Inderes Coffee Room (Part 3)

Thanks for the interesting data compilation :+1:

For me, this data raised more thoughts about the rather divided nature of the group:

The first group consists of those who demand both the realization (if not exceeding) of high earnings expectations AND the continuation of an excellent market sentiment. For example, Qt’s earnings should almost double and Efecte’s almost quadruple, yet the multipliers are still very high even for next year. These stories cannot have major (if any) wrinkles, or significant declines will be seen.

price 15.9.21 change (%) cap, Me ev, Me ev/s21 ttm-p/e p/e21 p/e22
Admicom 93.7 402 461 446 18 61 52 44
Efecte 15.7 180 97 91 5.3 218 276 74
Fodelia 7.84 57 68 1.8 140 45 24
LeadDesk 22.9 122 123 4.8 79 58
Musti 34.06 1142 1260 3.6 49 50 41
Optomed 11.55 160 10
Qt 159 1803 3987 3990 32 188 172 92
Remedy 40.75 428 532 476 10 49 43 46
Revenio 60.55 281 1615 1630 20 93 81 59
Talenom 14.32 412 637 665 8.2 60 56 42

Then there is the second (larger) group, which in my opinion does not look particularly expensive, let alone bubble-priced. Of course, these also require the continuation of the current (good) earnings development. However, this year’s valuations are “only” 15-30, meaning no unreasonable excesses. I would even see clear upside potential in these if forecasts are met, as many P/E ratios for next year at current prices are even low (e.g. Glaston 11, Solteq 14 etc.).

price 15.9.21 change (%) cap, Me ev, Me ev/s21 ttm-p/e p/e21 p/e22
Boreo 73.8 854 193 226 1.6 38 30 23
Fondia 7.22 -48 28 24 1.1 51 25 16
Glaston 1.19 -27 99 121 0.7 23 11
Gofore 20.3 118 305 289 2.8 35 27 25
Harvia 50.8 764 946 988 5.4 34 27 22
Incap 50.6 739 296 302 1.9 19 17 15
Kamux 13.28 105 530 608 0.6 23 22 19
Marimekko 67.9 271 550 549 3.6 27 25 26
Nurminen 1.18 198 90 126 0.9 15 17
Orthex 10.66 189 217 2.3 47 19 16
Rapala 9.36 165 360 396 1.5 12 16 15
Relais 24.6 439 518 2.2 50 21 18
Scanfil 8.06 72 519 549 0.8 16 15 14
Sitowise 8.06 283 315 1.8 45 24 18
Solteq 5.6 293 108 133 1.8 23 17 14
Solwers 7.4 62 1.3 26 20
Tecnotree 1.23 2137 385 395 5.7 21 21 16
Tokmanni 22.44 205 1321 1670 1.4 17 16 15
Verkkokauppa 8.21 83 370 372 0.6 22 21 19

This was a very quick and rough division, and for individual companies, one might question whether some of those in group 2 should have been moved to group 1 (e.g. Boreo, Marimekko, Harvia or Gofore), but it doesn’t change the overall picture that, in my opinion, small companies still offer good potential investment cases despite the strong rally in recent years.

47 Likes