A couple of analysis updates
Carnegie, which updated on Feb 11, 2026, after news broke on Feb 9, 2026, regarding the financing solution, still justifies its target price using a DCF model, where future earnings are discounted by the WACC rate, which is also a “fear factor” or the investor’s required rate of return.
Carnegie raised the WACC percentage (12–15% → 20–30%). Meaning, to an extremely high level. For example, 200 MEUR 5 years from now in today’s money with a massive 25% WACC is: 200 MEUR/(1.25)^5 = approx. 65.5 MEUR. The assumption remains: “Our model assumes an upfront payment of USD100m, a total deal value of USD600m and a 20% royalty on net sales.”
Reasons include the cancellation of the partner deal, HCM convertible bonds, and the increase in the number of shares. This results in a lower target price (€3.1–3.8 → €1.0–1.8).
https://access.dnbcarnegie.com/publication/396ca8b1-81f2-4547-469c-08de68e3797f and download the analysis from there.
H.C. Wainwright is on its own levels as before. The analysis or commentary was written on Feb 23, 2026. Even after the share issue announcement, the analyst finds positive aspects and doesn’t focus on the financial risk of disappointments like Carnegie does. He highlights faster approval (comm: does require FDA confirmation that front-line 2b can be used for r/r marketing authorization and OS wouldn’t be needed for the final front-line), the evidence already shown in r/r, and that by doing Phase 2b themselves, they get a better price from a partner after de-risking.
Target price £10, or approx. €11.40. Buy rating.
https://www.tipranks.com/news/ratings/de-risked-development-path-and-strong-bexmab-efficacy-drive-reiterated-buy-on-faron-and-10-target-ratings-news
Who writes at Wainwright: Patrick Trucchio covers the Healthcare sector, focusing on stocks such as Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, COMPASS Pathways, and Alnylam Pharma. According to TipRanks, Trucchio has an average return of 26.6%and a 49.29% success rate on recommended stocks. Copying Patrick Trucchio’strades and holding each position for 1 Year would result in 48.39% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of 25.4% per rating.
Managing Director of Equity Research at H.C. Wainwright whose research focuses on biotechnology.
He has a Buy recommendation on the majority of the stocks he follows. Seems to be a trend among boutique banks. “Strong Buy” is at the top of the scale, though not as a recommendation for any of them. For these banks, “Hold” would mean “stay away for now.”
Well, these perspectives encapsulate the risks and rewards right now.