Bittium. What thoughts?

The journey to this point. I practically cannot comment on the current view here / in the video separately, so I won’t take a stand on it. It would be problematic to anticipate possible future changes here for the “insiders”.

A bit the same boring answer as before. We’ll see.

This was a way to comment on different views, brought up by @Verneri_Pulkkinen. If you read the reports, these come through quite well. Many, of course, only look at recommendations, so here are quotes from previous reports:

Previous report (Q3’25) end of valuation section: “…we remain neutral, even though the stock’s valuation multiples are somewhat alarming.” Of course, the report’s title was also “Let’s see Indra before drawing major conclusions”.

CMD update end of valuation section: “In practice, the targets must be met in the coming years, preferably exceeded, for the stock to still have a good return expectation. This is possible with strong tailwinds, but the valuation is already in the red.”

Q2’25 report end of valuation section: “However, we believe long-term investors can hold onto their shares and see what kind of performance Bittium ultimately achieves.”

When using analysis reports, one should always try to look behind the view. I would always pay attention to the “conviction” level (I apologize, I couldn’t come up with a Finnish term for it now). We have considered whether this could be brought directly into the report, but for now, it comes through in the text.

A ‘Hold’ recommendation has its pros, and these have indeed been considered often over the years. In this case, I think it would have been good, but it’s easy to say that in hindsight :wink: These matters are, however, decided by the management of the Research business.

Hope this clarified!

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Here’s a link to today’s updated analysis, interesting reading.

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IMUGS2 has now been confirmed for Bittium, and it sounds good to be involved; one would think it supports businesses now and in the future.

The iMUGS2 project builds upon the achievements of the iMUGS project and strengthens Europe’s autonomy and robotics capabilities by developing a scalable, interoperable, and secure system-of-systems architecture for both unmanned and manned platforms. The project enhances Europe’s technological independence in key defense areas such as AI-based autonomy, system integration, data transfer, and command and control systems.

In the project, Bittium is responsible for the entire system’s data transfer, utilizing both tactical and commercial technologies and networks. Bittium’s solution seamlessly supports the cooperation and command of different branches of service and defense forces, as well as unmanned systems and troops, and the production and sharing of situational awareness in challenging battlefield conditions.

The iMUGS2 project has a duration of 36 months and a total value of 55 million euros, of which Bittium’s share is approximately 2.35 million euros.

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Bittium participates in delegation

https://defmin.fi/en/-/permanent-secretary-pulkkinen-and-finnish-business-delegation-to-visit-allied-command-transformation

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This news is likely very strongly related to Bittium.

“– The command and control system unit would offer an opportunity for the development of compatibility between Finland’s national and NATO command and control system services, states Minister of Defence Häkkänen in a press release from the Ministry of Defence”

“The press release states that the task of the command and control system unit would be to produce telecommunications and information system services to support the command of NATO forces and leadership in Finland and, if necessary, throughout the entire alliance.”

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Hi @Karoliina_Malmi & Bittium

Could you comment on the current production situation? According to recent newspaper articles, the CEO commented that production was currently churning out devices almost around the clock. Was this just a temporary situation or a longer-term trend? Additionally, it would be interesting to know who the deliveries are currently being made to, as no new disclosure threshold for deals has been crossed for a long time. In the summer, there was an announcement about a couple of million deal and the Boston announcement.

Investors would certainly also be interested in the situation in Spain, are we still on schedule? (To be announced this year)

And the situation in Austria currently? I’m under the impression that something should have been heard during the autumn, what’s the situation there now?

Furthermore, there’s interest in communication regarding the Finnish Defence Forces (PV), now that new partnership agreements are in force. Does the Finnish Defence Forces (PV) now order equipment under the agreement without a disclosure obligation, even if it’s a larger order (e.g., +5 million)?

My interest in these matters has arisen mainly because quite significant investments were made in CMD, and since then, there hasn’t been a single DEAL announcement.

Thanks in advance!

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It’s puzzling how quiet it is on the channel, even though the share price is climbing towards the sky and no one has to argue for or against slightly lower target prices derived from analysis. Is everyone frozen with anticipation about what kind of order will pop up, or even a full-blown takeover bid? By Christmas, it’s served up :sparkles::sparkles: and then we can, in the traditional way, state again that it’s going cheap, even though the target prices were whatever they were.

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Hi @Takamettien_mekataht

Thank you for your questions. The latest situation update can be found in our Q3 release, which was published at the end of October. Regarding Spain, negotiations with Indra have progressed well, but it is impossible to estimate the closing schedule of the negotiations with certainty that it will hold. The matter will be communicated when the negotiations are concluded. The same applies to all possible new deals or agreements. The partnership agreement with the Defence Forces does not fundamentally affect our communication – significant deals and agreements will be announced via a stock exchange release, and smaller ones via a press release, as before.

We have increased investments to ensure delivery capability, both in our own production and with manufacturing partners. The manufacturing of Bittium’s products is partly outsourced to partners – which both enables easier scalability and keeps our balance sheet lighter in that respect. Our own production involves the final assembly and testing of products, and the team now operates in two and, if necessary, three shifts. This allows us to prepare for product deliveries in advance, which shortens the time it takes for us to deliver products to our customers. The orders we announce are often multi-year, and the ordered products are delivered according to the agreed schedule. In other words, product deliveries are continuously made to both our domestic and international customers.

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A familiar name flashes at the F-35 unveiling event. Time: 27:22

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We’re finally getting some procurement news from the defense forces, even though Indras etc. are still making us wait.

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18.5 MEUR to Austria, as a continuation of the 12.5 MEUR Finnish Defence Forces order from this morning.

Christmas is approaching, we should hear the ringing of sales bells from Spain too…

Bittium Wireless Oy, a subsidiary of Bittium Corporation, has received a significant order for tactical data transfer system products, lifecycle services, and testing systems from its Austrian partner Cancom Austria AG. Cancom Austria acts as an integrator of Bittium’s advanced data transfer solutions for the Austrian Armed Forces’ tactical data transfer network. The received order is valued at approximately 18.5 million euros. The products will be delivered during 2025 and 2026, and the lifecycle services cover the years 2025–2038.

The order is a continuation of the extensive procurement agreement concluded in 2018, which initiated the modernization of the Austrian Armed Forces’ tactical data transfer with an IP-based overall system. Since 2019, Bittium has supplied Bittium Tactical Wireless IP Network™ (TAC WIN) software-defined radio system products as the core of the overall system, forming a seamless broadband backbone network for military use, as well as Bittium Tough Comnode™ and Bittium Tough VoIP™ products, which enable comprehensive voice and messaging across the entire network. Now, the coverage of Austria’s tactical data transfer network is being expanded, and Cancom Austria will integrate more TAC WIN system products, Tough Comnode devices, and accessories into the overall system. The order also includes lifecycle services covering the maintenance of devices and software, as well as testing systems for maintaining and developing local testing capabilities.

Insider information: Significant order for Bittium Oyj’s subsidiary Bittium Wireless Oy to expand the Austrian Armed Forces’ data transfer network Sisäpiiritieto: Merkittävä tilaus Bittium Oyj:n tytäryhtiölle Bittium Wireless Oy:lle Itävallan asevoimien tiedonsiirtoverkon laajentamiseksi

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The stock has developed well in recent weeks without news, meaning someone has known something again. Hardly anything will be heard from Spain immediately; negotiations should be on a good footing, but it’s a Latin country, so nothing will definitely happen quickly or on schedule. But it was impressive to get 2 business news items on the same day after a long period of silence.

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And in non-Latin countries like Germany or Britain, do things go quickly and on schedule?

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Now the floodgates are opening there.

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Just a nuance, but the Austrian Armed Forces started modernizing its networks with K-Businesscom AG / formerly Kapsch BusinessCom, now Cancom Austria.
And the German listed company Cancom subsequently acquired it in summer 2023.

It’s good that the continuation of the business relationship was secured by this deal, even though ownership, including the nationality of the company’s owner, has changed in the interim.

Unfortunately, AI does not recognize a business relationship between the new owner, Cancom, and the German Armed Forces, neither previously nor after the acquisition, nor even as a stated motivation to gain Defence expertise or similar.

Cancom is an Austrian information technology company that the Austrian Federal Ministry of Defence has chosen as the supplier for its tactical data transmission network. In addition to Bittium’s solutions, Cancom integrates its own and third-party solutions into the network.

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So, am I totally misremembering, or is this the same company that issued a profit warning just under 2 years ago because they couldn’t get circuit boards?? :sweat_smile:

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So, is a client relationship with the German Armed Forces potentially opening up through Cancom? Is that what the market is speculating on right now?

https://www.finanznachrichten.de/nachrichten-2025-12/67274819-defense-security-gaining-traction-pt-up-bittium-secures-euro-34m-in-defense-orders-enhancing-its-sdr-091.htm

According to a German DCF-based analysis, Bittium’s fair value is currently €26.50, even without the Indra/Spain deal. They recommend buying.

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Regarding the German D-LBO project, there might be some very slight optimism in the market, as the German Defense Forces’ dealings with Rohde & Schwarz have been hitting snags. Camcom’s activities in Austria probably don’t hurt, but I doubt they get much extra credit for it.

But the hopes for the biggest fish are likely with Indra in Spain, and towards the UK via BAE around the start of summer, as well as in the Sweden/Nordics region.

And some mystery country ordered gear for their special forces a while back for a few mill; they’ll likely need more after testing.

There were also some deals in Croatia to a limited extent; I suppose they might need more there too.

All in all, I think that:

  1. Generally speaking, defense has been under-invested for a long time
  2. Digitalization is only just beginning
  3. The importance of digitalization is growing immensely compared to even recent history

So, the markets are generally optimistic that Bittium will land deals here and there, and that the industry megatrend will accelerate.

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I thought I’d post this here for the sake of transparency, as it was added to our disclaimer today:

“According to a notification received on December 22, 2025, the combined ownership of Inderes analyst Juha Kinnunen and his close associates in the target company Bittium Oyj exceeds 50,000 euros.”

So, I have the same 2,000 shares as before, but the stock just keeps pushing upwards. Even with quick math, it’s clear that breaking the 25 euro mark pushed it over that disclosure threshold. At the same time, we are at over a 500% return, and Bittium is on its way to becoming the stock of the year 2025 in Helsinki. The momentum is strong.

It should be noted that there is ongoing research regarding Bittium, which means trading is impossible for me. Therefore, no transactions will be made before the next update, whenever that may be. After the blackout period, the situation will be reassessed. This is not a stance one way or the other.

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