Stockholm's Discovery Market - Swedish Small-Caps Under the Radar

Let’s also put one of my favorites here, namely BPC Instruments.

BPC develops, manufactures, and sells measurement and analysis instruments for both industrial customers and research use. The instruments increasingly replace time-consuming manual work where raw materials are analyzed in biogas production. Previously, customers didn’t have precise information about what material was being put into the process, resulting in poor efficiency. In Europe, biogas production is expected to grow at a 32% CAGR until 2030. Additionally, BPC has made strides in the US and Asia; for example, India has become a significant market for BPC alongside China.

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The company went public in late 2021. At the time, the IPO prospectus spoke of attractive opportunities to expand business beyond the biogas industry. We’ve seen evidence of this recently. For instance, BPC Blue was launched last year, which can be used to analyze the biodegradability of plastic materials. Other industries worth mentioning include wastewater analysis.

BPC was founded in 2005 by Jing Liu (CEO), Gustaf Olsson (Chairman of the Board), and Kristofer Cook (Board Member). Jing owns 65% of the company, while the other two have 12% and 5% ownership.

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Jing is the only one among them who is currently active in operations. In fact, he plays a very significant role at BPC. At the end of 2023, the company had only 12 employees, and when I visited their office in Lund, Sweden last April, it felt like he was responsible for everything. R&D, sales, marketing, Chinese contacts, etc. What would happen to the company if Jing, for one reason or another, was no longer in the picture…? Perhaps from a shareholder’s perspective, a bodyguard by his side might be appropriate? :smiley:

During the couple of hours visit to Lund, we went through all their existing devices and what was in the R&D pipeline at the time. Jing mentioned that the next-generation hardware (updated 2023 hardware) allows for an even better gross margin, and this has held true. Furthermore, the current hardware is much more easily scalable, and the “brains” of different devices are very similar to each other, as are the user interface and appearance.

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Due to the high gross margin, the company achieved a 30% operating margin last year. In my opinion, this level is sustainable. If volumes grow, the margin should rise to an even higher level. On the other hand, it’s worth remembering the increase in staff from 12 to 16 for this year, which will be reflected in higher personnel costs, especially this year. The company’s products are sensitive to capital expenditure, recurring revenue is non-existent, and in the worst-case scenario, the company could post a loss in a single quarter. BPC operates in a niche market and, if I remember correctly, they have a market share of over 90% in biogas. Competition may intensify, which could cause price pressure, but on the other hand, volume growth provides tailwinds due to economies of scale.

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Currently, BPC is listed on Spotlight in Sweden. I believe that in the near future, the company intends to move to First North. In connection with this, I also believe Jing will slightly reduce his current 65% stake (perhaps a reduction of 5-10 percentage points).

Summa summarum. An interesting, profitable small instrument company operating in niche markets. The main industry is growing, and the penetration rate into other industries is still in its early stages. 95% customer satisfaction reflects the quality of the products. Let’s remember, however, that as recently as 2023, the company had only 12 employees. When I visited their office last year, there were devices all over the office :smiley: There were many stacks of hardware on the secretary’s desk :smiley:

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Nowadays, a large part of the business consists of digital marketing products offered to SMEs, which I consider to be quite an interesting market.

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Q4 EBITDA = 24MSEK and today’s enterprise value (if I calculated correctly from Google’s data) is 958MSEK, meaning EV/EBITDA = 10. It doesn’t seem incredibly cheap to me, considering Eniro’s track record in this volatile industry.

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Capital IQ gives a different figure for the EV

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Sivers Semiconductor. Can anyone find anything else promising about this besides the latter part of its name? They are supposed to reach break even already this year and the cash position might hold out, but the stock has already dropped nearly 90% from its peaks.

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I don’t know if Acuvi Ab is under the radar, but the stock is -50% over the last 12 months and -83% over 5 years.
Sijoittaja.fi has written about the company as part of a partnership: https://www.sijoittaja.fi/tag/acuvi/

The company’s market cap at the time of writing is 211 MSEK.

Acuvi Ab published the final quarter of its last financial year today, wrapping up 2023: https://acuvi.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/Acuvi-Q4-2023.pdf In Swedish

Key highlights:

  • Net sales amounted to 201 million SEK (185). +9%
  • Operating profit before depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) amounted to 37 million SEK (-19).
  • The EBITDA margin amounted to 18 percent (-10).
  • Cash flow from operating activities amounted to 16 million SEK (-18).

Näyttökuva 2024-3-6 kello 11.09.39

The CEO speaks highly of 2023 and the significantly strengthened cash flow and profitability. There is still work to be done in creating synergies between different group companies. The CEO naturally believes the positive development will continue and that there is growing demand for the products, especially regarding PiezoMotor and Sensapex.

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ContextVision is interesting, world-leading in its field and expanding into image enhancement for point-of-care equipment. Profitable health technology is hard to find, especially at reasonable multiples. This is, however, listed in Oslo, even though it’s a Swedish company.

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Here is a brief intro to the topic from the autumn. If this outfit could somehow find that 20% growth excluding currency effects, I would quietly add it to my portfolio :grin: Q4 was quite flat again.

https://keskustelut.inderes.fi/t/contextvision-ab-algoritmeja-laaketieteelle/44779?u=timontti

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Keeping the thread active, though with little to show for it yet

Smoltek Smoltek's carbon nanostructure fabrication technology.

Smoltek has a patent-protected nanotechnology platform that can solve advanced material engineering problems in many industry sectors, starting with semiconductors and hydrogen, and more in the future.

Mentioned nanotechnology, semiconductors, and hydrogen – what could go wrong?

The company most recently received new patents this spring: Smoltek Nanotech Holding AB: Smoltek has been granted three new patents - all in the field of reducing contact resistance in electrolyzer and fuel cells.

The company is still in the business development stage; I need to properly look into this at some point, although I’ve acquired some during Q1. The crux of the matter is the race between the need for additional funding and achievements, so that new investors (hopefully) will have to pay more in the future when new funding is needed.

The debt-to-equity ratio is very low, meaning capital has been raised – as I understand it, it should last for about two years at the current rate. Revenue was already 8.5M vs. 2.7M the previous year, though heavily loss-making. Market cap is around 107M at the moment.

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Guideline Geo looks interesting. It received a buy recommendation in Börsveckan today.

A small company that is already 100 years old(!). It manufactures equipment for mapping and surveying underground water resources, monitoring environmental pollution, civil engineering mapping, infrastructure maintenance, and mineral exploration.

The above was translated from Nordnet, so the translations are approximate. I am a complete layman in the field. Mapping water resources and mineral exploration certainly sound like growth sectors at first glance.

In the 4th quarter, it even delivered an EPS of 0.48 SEK, which showed good growth. Cash 22 MSEK. Short-term debt 40 MSEK. Share price now 17 SEK, = market cap approx. 200 MSEK. This puts the P/S ratio at around 1 based on 2023 revenue.

The Chairman of the Board holds 750,000 shares. The CEO has some as well.

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There is speculation over there that photonics is needed on the memory side as computing power increases. Sivers mentioned. Personally, I don’t understand much about the topic yet.

Spotted on the Placera discussion forum.

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BPC reported this morning. Gross margin continued strong, and as a result, the operating profit margin was also at an excellent level.

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I have been adding companies mentioned in this thread to my own watchlist as they have come up. Smart Eye and Media and Games Invest (changing its name to Verve at the AGM on June 13th), which are on my watchlist, have their own threads, so they haven’t been specifically highlighted here. These companies are in my portfolio, as is Acuvi, which was mentioned in the thread. The ones marked in blue are under slightly closer monitoring, but the research is still a bit of a work in progress.

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Great thread, and please do share more interesting companies! Below are the company tickers.

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This Swedencare seemed interesting, so I tried a quick analysis based just on 2023. Maybe I’ll dig deeper, who knows.

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I’m trying to gauge what kind of money-making ability the current valuation is based on.

Working capital (KPO) changes were small and vague enough that I didn’t include them; in the assets, I included cash and net receivables, but not ‘goodwill’ or customer relationships, nor even land/machinery.

At first glance, a 7% adjusted OFC (Operating Cash Flow) can’t really be called obscenely expensive if the rocket-like growth continues. Definitely not a traditional value investor’s choice :slightly_smiling_face:

Below is that growth stolen from the 2023 sheet.

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Edit:

Interesting, the focus is in the US :thinking:

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Where did you end up with Eniro, Mikael?

I checked the 2006 annual report to see if the share price was “only” 100 SEK and the valuation 16bn SEK or something like that
– much less than what that 350,000 peak suggested (might be a data error somewhere – on Mandatum Trader it showed the peak was 80k)

An interesting company crawling along the bottom, but it’s hard to get a handle on it when the newer reports are in Swedish.

What other Swedish companies have you been eyeing this year? :slight_smile:

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@Aika_on_malttia There must have been splits along the way, and that’s why the price looks like that.

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A few small batches of Eniro have ended up in my portfolio (and a hefty 8% dividend has even been detached), but my deep dive into the company has remained superficial so far. From Stockholm, I’ve bought AVTECH following a tip from @Verneri_Pulkkinen; it’s a micro-cap SaaS company in the aviation sector.

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Serstech Q2

RedEye comments

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RE Update / SERT

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Screenshot_2024-07-26-18-47-34-15_0b2fce7a16bf2b728d6ffa28c8d60efb

80-page micro-cap report coming in September

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