Here are Pauli’s quick comments on Norrhydro’s Q4 results.
Norrhydro Group reported its Q4 earnings release today. The report was slightly stronger than our expectations regarding the earnings lines and cash flow, although revenue growth fell slightly short of our forecast. The company’s guidance and comments for 2026 were mainly in line with our expectations, which, together with the solid Q4 result, reduce the uncertainty related to predictability.
I picked out this interesting detail from the AGM agenda:
Last year’s (2025) AGM was presented with (and decided in accordance with the proposal) an authorization for the Board of Directors to “decide on a share issue and […] the issuance of option rights and other special rights entitling to shares in one or more tranches, such that a maximum of 2,000,000 new shares or shares held by the Company can be issued based on the authorization.” This would have been 18.04 percent of all the Company’s shares. The issue was not carried out / did not need to be carried out.
In this year’s AGM, an otherwise similar authorization is being proposed to the Board, but the amount has been halved: 1,000,000 new shares or shares held by the Company, which would be 9.02 percent of all the Company’s shares.
Does this suggest that Norrhydro’s situation is currently significantly better than last year? Or what do those with more expertise have to say?
00:00 Introduction
00:16 Q4 results and targets
00:38 Customer segment development
02:49 Growth outlook for 2026
04:09 Sales investments and their cost impact
05:19 Change in the management team
06:03 NorrDigi EMA growth outlook
07:20 Financial position
Pauli has written a new company report on Norrhydro regarding Q4.
The Q4 report strengthened our belief in an earnings turnaround and mitigated risks related to the balance sheet position. In our view, the key near-term share price drivers relate primarily to the profitable growth of the traditional cylinder business, which could strengthen if the forestry and construction segments were to recover more strongly. Progress is also likely to be seen in NorrDigi, although the business will probably remain fairly small and loss-making in the coming years.
Norrhydro has been in a sharp decline over the past few days. Is it because of this announcement? Quite cryptic: “An Emphasis of Matter paragraph has been added to the auditor’s report.” What paragraph and what is being emphasized?
Stock exchange release
Supplement to the auditor’s report: Norrhydro Group Plc’s Annual Report, Report of the Board of Directors, and Financial Statements for the financial year 2025
Norrhydro Group Plc – Company announcement March 16, 2026, at 2:00 p.m.
Supplement to the company announcement and auditor’s report published on March 3, 2026.
An Emphasis of Matter paragraph has been added to the auditor’s report. The opinion has not been modified in respect of this matter.
“EMPHASIS OF MATTER - VALUATION OF DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE We wish to draw attention to the section ‘Accounting principles for the financial statements’ in the notes to the consolidated financial statements on page 33, which states that at the end of the financial year, development expenditure totaled EUR 6,436,316.43 and that capitalizations are based on income expectations for the products, and a potential write-down will be made if the income expectations are not realized. Our opinion has not been modified in respect of this matter.”
Regarding the seller, there are probably two options: Carl Mattson, who is leaving the company to move to another firm. The other option is likely Yrjö Trög.
“During the fiscal year (2025), development expenditures of €333,817.40 were capitalized, consisting of payroll and related costs, materials and supplies (e.g., testing), and external services (testing, subcontracting) arising from development work. Amortization for the fiscal year was €132,633.77.”
During the 2025 fiscal year, however, a relatively small amount was recorded on the balance sheet (cf. EBITDA 2,651 thousand). There is, of course, a risk of future write-downs if Norrdig’s sales do not reach the targets.
Here are Pauli’s and Antti’s pre-comments as Norrhydro reports its Q1 results on Wednesday, April 22.
The lack of comparative figures makes quarterly forecasting difficult, but we expect the company to show moderate improvement relative to the comparison period in terms of both revenue and earnings lines. In our view, the relatively specific full-year guidance is subject to more uncertainty than before. This is particularly affected by the threat of inflation caused by the war in Iran and macro risks, which could slow down real economy activity and thus also be reflected in Norrhydro’s orders, revenue, and result.
Here are Viljakainen’s quick comments on Norrhydro’s Q1 results.
Norrhydro announced its Q1 results this morning, which were significantly better than our expectations in terms of profitability. Good cash flow also supported the company’s financial position. In the outlook, the tightening geopolitical situation has reflected negatively on Norrhydro’s demand and costs over recent weeks, but the company nevertheless reiterated its guidance for the current year, in line with our expectations. The report did not offer any significant new information regarding the development of Norrdigi’s commercialization, at least at first glance.
Norrhydro’s CEO Yrjö Trög was interviewed by Antti regarding Q1
Topics:
00:00 Introduction
00:14 Norrhydro’s Q1 development
01:00 Mixed trends in customer segments
01:45 Gross margin was strong
02:52 Impact of the geopolitical situation
03:54 Inflationary pressure
06:40 Guidance
07:48 New customer accounts
08:29 NorrDigi’s development
09:55 Intangible items on the balance sheet
11:31 The balance sheet has strengthened
Viljakainen has released a new company report on Norrhydro following Q1
Norrhydro’s Q1 was clearly better than our expectations in terms of earnings, and good cash flow supported the company’s financial position. We made no material changes to our near-term annual forecasts after the report, as the challenges for the company stemming from the macro reflections of the war in Iran acted as a counterweight to the strong Q1. We reiterate our Accumulate recommendation and EUR 1.70 target price for the reasonably valued Norrhydro.
Paying 10% interest on loans feels quite irrational at the same time as dividends are being distributed. Even the return on equity (ROE) has been lower than the interest rate, at least in the recent past. In the forecasts, however, it is already at quite a good level. The company’s cash position hasn’t been particularly strong during the recent quarters either.
Here are Antti’s thoughts on Norrhydro’s peculiar moves
Norrhydro’s Board of Directors has decided to pay a capital repayment of EUR 0.02 per share from the invested unrestricted equity fund, based on the EUR 0.04 distribution authorization given to the Board by the Annual General Meeting. Although the total capital repayment is small (approx. EUR 0.22 million), we consider it a questionable capital allocation decision given the price the company pays for its debt financing (e.g., the interest rate on the convertible loan is 10%). Against this background, we would have preferred to see the company focus on maximum debt repayment instead. We will add the capital repayment to our forecasts in connection with the next update.
Below are Inderes’ comments regarding the changes to the terms of the convertible bond.
Below is Norrhydro’s stock exchange release from December 28, 2023, regarding the convertible bond, with excerpts highlighted in bold:
"* An annual interest rate of ten (10) percent shall be paid on the convertible bond for the loan period. The annual interest falls due for payment every six (6) months from the date of withdrawal.*
The convertible bond and the related special rights entitling to shares have been offered for subscription, in deviation from the shareholders’ pre-emptive subscription rights, to four investors from whom the Company has received advance subscription commitments. The offering of the convertible bond and special rights deviates from the shareholders’ pre-emptive subscription rights because the special rights are granted in the form of loan units to finance the Company’s growth and the commercialization of new products. The deviation from the pre-emptive right is also influenced by the possibility to implement the arrangement on an accelerated schedule and the low arrangement costs. The Board of Directors therefore considers that there is a weighty financial reason for the Company to grant the special rights."
In the Norrhydro stock exchange release below, dated May 8, 2024, at 1:30 PM, I unfortunately could not find justifications, let alone a weighty financial reason from the company’s perspective, as to why the board decided to change the terms of the convertible bond based on “advance consents given by the holders”.
Could the Chairman of the Board, Juhani Kangas, or Board Member and CEO @Yrjo_Trog_Norrhydro explain with justification the weighty financial reason for the company to change the terms of the convertible bond? Surely the decision made by the company’s board an hour and a half later regarding the return of capital (see link below) isn’t the weighty financial reason?
No new convertible loan was issued here; this was simply an amendment to the repayment terms of the existing loan. There are no changes in other respects. The convertible loan can still be repaid prematurely if the company so desires. This decision was made to seek a bit more flexibility for repayment given the current global situation, which is characterized by uncertainty.
It’s good that you reminded us that the convertible loan “can still be repaid prematurely, should the company wish to do so.”
I recall hearing in a recent interview that the company’s priority is specifically the repayment of the convertible loan before the company returns to paying dividends (or capital repayments). In light of this recollection, the decisions made by the company’s Board of Directors on May 8th seem somewhat contradictory, or perhaps they aren’t.
Perhaps you could clarify this matter one more time?
It has never been stated that the convertible bond (VVK) must be paid off before dividend payments. Our priority remains on debt repayment despite this small capital return. Currently, the interest-bearing debt/EBITDA ratio is at approximately 3 and is continuously decreasing. The target level is 2, which should be achieved during the course of next year.
In the Q4’25 interview video below, at the “07:20 Financial position” mark, you indeed only described debt repayments on a general level before any potential distribution of profits. In other words, you certainly didn’t speak specifically about the convertible loan (VVK-laina), as I incorrectly recalled.