat” for sausages and other processed meat products than the associated premium status. However, I would imagine that at that point, the profit margins from using plant proteins will be significantly smaller than with these early-stage, more segmented products.

2 Likes

Apetit. High-quality plant-based products, strong balance sheet, and a turnaround finally happening.

2 Likes

I would certainly follow this thread with interest if a discussion arises on the topic. In a relatively short time, however, ecological factors, combined with health disadvantages, have turned plant-based food into a kind of “health and responsibility trend.” This, in my opinion, is a good sign for investors, as these factors are much stronger than merely the ethical side of the issue, which plant-based eating seemed to rely on more in the past. Nowadays, products like Härkis and Mifu have gained a lot of visibility, and new creations similar to Härkis will surely increase.

If meat consumption is to be reduced, plant-based foods must also appeal to the “meat-eating-guy” sector. Honestly, some plant-based sausages, pulled oats, pulled jackfruit, etc., are starting to be very close in taste to what the “original” meat solutions are, as mentioned earlier in the thread. On the image side, when more options and diversity emerge, there’s a good chance that plant-based food will grow in popularity, and people will “dare” to try it more openly.

I haven’t invested in companies like Beyond Meat or Tattooed Chef, however, because this doesn’t quite represent my own view of what “optimal” food might be, and I would want a longer-term investment to align more with my own views. What makes this interesting for me, however, is that I cannot deny that such products could have investment potential if the plant-based food trend only strengthens—which I consider a good thing. This year, we’ve seen again what eating a bat can potentially cause :sweat_smile:

For a large part of people, food should primarily taste good, and in addition, to some extent, also be “healthy” according to current understanding. Plant-based protein solutions, in my opinion, are in a good light in this regard, as many generally perceive plant-based food as a healthier option, and by seasoning and processing it, it can be made quite easily into very different tastes as needed. When studies (and especially news) focus a lot on “red meat vs. plant-based alternatives” nowadays, it’s quite expected that plant-based alternatives will end up in a better light.

The effect of food on health is extensively researched, and in my own way, I trust that in the long run, essential factors will be found, and people’s awareness will increase regarding what food works best as “fuel for the human body” and which direction should be invested in. This makes me a little cautious, as, for example, margarine was initially a “brilliant” solution when a plant-based spread was invented. Nowadays, however, we know that artificially hardened vegetable oils are not healthy, and people still can’t decide whether regular butter is ultimately healthy or not :no_mouth:

From this perspective, heavily processed plant-protein products (in the category “wanting to make Christmas ham without ham”) might be a better solution compared to meat, but with a high risk of also being viewed negatively at some point. Similarly, another area where I might “stir up a hornet’s nest” is the freshness of food. Preserved, pre-cooked, long-standing in packaging, etc., food does not function in the human body in the same way as raw/fresh food. I believe that at some point, stronger links between poorly digestible food/stressed digestive system and various chronic diseases and malabsorption disorders will be found.

I would summarize the foregoing as follows:

  • In the long term (which is, however, difficult to estimate chronologically), there is a danger that research will cast processed ready-meals, including plant-based foods, in a bad light, and this could create a distinct risk if investing in a plant-protein manufacturer over the longer term.

  • In the shorter term, there could be a lot of potential if plant-based food becomes more widespread and is favored at many different levels, and if a tasty plant-based food option is sought for as many people as possible. It is also realistic that there will always be users for ready-meals, no matter how strong a “freshness trend” hits.

  • If, for example, Apetit as a company generally appeals, one could get a piece of the pie somewhat more diversely, provided that the company invests well in the plant-based side and has good prerequisites to be a popular manufacturer in this field. I would guess that these individual Beyond Meat, Härkis, etc., will, of course, continue to emerge, and they can especially yield good returns if one is up to date on where things are going.

  • Companies that could, in addition to diverse plant-based food, offer solutions on how food can be easily obtained relatively locally and fresh for consumers, would be much more interesting targets for me. However, I don’t know if such a train will come. It might be more realistic to find a company whose product strongly enters people’s consciousness and at the same time encourages a shift to plant-based food.

In my long message, I didn’t necessarily offer potential individual companies, related figures, or information about what might be invented next in the laboratory (someone even mentioned hydrogen in this context :sweat_smile:). I haven’t honestly researched this type of company, although I find it interesting to follow generally what’s happening in this field. However, I presented my own perspective in case someone wants to reflect it against their own vision on this topic. :slightly_smiling_face:

7 Likes

Apetit should be in an excellent position to benefit from such a change in the food market. I’m not entirely sure that the company has fully grasped the situation. They have products, but plant-based proteins don’t seem to have a special role in their strategy or communication. Perhaps Berner, for example, would be interested in shifting focus in this direction?

Verso Foods, the maker of Härkis, whose owner is Kavli, would be an interesting target, but it is wholly owned by a foundation.

One opportunity to participate in this megatrend can be found on the First North list. Fodelia Oyj acquired Beofood Oy last December. The goal of the acquisition was to gain expertise in manufacturing plant-based products, and the merger of Beofood and Feelia is underway. In the H1 presentation, CEO Mikko Tahkola highlighted ongoing product development in various plant-meat combination dishes, suitable for the growing flexitarian diet. At the same time, the portfolio gains Real Snacks, which manufactures snacks, with vegan oat snacks playing a big role in its own branded products.

4 Likes

I would start by discussing all meat-replacing proteins, not just plant-based ones. These include nutritional yeasts, fungal protein (fungi are not plants), insects, synthetic proteins, Mifu (milk protein-based product), and cultivated meat. I see all of these falling under the same mega-trend, even if not all of them are suitable for the strictest vegans.

2 Likes

Good point, I also changed the title!

3 Likes

An interesting topic, at least in my opinion. I’ve been pondering this topic quite a lot due to my lifestyle, and perhaps that’s why my “thought process” has become a bit tangled. The quality of products has improved significantly in recent years, or perhaps the quality has been at the same level for longer, but only now are products available (with increasing demand) even in smaller towns, and the selection has grown due to environmental awareness, animal rights, etc.

Beyond Meat’s situation looks very worrying to me, at least, if I had invested in it. Over a year ago, it was soaring, and there were constant news about new partnerships. The most famous partner was McDonald’s, which included Beyond burgers on its menu in certain restaurants. Now, it just looks like many of these partnerships haven’t really amounted to anything. The most recent positive news came a couple of weeks ago when BYND announced it would start selling directly to households in the US through its online store. This feels like a questionable turn, as investors’ hope was previously that these would be sold through retail with high margins worldwide, leveraging partners’ networks.

I believe that food culture will change, and meat consumption will become completely secondary, like paintings or looms. However, it will take time, and it’s difficult to see any single company emerging as a winner from this, unless some hipster-tattooed-chef-JamieOliver manages to concoct some cult based on their own plant-based product family, where people buy products exclusively with their face on them through an online store. In such a case, we’re talking about relatively marginal but profitable players.

One should not expect a premium product from vegetable protein, or from any plant-based product in general. They are easy and cheap to produce compared to animal-based products, meaning they are bulk products. Of course, markets etc. try to bake in a vegan premium or similar into these. Yet, semi-free soy has been used to fatten livestock until now, and that soy is still semi-free even when offered to humans.

Except for production costs, soy is also completely superior in terms of storage costs. Dried pressed soy can be made into sausages, steaks, minced meat, etc. It contains no liquid, so it stores for years ready for use and is easy to transport and store. If desired, it can be pre-prepared and processed (like Oumph!), but also sold as such to households.

It is therefore almost certain that the margin cannot be maintained.

Of course, a brand can have pricing power, but I wouldn’t swallow it whole.

5 Likes

That’s how it is. Having actively consumed these products for a few years (alongside meat and fish), one can definitely notice that prices gradually drop as the selection increases.

1 Like

I’ve been looking into Fodelia. Indeed, perhaps more strongly than with Appetit, the meat=>vegetable shift is visible in discussions and quite concretely in business development (though not in strategy). Regarding veggie snacks, there’s also international growth potential; I’d think the chance for a bigger breakthrough is in that department rather than in online food retail.

It’s also important to remember the old, tough global players. For example, Nestle states in its half-year report “… Vegetarian and plant-based food products grew by 40%, supported by further expansion of Garden Gourmet in Europe and increased growth for Sweet Earth in the United States.” Similarly, a large part of Kellogg’s North American growth appears to come from the sales of its MorningStarFarms vegetarian food brand.

1 Like

Just for a laugh. My dear wife bought some Plant Balls that looked like meatballs from Ikea, and I swear they tasted just as much like real meatballs as Ikea’s meatballs, you can’t tell the difference between the two…!

1 Like

I don’t quite answer the thread’s title, but the transformation of agriculture to low-emission practices could favor vertical farming/indoor gardening companies.

One company in the field is AeroGrow.

1 Like

Meatless meat, fishless fish, chickenless chicken? Is this the future of our food production? Is the biotechnological food revolution the way we save the planet and feed the hungry?

Journalist Juho-Pekka Rantala discusses with Lauri Reuter, Doctor of Biotechnology and food innovator, and Pasi Vainikka, CEO of Solar Foods.

Listen to Mikä maksaa? (What’s the cost?) on Yle Areena: Ruokavallankumous on tulossa | Mikä maksaa? | Yle Areena

Listening recommendation :+1: