Ntg Clarity networks NCI.V 60% y/y growth

This is a company listed on the Canadian stock exchange that provides telecommunications services to businesses, with the Middle East as its primary market. The company was founded in 1992, and its clients include Motorola, Vodafone, AT&T, Ericsson, etc.

Sales by region.

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In my opinion, the company is valued very attractively, and the main reason is the negative equity on the balance sheet/the scary-looking balance sheet.
Fortunately, that negative portion has decreased by 1.93m this year. The company is consciously trying to improve that balance sheet, but so far this improvement comes through the growth of accounts receivable, not through the reduction of debt. However, the company itself says they are in no hurry to pay off that debt, as 65% of the balance sheet debt is owned by insiders (6.55m long-term debt + 4m unpaid salaries to two executives).

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The company has 6.55m CAD in long-term debt, which was purchased from Royal Bank of Canada in 2019 by 2729552 Ontario, a company owned by management (2 individuals). Ntg pays a small interest of approx. 2% on the loan. This is indeed a loan, not a convertible bond.

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The company also has debt from unpaid salaries to the same two executives amounting to 4m CAD. This doubles the current liabilities on the balance sheet.
So, regarding this, I think the ratio of current liabilities to accounts receivable is in order.

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Additionally, insiders organized a share issuance for themselves last December at a price of 0.03 CAD, which brings the total number of shares to 185m. Insiders own approx. 46% of the company.

Then the good points, i.e., the numbers below.

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Rev 2020 7.9m cad net income -1.6m shares 103m fcf 956k
Rev 2021 11.9m cad net income 1.36m shares 160m fcf 253k
Rev 2022 17.6m cad net income 788k shares 165m fcf 1m
Ttm rev 25.2m cad net income 1.45m shares 185m + options 0.05 cad 19.7m
Fcf 600k

PE 4.15, EV/Ebitda 3.75 Mcap 8.3m, EV 14.8m
Operating cash flow has been between 400k-800k in recent quarters and free cash flow between 36k-440k

The company announced at the end of Q3/23 that their order backlog is 18.7m CAD and in January of this year alone, new orders have been received for 15.7m. So sales-wise, we will easily blow past last year.

Accounts receivable are also very up to date.

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Additionally, the company has 15m CAD in tax loss carryforwards available, meaning the company won’t have to pay much tax on profits in the future.

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If revenue and earnings growth continue at this rate, the balance sheet won’t be an issue in the future.

Management compensation is reasonable in my opinion.
There is no information on whether the company is currently paying a salary to those two managers, or if they are working for free, like Voxtur’s Kari. Those management salary receivables were not specified in the Q2 report.

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Then if we play around with the numbers a bit, if this year’s net income is, say, 4m CAD and P/E is, say, 10, and there are, say, 200m shares, it would mean a price of 0.20 CAD. That’s 4x from the current price. The improved situation has not yet affected the company’s share price.

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I also like the company’s transparency regarding, for example, the income statement, and the company’s contact person below doesn’t hide the balance sheet issue.

Website https://ntgclarity.com/

Investor presentation

https://youtu.be/yjDq8WKcpsY?si=ber1e-GjZSU-Zzqe

24 Likes

It will be interesting to see in the upcoming financial statements for last year where the funds from the December share issue have been used.
It is very likely that the company is using the proceeds from the issue to pay those invoices that are over 91 days old.

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5 Likes

Exchange rate changes also have a major impact on the company’s results.

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2 Likes

Care Cloud could serve as a comparison, as it has a fairly similar business model but in a different industry.
Meaning both have cheap IT workers in low-cost countries doing the grunt work.

Both have roughly the same gross margin of about 40%. CCLD traded in November at multiples of approx. 1x EV/S and 10x EV/EBITDA. Now that has risen by 50% since November.
Additionally, Care Cloud has declining revenue.

If NTG had the same multiples, the EV would be 27m or 34m.

2 Likes

The company is indeed constantly trying to improve its profitability, and below is the impressive gross margin development:

Q4/22 GM 27%
Q1/23 GM 36%
Q2/23 GM 38%
Q3/23 GM 44%

4 Likes

Their order backlog is indeed interesting.
At the end of Q3, it was 18.7m CAD and additionally, the following orders have come in:

12.10.2023 new 2.6m order
18.10.2023 new 4.7m order
27.11.2023 new 1.5m order

On 16.1.2024, they announced that orders received in 2024 alone total 15.7m.

So, these added together amount to 43.2m.
A really interesting year ahead.

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https://ntgclarity.com/news/category/releases-news

3 Likes

The Central Bank of Egypt let the currency float on Wednesday and the currency weakened against the dollar by about 40%.

Hopefully they don’t have a large portion of their deposits in Egyptian pounds. Anyway, the exchange rate loss for that Egyptian subsidiary has been 728k this year + other exchange rate losses 237k (below)

This should be a good thing for the company because the income is in Saudi Riyals, but a large part of the salary costs are in Egyptian pounds.

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5 Likes

Expansion into the Iraqi market and apparently even more orders are coming soon.

The share price has also risen nicely lately, as more and more people have discovered this stock.

https://ntgclarity.com/news/details/ntg-announces-4-new-ntgapps-implementation-projects-in-new-market

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4 Likes

Well, that’s a bombshell. 50M revenue target for this year, and 10% of that is expected to drop to the bottom line.

So the P/E seems to be 2 based on this year’s forecast.

Additionally, a reverse split is coming on March 20, 2024.

4 Likes

That reverse split is a good thing. Penny stocks don’t inspire confidence.

2 Likes

Exactly. This is definitely moving in a good direction.

2 Likes

New order incoming :rocket:

https://ceo.ca/@thenewswire/ntg-clarity-announces-45m-in-contracts-bringing

Additionally, the backlog is already starting to be significant and it’s not even the end of Q1 yet.

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5 Likes

Quiet in here.

Another record quarter and the outlook remains good.

Share price a modest +300% YTD.

https://ntgclarity.com/news/details/ntg-reports-6th-consecutive-record-setting-quarterly-financials-with-2-37m-profit-and-11-75m-revenue

7 Likes

Sales continue to grow at a staggering pace.

https://ntgclarity.com/news/details/ntg-reports-96-revenue-growth-in-q2-2024-with-2-44m-profit

The share price has risen a nice +600% YTD.

8 Likes

Another massive deal, a guidance raise is inevitable with this.

https://ntgclarity.com/news/details/ntg-announces-largest-ever-contract-for-work-valued-at-53m-cad

This has become quite a tasty pick, YTD broke +1000% yesterday. :money_mouth_face:

13 Likes