Sea Limited - The New Frontier?

Sea Ltd. is a technology giant operating in Southeast Asia. The company has three subsidiaries that focus on different aspects of its business: Garena (video games), Shopee (e-commerce), and SeaMoney (fintech).

A few weeks ago, several ASEAN states, such as Australia, China, and Singapore, signed the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) agreement. The agreement supports free trade and facilitates cross-border business for international companies. The agreement has even been called the world’s largest trade agreement, as it includes 30% of the world’s GDP. RCEP advances Sea’s goals of being a Southeast Asian technology company. Now that Sea Ltd. has also reached a $100 billion market capitalization, I think it’s high time to start a thread on the forum!

Simplified breakdown:

Garena

-Publishes Tencent’s games in Southeast Asia.

-Garena also makes games. Garena Free Fire is popular in Asia and South America. The game was the third most-watched game on YouTube in 2020.

-Garena’s subsidiary Phoenix Labs is the company’s AAA game developer. The company was founded by former Riot Games (League of Legends) employees. The company has recently started a multi-project model and is the creator of the game Dauntless.

-Garena is the company’s only profitable subsidiary. Q3: “Adjusted EBITDA was US$584.5 million, up 119.8% year-on-year.”. Garena’s profits are mainly invested in Shopee’s operations.

Shopee
-E-commerce giant in Southeast Asia and Taiwan. E-commerce trends in Southeast Asia are very promising:

-The Shopee Live service can be compared to Alibaba’s Taobao Live. For example, a few weeks ago, Adidas held a 30-minute workout session on the service, where customers could win prizes and buy Shopee-exclusive Adidas products.

-Shopee has grown strongly and become the leading e-commerce platform in the region. According to App Annie, among Southeast Asian e-commerce platforms, Shopee has the most downloads, the most monthly active users, and the highest total time spent in the app.

Market share trends

-It should be noted that profitability is not yet central to Shopee’s aggressive “expansion” strategy. Currently, Shopee is burning a lot of cash. However, the company’s management recently mentioned that Shopee might soon be profitable. Shopee is a key part of the company’s future vision.

SeaMoney
-The company’s Fintech arm, which just received a Digital Banking license in Singapore (to be implemented in 2022).

-The company is also highly likely to be included in next year’s Digital Banking concessions in Malaysia and the Philippines.

-The synergistic effects of the Fintech arm are promising between Shopee and the Shopee Pay e-wallet. This also supports the adoption of digital banking.

Tencent is also a shareholder in the company. In addition, management owns over 20% of the company, and the shares of the company’s CEO, Forrest Li, give him controlling power. This can be compared, for example, to Google’s A, B, and C shares and the controlling power of Sergey Brin and Larry Page. In my opinion, the management is among the best in the world, and most of them have been involved in the company’s operations since its early days.

Here’s a good article about the company’s and management’s history: Forrest Li’s Sea Ltd Surges As Pandemic Drives Digitalization Across ASEAN

Sea Limited is in an interesting market position because, unlike many other developing markets, Southeast Asia is largely politically and economically stable. However, the stock has risen rapidly, and many expectations have been placed on it. I myself joined in the summer. Are there any other sledders on the forum?

35 Likes

Tästä foorumille viime kuun mehevimmät uutiset.

Garena Free Firellä korkein bruttomyynti Intiassa(mobiilipelit) vuonna 2020.

Shopee oli vuonna 2020 Apptopian mukaan maailman kahdennaksi käytetyin vähittäismyynnin verkkokauppa ja toiseksi käytetyin vähittäismyynnin puhellinsovellus.

Yhtiö osti enimmäisomistuksen Indonesialaisessa pankissa. Tätä ennen oli digital banking oikeudet vain Singaporessa(toimeenpannaan 2022), mutta tätä kautta nyt myös Indonesiassa.

Mielestäni Filippiinit ja Malaysia todennäköisesti seuraavat DB kohteet.
https://twitter.com/trinityalloc/status/1349364251224375296
Yhtiö laajentanut toimintojaan Brasiliassa. Shopee ohitti Amazonin Brasiliassa kuukausittaisten käyttäjien perusteella joulukuussa. MercadoLibre on edelleen pääpeluri alueella.

Uutiset ovat siis olleet pääosin posiitivisia vain yhden kuukauden sisällä. Seuraavaksi katseet suunnataan Q1, joka oletettavasti 1.3.

9 Likes

Monster tulos Q2:lta ja ennustetta nostettiin ylös. Eipä ole kiire harkita myyntejä tässäkään

5 Likes

Huh, tässä on kattava ketju, jossa käsitellään Sea Limitediä ja myös Grabia. :slight_smile:

Tviittaja on aikas positiivinen näiden yhtiöiden suhteen keskipitkällä ja pitkällä aikavälillä. Hänen optimisminsa perustuu Kaakkois-Aasian alueen väestörakenteeseen ja talouden kasvupotentiaaliin. Alueella odotetaan merkittäviä taloudellisia myötätuulia vuoteen 2030 ja myös sen jälkeen, mikä voi auttaa näiden yritysten menestymisessä.

https://x.com/GabGrowth/status/1882479274445430948

Loppuosa tviittiketjusta


image
image
image


image



image

image






image
image
image

2 Likes

On taas tuhti ketju, eli varaa tähän aikaa. :slight_smile:

Vähän samanlainen kuin tuo yläpuolella oleva ketju, jossa on nämä kaksi kaverusta.

“Past, Present, Future”

https://x.com/GabGrowth/status/1895473266829189261

Loppuosa tviittiketjusta




























3 Likes

Sea Limited kasvatti liikevaihtoaan merkittävästi. Kaikki liiketoiminta-alueet kasvoivat ja kannattavuuksienkin osalta meni hyvin. Verkkokaupan volyymi ylitti aiemmat ennätykset, lisäksi rahoituspalvelut laajensivat luotonantoaan nopeasti jne.

Premarketis oli ainakin aluksi kovas nousus. :slight_smile:

https://x.com/ConsensusGurus/status/1896888065055924339

image


EDIT:

Kuvaava kuvaaja

https://x.com/finchat_io/status/1896942472745619724

1 Like

Aika hyvältä näyttää alla olevien palkkien ja käppyröiden osalta. :slight_smile: Yhtiön YTD on tällä hetkellä päälle 20 pinnaa, joten hyvä meno on huomioitu sijoittajien parissa.

https://x.com/DTF_Capital/status/1896568899778543925

image


Liikevaihto ja kannattavuus asiat ovat aika hyvällä mallilla. Tviitissä pohditaan sitä, että kasvavat kustannukset voivat muodostua ongelmaksi. :thinking:

https://x.com/ondrejslunecko/status/1898167647390646616


3 Likes

Tässä on Sea Limitedistä kattava tviittiketju, jonka lukemiseen kannattaa todella varata aikaa. :slight_smile:

Toki toistoa edellisiin ketjuihin nähden, mutta myös uuttakin. :slight_smile:

https://x.com/micscofie1d/status/1903806976619893080

Loppuosa tviittiketjusta



















1 Like

Sea Group kasvoi hyvin ekalla kvartaalilla erityisesti liikevaihdon, bruttovoiton ja kannattavuuden osalta.

Shopee-alustan verkkokauppa teki ennätystuloksen sekä tilausmäärissä että GMV:ssä ja yhtiö säilytti johtoasemansa sekä Aasiassa että Brasiliassa. Kasvu perustui kilpailukykyiseen hinnoitelun, palvelun laatuun ja kuulemma sisällön kehittämiseen.

Yhtiön rahoituspalvelut toimivat nyt nimellä Monee, ja niiden tulos kasvoi merkittävästi kohtalaisella riskitasolla. Digiviihdepuoli menestyi myös hyvin erityisesti Garena ja Free Fire, jonka suosio kasvoi merkittävästi jonkin NARUTO-yhteistyön ansiosta.

Ainakin yhtiön johto sanoo uskovansa koko vuoden tavoitteiden saavuttamiseen.

https://x.com/Earnings_Time/status/1922239469228331504



Yhtiön matskut

2 Likes

Tässä on vielä Sean lukuhommia visualisoituna. :slight_smile:

https://x.com/EconomyApp/status/1922326218042703937

image


https://x.com/wolfofharcourt/status/1922241662706692200

image

2 Likes

Tomorrow, Sea Limited will release its H1 results at approximately 2:30 PM.

Consensus for the upcoming results:
Revenue $4.97 billion, +31% YoY
EPS: $0.73, +423% YoY

I’m following with a small position myself and hope that in the big picture things move forward, the market dips, and I can get more at a cheaper price. :cowboy_hat_face:

2 Likes

Sea Limited’s earnings fell short of analysts’ expectations, but revenue, on the other hand, was a positive surprise. Shopee continued its strong growth and set a new record, performing particularly well in the Brazilian market, where profitability was reportedly also in order.

Monee grew its business, and Garena expects over 30 percent growth next year, with Free Fire holding its ground globally.

https://x.com/earnings_guy/status/1955216085130633480
image
image


Company’s own materials

image
image
image
image
image
image
image

2 Likes

Here are a few more highlights from Sea Limited and its results. :slight_smile:

Here’s more on the company’s performance by category.

https://x.com/fiscal_ai/status/1955273087345479804
image
image


Here’s an excellent comparison table, which also shows the beats and misses. :slight_smile:

https://x.com/StockMarketNerd/status/1955260078535094746
image
image

Many find data visualizations appealing, so I’m including this one:

https://x.com/EconomyApp/status/1955269570832273726
image
image

3 Likes

A somewhat thought-provoking tweet about Sea Limited. :slight_smile:

https://x.com/emergingmktbull/status/1971353320670494867


2 Likes

Sea’s founder and CEO Forrest Li interviewed by Nicolai Tangen of the Norwegian Oil Fund. Duration 49min.

3 Likes

Tomorrow, Sea Limited will release its Q3 results. Again, impressive growth figures are expected, which, in terms of valuation, shouldn’t leave much to be desired. It will also be interesting to see how the geographical distribution plays out, and whether SE has gained more foothold in Brazil.

My own forecast is that there will be a small EPS miss and revenue will exceed expectations.

3 Likes

The Quartr forecasts above were so wrong that the EPS consensus estimate was 0.74, not the aforementioned 0.95. But to the results:

As I suspected, revenue will exceed expectations and EPS will fall short. I admit, however, that the EPS miss was larger than I initially thought.

Overall, another very beautiful quarter! Revenue grew +38% YoY, which is quite astonishing for a company of this size. Shopee’s GMV growth guidance was raised to >25% (previously 20%). This is the most important driver for SE as an investment case.

Overall

image

Shopee
The spearhead is moving like a train on its tracks.

Monee


Garena
The cash cow pumps out steady cash flow, which other segments can then splurge on. :smiling_face_with_sunglasses:

In the markets, it seems that investors are somewhat spooked by the earnings per share falling short of forecasts. In reality, when a growth company like this puts all its money into growth, while still making a profit, I am not worried about the results of individual quarters. As I wrote in Melin’s thread, Melin’s management stated that there is a market to be captured now, so growth should be pursued. Profitability can be refined later, which both companies have a track record of.

So, was the EPS miss bad? From the forecasts, probably yes, but still EPS growth of 142% YoY. It’s not a completely bad performance, however. I am a happy shareholder and hope for a slight dip so I can add to my small position.

4 Likes

A bit more aggressive share buyback?

Sea Limited just sent a fresh ripple through the market, authorizing a share repurchase program of up to US$1 billion that could be interpreted as a quiet vote of confidence in its long-term trajectory.

Sea Limited’s board has approved a share repurchase program, authorizing the use of up to USD 1 billion for the acquisition of its own shares!

The market has given some slack over the past 3 months, but the company’s management seems to have confidence in the company’s long-term prospects.

3 Likes

A tweeter reports noticing that SPX parcel lockers are everywhere in Singapore. Life reportedly became easier immediately; no need to pay for home delivery or walk far to pick up packages.

According to the tweeter, with Shopee’s volumes, this saves a huge amount of so-called last-mile costs and makes their logistics clearly stronger and more attractive than competitors.

SPX Express is Shopee’s own logistics service, a subsidiary of Sea Limited.

More about this in the tweet below :slight_smile:

https://x.com/GabGrowth/status/1994039458539479489



3 Likes