Europe's security situation and Russian aggression (Part 4)

JASSM missiles potentially coming to Ukraine’s use:

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Our NATO ally’s actions are a bit two-faced in some respects.

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Russian forces attacked Sumy with an Iskander-K cruise missile and an aerial bomb, injuring at least two civilians, authorities said.






https://x.com/Euan_MacDonald/status/1824693435686699013

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A brief history of Russia. Includes the essentials.

kuva

https://x.com/Bricktop_NAFO/status/1824558953159672277

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The grim truth about EU countries’ natural gas revealed – Euractiv: “European money supports the Kremlin’s war machine” | Uusi Suomi

If the Yanks are a bit two-faced, we certainly know how to do that here too:

“Crea reports that since the Kremlin launched its invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, EU countries have paid a total of 200 billion euros for Russian fossil fuels, mainly oil and gas. The think tank particularly highlights that, during the same period, the combined financial support from EU countries and the United States to Ukraine amounts to 185 billion euros.”

Well, fortunately, we are heading in a better direction.

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This is Arbatskaya Station in Moscow. It’s also a bomb shelter in case of nuclear war

Today, the sealed door worked by itself. Not only did it work by itself, but it didn’t go up all the way
According to one of the Moscow channels, escalators and lighting are not working at the station. The reason is unknown.

https://x.com/V141NGs/status/1824760702839427079

Huhutaan myös että ensimmäiset venäläiset sotilasajoneuvot yrittivät ylittää eilen rakennetun ponttoonisillan Seym Riverin yli
https://x.com/emilkastehelmi/status/1824513779872219397

huhujen mukaan homma meni tuttuun venäläiseen tyyliin
Rumor has it that the Russian column, which crossed the pontoon, after the destruction of the bridge in Hlushkovo, went to the bottom of the Seim River

varmistusta odotellaan :pray:

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The US de-escalation policy is still in full force. :face_vomiting:

kuva

https://x.com/jurgen_nauditt/status/1824734290501894561

Meanwhile, Russia is bombing its own civilian targets. :open_mouth:

kuva

https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1824703264895401988

Is help coming? Telenko’s thread on the subject.

I am beginning to think we are seeing Russian locomotive operators abandon their engines on the lines approaching Kursk Oblast. Guys get stuck in train traffic jams, then hear directly, or from engine ahead, there is artillery fire or sabotage groups. Then they leave. Russian Rail Seizure!:thread:

https://x.com/TrentTelenko/status/1824221653389218203

Blown-up railway bridges certainly aren’t helping the situation… for the Russians.

kuva

https://x.com/igorsushko/status/1824565895039160767

I haven’t yet seen any reports / videos of Ukraine striking stuck train columns with drones. Although, Ukraine’s OPSEC is tight and understandably Russia doesn’t want to publish such things themselves. I would imagine that these are juicy targets if/when Ukraine sees them and manages to strike. In any case, Russia’s routes for bringing in reinforcements in large numbers are limited and they are most certainly being monitored.

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Paljon on tullut viime päivinä videoita rintamalta, tässä parhaimmistoa

Another column of 3 tanks, 23 armored vehicles and 1 buggy tried to attack the positions of the glorious 79th brigade in the Kurakhovo direction, but was destroyed.
https://x.com/UkraineNewsLive/status/1824759443646472255

Troops from the 22nd OMBr capture a group of russians in the Kursk region today.
https://x.com/Seveerity/status/1824540257871888406

The work of Ukrainian SOF in Kursk region some time before the start of the operation.
https://x.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1824498104831517061

Fragments of battles on the outskirts of Toretsk in the Donetsk Oblast.
https://x.com/TOGAjano21/status/1824504007664054494

SUDZHA - new report from Ukrainian TV shows the situation in the town where many Russian civilians still remain and are taken care of by the Ukrainian military.
https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1824443691785732276

Breaking through a minefield on the Russian-Ukrainian border with a UR-77 unit on the first day of the Kursk operation.
https://x.com/Heroiam_Slava/status/1824473479103574512

An unsuccessful entry of a column of Russian armored vehicles into Krasnogorovka, Donetsk region.
https://x.com/PStyle0ne1/status/1824429484235239870

Taking Kadyrovites prisoner in the Kursk region
https://x.com/albafella1/status/1824146473522696614

the 1st Detachment of the 8th SSO Regiment performing an ambush easto of Sudzha
https://x.com/eDrotning/status/1824090871018487828

Russian T-90M Proryv tank was captured by the Ukrainians only recently in Kursk Oblast of Russia
https://x.com/Archer83Able/status/1824073819796996297

Russian underground base in the Kursk region investigated by Ukrainian military.
https://x.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1824028179830378771

Russian prisoners in Kursk

They keep surrendering
https://x.com/PStyle0ne1/status/1824008028837818673

Exchange fund
https://x.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1824774748569567615

The work of a russian sapper
https://x.com/albafella1/status/1824758839020822780

Look at these young faces. These are Russian conscripts. Putin sent them to fight against the experienced Ukrainian army.
https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1824447559936450824

jos ei mene rintamalla hyvin, niin eipä venäläisturistitkaan pärjää sen paremmin (otsikko kertoo oleellisen, ei kovin miellyttävää katseltavaa)

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What the hell?

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CNN ja muut kansainväliset toimittajat tulevat Kurskiin, ja näkevät etteivät Ukrainan sotilaat tapa, raiskaa ja varasta, vaan kohtelevat siviilejä hyvin. Sehän ei sovi venäläisten propagandaan

Russian propagandist Alexei Zhivov threatens to kill CNN journalists and other foreign journalists who come to film reports in the Kursk region of Russia.

“We inform Western journalists who crossed the border of Russia. We will kill you all”
https://x.com/den_kazansky/status/1824757243482394637

laitetaan siis muutama video Kurskin siviileistä

CNN reporter can’t believe how easily Ukraine is fully invading the Kursk region of Russia.
https://x.com/UkraineNewsLive/status/1824490796365541449

The residents of Sudzha in Russia’s Kursk region casually shop in stocked grocery stores despite Ukrainian Forces now having full control of the town.

“No one touches us, the Ukrainian military told us to live peacefully.”
https://x.com/JayinKyiv/status/1824374921595654559

  • How are things? No one hurts you? Enough to drink to eat?

  • No one hurts. And as to the food… We have done a bit of looting. So we have enough.
    x.com

A resident of the Kursk region said everything he thinks about Putin.
https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1824799222345896237

An unarmed Ukrainian soldier asked Sudzha residents if they had enough food and water and told them that the Russian news was saying that the Ukrainians were killing them. This was news to them.
https://x.com/victoriaslog/status/1824536637209976986

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The Ukrainian military writes that they took control of Korenevo in the Kursk region.

Both - russian and ukrainian sources claim that AFU captured Korenevo in Kursk Oblast.

Information needs confirmation

image

https://x.com/PStyle0ne1/status/1824784539266212218

https://x.com/EUFreeCitizen/status/1824798329831653885

https://x.com/zakarpatfan/status/1824794987881521365

Russian sources reports about the retreat of the russian army from the western bank of the Seim River near Tyotkino, and the blowing up of all the bridges there.

“Z-war correspondents” report that the Russian armed forces have started to retreat in the Kursk region:

“The Russian army retreated in an orderly manner to the eastern bank of the Seym River near Tyotkino. Settlements have been evacuated, and two bridges, in Tyotkino and Popovo-Lezhachi, were blown up when the enemy approached. New prepared defense lines were taken up.”

https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1824781406356017510

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Sumy is in Ukraine; however, I consider it quite likely that Russia will intentionally bomb its own civilian targets at some point, as there have already been many accidental bombings.

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Italy set a strict limit for Ukraine – Giorgia Meloni finally stepped into the public eye | Talouselämä (talouselama.fi)

“The Italian government demands that Ukraine ask for permission if and when it intends to use, for example, missiles sent by Italy. Additionally, the ministry emphasizes that missiles supplied by Italy must under no circumstances be used for an attack.”

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Researcher believes Russia will be delighted by Germany’s plans to cut Ukraine aid – ”Somewhere a champagne bottle is being popped open” | Russian invasion | Yle

Here is the same in Finnish.

"– Some Westerners are no longer concerned that the fall of Ukraine would lead them into a risky situation, Moshes says.

He believes these same people think that a Russian attack on another NATO country is not as likely as it was in the early stages of the war of aggression.

– In other words, they don’t see Ukraine winning the war, nor do they feel that the fall of Ukraine is a threat to them, Moshes summarizes."

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Based on Russian TV’s version of “A-studio”, it certainly doesn’t sound like they are popping champagne bottles in Russia just yet. Only a year ago, in the talk of these same guys, a Russian victory was inevitable and the destruction of Ukraine certain.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T3Af4KzIzho

kuva

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“Mykkänen, originally from Pyhäjärvi in Northern Ostrobothnia, was killed in early August in fighting in the Luhansk region of eastern Ukraine.”

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I was going to write about this earlier in the week, but I didn’t end up posting it because there wasn’t really anything new per se. But the New Sovietland is repeating the same pattern again, and the topic has been brought up on Twitter, among other places.

This is now at least the third significant time during the war when something happens that is surprising and/or very embarrassing for our neighbor. This always leads to the same result. First, they are completely confused and nothing happens when someone should be making decisions, but getting permission from the top takes time. Within about a week, the troll factories have also received their instructions on how to react this time. And on almost all forums, there was a growing flood of negative messages: Ukraine doesn’t know how, isn’t succeeding, can’t win. As a second phase, all sorts of strange things are fed through the media. Which local vatniks then pass along as “news” from Yle and such. Or does someone really imagine that all these “Nord Stream is Ukraine’s fault,” “Germany is cutting support,” etc., stories just suddenly popped up on their own? A pure and completely transparent attempt to shift attention away from a topic that is embarrassing for them, because they aren’t capable of anything else.

Personally, I’m mainly very disappointed (also) in the Finnish media. Have we still not developed any kind of “vaccination” / ability to grasp what is actually happening in the background and react accordingly? We just keep parroting, year after year, everything that inferior neighbor decides to feed us. Is there no capacity left for critical/analytical thinking? If this is obvious to everyone, then what’s the hold-up? Do we get points for taking the perspectives of all parties into account? Even mass murderers? :person_facepalming:

Why have the topics of “dirty bomb,” Nord Streams, and allegedly thwarted negotiations emerged so dramatically in recent days in the information space around the war in Ukraine?

This is a diversion of attention.
And this is what Russia is doing.

The events in the Kursk region came as a surprise to them. In a week, they came to their senses and started to prepare information space to divert attention and prepare the ground for a “backup option” for themselves.

It may look like this - the Russians are organizing some kind of provocation, for example, like the recent fire at the Zaporizhzhia NPP. They are spreading hysteria to the skies. And “agree” to stop military actions, demanding the same from the AFU to “eliminate the problem threatening everyone” under international control.

https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1824805574766374932?t=EzANZyLr3E4LeF6grvbmWw&s=19

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It has been interesting lately to see not only Russia’s remarkably high personnel and artillery loss figures, but also the relatively low losses of tanks and armored personnel carriers. Could there be a shortage of them and an attempt to conserve them?

image

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The Economist’s piece on the Kursk incursion. Behind a paywall/Free trial.

https://www.economist.com/leaders/2024/08/14/the-rights-wrongs-and-risks-of-ukraines-kursk-incursion

Timothy Mylovanov’s short tweet thread about the article.

kuva

https://x.com/Mylovanov/status/1824859391482310750

Elsewhere, while Musk wonders about X’s fallen revenue figures, Tesla gets… uh, publicity from an unexpected source.

Kadyrov also took advantage of the video clip to invite Musk to Chechnya.

“I don’t think the Russian Foreign Ministry would mind such a trip,” he said. “And, of course, we’re waiting for your new developments that will help us finish our special military operation (in Ukraine).”

https://apnews.com/article/russia-chechnya-kadyrov-cybertruck-musk-33b123d4bd7fe0036e80952026a54a74

Tesla has not responded to AP’s requests for comment. I wonder why?

US-Sanctioned Chechen Warlord Says “He Received a Cybertruck From Elon Musk” That He Will Now Deploy in Ukraine Against US-Backed Troops—and Incredibly, Tesla Still Hasn’t Returned a Call From the AP About It

https://x.com/SethAbramson/status/1824915006992904701

Edit: @dzei’s excellent observation about the narratives being spread in social media and news is pertinent. Below are the same conclusions from one guy. Short thread behind the link.

Fellas, it seems like it’s time to give our heads a shake again.

Isn’t it odd that just as the inKurskion is going well, we get four stories in 24h:
• Nordstream Redux
• Kyrgyzstan exports
• Germany stopping supplies
• Biden stopping Storm Shadows

Weird, eh? 1/

I would also point out that there has been a lot of information coming in about Germany ending its support for Ukraine. It might be a hoax. It’s worth waiting for clarifications without panicking.

Already, I’m seeing explanations that the German thing is based on how they categorize aid and their views on how it will be financed. No need to panic yet.

https://x.com/SnarkusAurelius/status/1824811030951731217

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In my opinion, the headline is misleading to say the least. The article mentions that in the future, the funding for the support will not come from the federal budget but from proceeds from frozen Russian assets.

”In a letter sent to the German defense ministry on Aug. 5, Finance Minister Christian Lindner said that future funding would no longer come from Germany’s federal budget but from proceeds from frozen Russian assets, according to the German newspaper.”

The aforementioned messages referring to the takeover of the information space are indeed spot on, especially when looking at the headline of that Politico story and the actual content of the matter.

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