Titanium - Looking for a second pillar of growth

Sale has published a new company report on Titanium following H2. :slight_smile:

We reiterate our target price of EUR 6.0 for Titanium and our Reduce recommendation. The company’s H2 report was well in line with our expectations, and changes to forecasts have remained minor. In our forecasts, the company’s earnings remain in decline for 2026–2027, driven by real estate funds, and the company is under clear pressure to succeed in scaling up its asset management services to fill this earnings gap. If the expansion of asset management succeeds, there is clear potential in the stock, but at the moment, the risks clearly carry more weight.

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Fund reports for January are about a week late. I don’t think this has happened before, or at least it’s quite exceptional. Even holidays don’t explain it.

You have to start speculating a bit: unintentional or intentional? And if intentional, then why?

Every additional day the reports are nowhere to be seen increases the likelihood that something is indeed in the works. I mean, without being an IT professional, I’d think it must be quite a snag if they can’t update the sites within a week.

Titanium Online isn’t working for me either; I recall being able to access it previously.

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If I understood correctly, the company switched to quarterly reporting for its funds at the beginning of the year. This would mean the next report is coming in early April. :rolled_up_newspaper:

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Mikko Ervasti, former Sales Director at Taaleri, has joined Titanium’s ranks this week.

I assume Ervasti’s role at Titanium will involve similar duties. Prittinen, who held the title of Sales Director at Titanium, quietly departed at some point during June 2025.

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What does “if I understood correctly” mean? I would think the matter is quite clear-cut? And have I missed some information?

Otherwise, I think that monthly reports have been the company’s key way of communicating about its operations. Furthermore, if they are moving to a new reporting model, surely it can’t be just some quick formality? Considering eQ’s new quarterly reports, Titanium surely can’t continue with the old formula but just on a quarterly basis?

So if the reporting is changed, I would assume it to be a relatively comprehensive process involving many people at various levels of the organization. And one part of it is communicating the change.

If I haven’t missed something and the matter is as vague as I imagine, it certainly raises all sorts of questions across the board.

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I asked the company about this and the company said they are moving to quarterly reporting instead of monthly reports. I don’t know the exact reason for this, so I don’t know if it will involve an eQ-style total disclosure (it would be a super good thing if it did!), or if they’ll stick to the same model but with less frequent reporting. No official info has been released externally about this at least (maybe to customers?), so I’m being cautious with my wording for this reason.

Ervasti was appointed in October, and it seems the non-compete periods have now been served. At the time, the release stated: Ervasti is responsible for developing sustainable sales growth, high-performing teams, and customer relationships. The official title is Sales Director, the same as Prittinen had back in the day.

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In the big picture, I see Titanium as a dual-natured entity.

First, there are the funds, primarily real estate funds, whose recurring fee income alone amounts to approximately €18 million per year for Titanium. The average lease term for the properties owned by the funds remains significantly long. At Titanium, basically three people handle the practical operations of the real estate funds. Of course, they also employ administrative staff, and many tasks are certainly outsourced. However, there are about 140 properties and an additional 450 apartments.

But it is quite difficult to justify multiples where the value of the funds to Titanium would be less than €150 million. (At a recommended price of €6 per share, Titanium’s market cap is about €60 million. That is, 40% of the value of the real estate funds.)

On the other hand, Titanium has a large staff that forms an expert/sales organization for the company.

Titanium’s primary product for sale has been real estate funds. And as is well known, since interest rates began to rise in 2022, real estate funds have not exactly been a hit product over the last three years.

Consequently, the expenses resulting from Titanium’s large headcount have consumed a significant portion of the company’s income without sales generating corresponding revenue or growth. However, Titanium values its staff and has invested significantly more in them.

Besides Titanium having a strong income stream from real estate funds, the Titanium investment case is primarily about how the expert/sales organization can be successfully utilized in the future.

Titanium updated its strategy just under a year and a half ago. According to the new strategy, in the long term, a significant portion of income will come from products and services other than the current ones. Meaning, other than real estate funds. Currently, it is clearly visible that the company is transforming into a wealth manager. The long-term strategy is thus being implemented through wealth management, and in the long run, a large part of the company’s income would come specifically from wealth management.

The need for this change and its logic is clear. For a “product house,” which Titanium has been until now, it is challenging to maintain its own extensive retail sales organization. It largely requires the company to have exceptionally good proprietary investment products that scale well and can be sold effectively and continuously. In competitive markets, year after year. The Acting CEO’s mention during the earnings call—that a product house with its own sales organization can work well in suitable market conditions—likely referred precisely to this. The deep freeze of the real estate market over the past three years has been a harsh example for Titanium of the difficulty of reconciling a product house and an internal sales organization in changing market conditions.

On the other hand, having a product house and a wealth manager under the same roof might not be entirely without its problems either. A wealth manager should always strive to offer its clients the best possible investment solutions. If proprietary products are for sale under the same roof, there may be a temptation to sell one’s own products rather than what is best for the client.

In my opinion, a good solution—which I suspect Titanium is aiming for with the new strategy—is to differentiate the real estate fund products from the sales/expert organization, i.e., wealth management. If successful, Titanium could effectively utilize its extensive sales/expert network in changing markets through wealth management.

A large portion of Titanium’s staff comes from the Investium era, which was essentially already a wealth management company. I understand that 40 percent of Titanium’s owners have a strong background in similar fields. The wealth management concept as a principle is therefore not a leap into the complete unknown for the staff or the main owners. Although there is certainly a need for updates to meet modern requirements.

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In your Excel, you can use an estimate of, say, somewhere between €400–900 million for the real estate funds’ AUM in 2030. This yields quite different estimates for the value of Titanium’s stock. On top of that, there is the new sales of the PE fund and the success of ramping up the asset management business. There are many moving parts; in four years, we will see how it all played out.

United Bankers is an asset manager that also has its own products in alternative asset classes like real estate, forestry, etc. As I understand it, they have no issues with this or any need to separate these. In asset management, the core of the portfolio can be built in a certain way, and for some “spice” and diversification, a few satellite products from UB’s own range—such as forestry and real estate—can be added around the core.

Over the years, I have received two or three phone calls from Titanium trying to book a meeting. Beyond this, Titanium should develop more visibility through investment events and such. I haven’t really noticed much myself (though I don’t read Kauppalehti these days; perhaps they have appeared there from time to time). In comparison, Nordnet has quite successfully dominated the online space, and their massive customer base is likely partly due to this. Almost everyone who knows anything about stock investing knows Nordnet by name.

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Titanium’s notice of the Annual General Meeting contained no major surprises. The only significant change from before is the increase in the share issue authorization from 1.2 million to 2.0 million shares. In my view, this is a clear signal that the company is also actively considering corporate transactions to accelerate its growth strategy. As I have often said, acquisitions would be a very logical way for Titanium to speed up its strategy, as in addition to accelerating growth, they would also reduce the company’s risk profile (the share of Hoiva decreases).

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Such a large share issue authorization enables and may also signal many other corporate arrangements. Not just acquisitions performed by Titanium.

According to the notice of the meeting, Mikko Bergman, Teemu Kaltea, Tommi Santanen, Petri Kärkkäinen, and Tom Lojander will be re-elected to the board. Current board member Eeva Raita has announced that she is not available for re-election.

With all due respect to the gentlemen, the composition of the upcoming board does not exactly indicate any exceptionally fresh approach regarding the company’s future operations. Would it perhaps have been better for a company seeking a new direction if one or two of the company’s owners had stepped back from the board and been replaced by 2-3 external individuals with fresh ideas?

I also think that Eeva Raita has been the one on the board who has had the most “outside-the-bubble” connections and ideas. Eeva Raita has also perhaps been the most independent board member and, as such, an important person for the company’s minority shareholders. This would be relevant should the interests of the major shareholders and minority shareholders happen to diverge at some point.

Furthermore, after the board change, Titanium Oyj will not comply with the Finnish Corporate Governance Code for listed companies, maintained by the Securities Market Association (Arvopaperimarkkinayhdistys ry), regarding the independence requirements for board members. Complying with the code is, of course, voluntary for most First North companies, but Titanium has apparently aimed to follow the code in this regard. Prittinen’s resignation from the company’s board was justified at the time by the fact that there were too many members affiliated with the company on the board.

Titanium’s future board does not appear to be an overly dynamic group. Rather, it raises suspicions of more of a winding down approach.

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Now, at the end of the week, Ervasti has apparently been listed as a member of the management team on the company’s official website. This is what he was appointed to according to last year’s press release, but until now, he has appeared on the company’s site as a rank-and-file employee.

Ervasti’s official title is Director of Wealth Management, not Sales Director. In a wealth management firm, the Director of Wealth Management could be expected to be the second-in-command after the CEO.

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New financing package for the Care Fund. Titaniumin Hoivarahasto sopi 240 MEUR:n uudelleenrahoituksesta Deutsche Bankin kanssa - Inderes

In my books, this turns cautiously positive because the funding is long-term and the package is larger than before. Of course, we don’t know the cost of the capital, but in the current market, I wouldn’t be particularly worried about this. Generally speaking, I’m under the impression that domestic banks are currently quite reluctant to finance domestic real estate special investment funds (erkkarit). Deutsche, after all, already stepped in to finance eQ’s Community Properties (YKK) fund in 2024.

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## The new package is larger and longer-term

The newly signed financing package replaces the previous 203 MEUR package signed in 6/2024, which was provided by Danske and OP. According to our estimate, the previous package was maturing this summer. The new financing package is long-term, which we estimate to mean a 3–5 year maturity. Consequently, the fund’s operational stability is now secured for a longer period. The package is also larger in size (240 vs. 203 MEUR) than the previous one, giving the fund more room for maneuver. We note that the fund’s equity was 463 MEUR as of 12/2025, and the entire external capital cannot be utilized even under the fund’s rules (leverage may be at most 50%). In principle, we do not expect the fund to increase its current leverage level of approximately 40%, even if the package allows for it. The interest costs of the package were not commented on in the announcement, but we do not expect them to change significantly from before.

From the Care Fund’s rules: The management company may, on behalf of the Fund, take out credit for the Fund’s investment activities and asset management in an amount corresponding to a maximum of one hundred (100) percent of the Fund’s Net Asset Value (NAV).

So the maximum loan amount is 463 million, if equity is 463 million and GAV is 926 million.

If, on the other hand, GAV is 663 million, as it is for the Care Fund according to the December report, the maximum loan amount is 331.5 million.

The Care Fund’s LTV (loans relative to assets) is a moderate 30%.

The debt-to-equity ratio (loans relative to equity) is 43%. (According to the rules, as far as I can see, it can be 100%)

In theory, the Care Fund could take on more debt and pay out redemptions of a good 80 million. In this case, with 80 million, GAV would be approximately 583 million, NAV 303 million, and debt 280 million.

So in theory, 40 million could well be used for paying redemptions.

Apparently, the Real Estate Fund Act (1173/1997), which stipulated the maximum debt for a real estate fund at 50% of GAV, is valid until April 16, 2026? I wonder if the debt levels for open-ended real estate funds will still be regulated by a specific percentage after April 16, 2026?

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Here are Sale’s comments on Titanium naming Jukkapekka Laurila as the new CEO :slight_smile:

Titanium announced on Monday that it has appointed Jukkapekka Laurila, MBA, as the company’s new CEO starting April 1, 2026. Laurila has over 20 years of experience in the financial sector and capital markets, and he moves to the position from Danske Bank’s Large Corporates & Institutions unit. We consider it important that the new CEO can start quickly, although his background focused on institutional sales was a surprise to us. The appointment has no impact on our forecasts or our view of the company.

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What are the thread’s thoughts on the new CEO? My own feelings are a bit mixed. A strong sales background and a quick start are big pluses, but the lack of an asset management background is a minus. I don’t actually know the person, so these are just initial observations based on their CV. :face_with_monocle:

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A lot has happened at Titanium over the past three years. Most importantly, of course, the many recruitments that are charting the company’s path into the future. As a continuation of all this change, Laurila is like the cherry on top of a beautiful cake. (If Inderes somehow rewards the most beautiful and touching comments, I’m probably a strong contender with this one; I even got a bit emotional myself.)

The matter could be considered and speculated upon from many perspectives.

At this moment, as a single event, Laurila’s appointment couldn’t have come at a better time, considering that Eeva Raita is leaving her board seat and Walteri Ahlström stepped down in November. Assessing from the outside, Raita and Ahlström were the individuals who were/are most “outside the bubble” with extensive contact networks. It seemed as if the company was, in a way, turning inward. Laurila, having been in the industry for a long time, will surely fill that gap excellently.

Titanium updated its strategy on November 14, 2024. The new strategy states, among other things:

  • A significant portion of the assets under service will be directed toward new products, services, and target customer groups.
  • Titanium is strengthening its position as a strategic partner by offering more personalized service and expanding its customer base, especially among professional and international investors.

When the strategy was announced, the aforementioned goals were, shall we say, mere rhetoric in a thin atmosphere.

Now, just under a year and a half later, and certainly with the appointment of Laurila, the aforementioned goals are gaining strong concrete form.

Furthermore, I am of the opinion that the best is yet to come, and after Laurila’s appointment, we won’t have to wait much longer to see it.

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Laurila’s successor at Danske already started work in August of last year. One could guess from this that Laurila’s stint at Titanium was potentially settled even earlier than that. If not with Titanium itself, then at least with Titanium’s major shareholders.

One could further speculate that the roadmap for the future has been laid out for a good while now and the next steps are relatively clear at this point.

Waiting for the continuation…

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To return to this redemption/subscription matter. In S-Pankki’s new Housing Fund rules, there’s a section like this:

https://dokumentit.s-pankki.fi/tiedostot/s-pankki-asunto-saantomuutos-fi-27032026

At least S-Bank interprets this regulation the same way as I do, because otherwise it would make no sense for the fund to suspend subscriptions when redemptions are suspended.

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I agree with that.

But then there is the point about liquidity. If fund redemptions are restricted, subscriptions are still possible. That 5% is not mandated by law. It could apparently be even lower. With a strong buffer and good cash flow, the fund could be kept open for subscriptions for longer.

Liquidity management tools

The following fund-specific liquidity management tools have been selected for use by the fund:
redemption restriction, extension of the notice period, and redemption in kind.
A redemption restriction refers to a decision to limit the total amount of
redemption orders executed on a Redemption Date.
If the total amount of redemption orders submitted on a Redemption Date exceeds five (5)
percent of the Fund’s net asset value (NAV), the Management Company may decide to limit the amount of
redemptions to be executed to five (5) percent of the Fund’s net asset value, if it is in the
interest of the Fund’s unitholders.

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Care pays out the rest of the H1/2024 redemptions.

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