I was there, and I didn’t have to sit alone; the hall was packed to capacity. A few general observations in no particular order:
- Regarding audience questions, when asked if Petri has a so-called “war chest” if the USA dips and Vietnam dips with it, he said absolutely not, because at these valuation levels, he doesn’t dare to be anything other than “all in” in Vietnam.
- Over the past year, the number of unitholders has grown by about a thousand (5,000 —> 6,000). Considering the fund has operated for almost 30 years, the growth in the number of investors over the last year has been extremely strong.
- Banks previously represented up to about 50% of PYN; now, profits have been significantly realized there, and they have moved, for example, into the steel industry, which they believe in heavily because of large construction projects in Vietnam in the coming years. They still believe in banks, but more attractive opportunities arose, so funds were allocated to them. Banks have provided excellent returns in recent years.
- Generally speaking, everything was overly positive in Petri’s traditional “eternal optimist style,” and Petri found hardly anything negative about Vietnam or the near future. When asked about the biggest risk to the fund, Petri mentioned that if other countries try to replace Vietnam’s one-party system with democracy, this could be a risk for the fund. And, of course, he also mentioned wars in general.
What bothered me was that, once again, many figures and results were presented as is, but also in a way that excluded Vingroup. If the fund had invested in Vingroup, the return would have been significantly better. However, Petri saw skipping Vingroup as a success and a good thing.
In my opinion, Petri often isolates individual successful stocks from the index and explains how “if XXXX is not taken into account in the index,” they would have outperformed the index. It’s a bit like saying we performed quite well against the S&P 500 if we don’t count Tesla and Nvidia over the last 10 years ![]()
Well, all in all, it was a very nice event, and as “physical dividends,” a baseball cap and some macarons were also picked up. Although I always view heavy hype with some reservation (especially nowadays after following the fund’s activities for several years), I would say regarding the investment: a strong HOLD. If I had to buy or sell, I might cautiously add, but at least I’m not selling my own holdings.
