Saxlund - Turnaround Company from Sweden?

There are a few people following the company in the energy thread, and from time to time, the discussion revolves around Saxlund, so I thought it might be necessary to start a dedicated thread for the company.

Let’s start with a bit of Saxlund’s history (this is a bit unclear to me as well, but let’s fill it in):

Back when Pronea Miljöteknik went bankrupt, some people saw potential in the company’s flue gas expertise, and Pilum was formed. In 2016, Pilum acquired Saxlund (the deal also included Hotab) → Saxlund’s CEO became Pilum’s CEO. In 2017, Pilum’s last operation, Envipower AB, went bankrupt. Around June 2017, Pilum’s name was changed to Saxlund.

So, the current Saxlund has very few connections to the old Pilum. This will surely raise questions when looking at the company’s stock chart over a longer period.

http://www.saxlund.se

There is also info in English on the website, but unfortunately, the PMs (press releases) are only in Swedish. I have messaged the CEO about this, saying it would be good to publish these in English as well, but I haven’t received a reply so far.

Here are the latest reports and excerpts from them; quotes were made using a translator as the “second national language” (Swedish) isn’t exactly my strength. The figures in parentheses are the corresponding numbers from 2018.

Q3/2019
http://webtools.bequoted.com/news/post?key=delarsrapport-januari-september-2019-73940&channel=244&ecss=http://media.saxlund.se.loopiadns.com/2018/01/BECSS1.css

“Operating profit for the period amounted to SEK -5,933 (-58,710). The result has been charged with approximately SEK 1,000,000 in respect of fixed costs and which have been wound up.”

H1/2019
http://webtools.bequoted.com/news/post?key=delarsrapport-januari-juni-2019-72310&channel=244&ecss=http://media.saxlund.se.loopiadns.com/2018/01/BECSS1.css

“Operating profit for the period amounts to SEK -6,085 (-11,455). The result has been charged with approximately SEK 2,500,000 regarding fixed costs that have been settled.”

Q1/2019
http://webtools.bequoted.com/news/post?key=delarsrapport-januari-mars-2019-71446&channel=244&ecss=http://media.saxlund.se.loopiadns.com/2018/01/BECSS1.css

“Operating profit for January-March amounts to SEK -3,642 (-15,041), of which approximately SEK -1,000 is attributable to costs that were settled during the quarter.”

A few more interesting things picked from the press releases.

CEO’s comments from the Q3 report regarding Germany’s phosphorus regulations.

"There are a number of positive indications that Saxlund will further fill the order book in the near future. The German law on the recovery of phosphorus, which requires that every water treatment plant in Germany with a purification capacity for more than 50,000 person equivalents will need to recover phosphorus, opens up a new market for Saxlund’s material handling equipment. The law will drive the combustion of sewage sludge for the recovery of phosphorus and Saxlund’s solution with our unique sludge pump, with excellent operational safety, has great potential to win projects in this exciting new market for Saxlund’s products. There are about 500 such treatment plants in Germany. That adjustment will need to be done by 2023. "

This didn’t remain just empty talk from the CEO; instead, at the beginning of this year, press releases were released, causing the stock price to soar. The value of these deals was 33.7 MSEK (3.2M€), which is a fairly significant size compared to the company’s turnover. So, regarding Germany, there is still potential for 498 plants left. If they can get further involved in these, there is very significant potential for Saxlund, as these should be ready by 2023.

Link to the German deal: http://webtools.bequoted.com/news/post?key=dotterbolag-i-tyskland-tecknar-tva-kontrakt-till-varde-av-ca-74609&channel=244&ecss=http://media.saxlund.se.loopiadns.com/2018/01/BECSS1.css

Here’s a bit about the German JV: https://www.euwid-recycling.de/news/wirtschaft/einzelansicht/Artikel/martin-und-kuettner-gruenden-joint-venture-fuer-klaerschlammverbrennungsanlagen.html

Apparently, there are additional opportunities for these phosphorus projects outside of Germany as well, as Sweden is supposedly planning a similar directive, if I interpret this article correctly.
kuva

Deals have also been secured in the UK for Helvellyn, which plans to build 20 plants, and Saxlund has secured a deal for this first one.

http://webtools.bequoted.com/news/post?key=dotterbolag-i-uk-sakrar-kontrakt-till-varde-av-ca-17-mgbp-71630&channel=244&ecss=http://media.saxlund.se.loopiadns.com/2018/01/BECSS1.css

Also, another factory/plant project is progressing:

https://helvellyngroup.com/2020/02/helvellyn-group-gains-planning-approval-for-second-production-plant/
" Construction of the building is due to start imminently, with contracted production due to commence in Q1 2021."

http://webtools.bequoted.com/news/post?key=dotterbolag-i-uk-sakrar-kontrakt-till-varde-av-ca-17-mgbp-71630&channel=244&ecss=http://media.saxlund.se.loopiadns.com/2018/01/BECSS1.css

In my opinion, a very promising case! I own shares and made my first purchases at 0.37 kr and have been increasing my position upon positive news. Saxlund’s financial statement will be released on February 19, 2020, so we will get more information then on whether the company is headed in the right direction.

What are other people’s thoughts on the company?

If this company doesn’t deserve its own thread, perhaps @Verneri_Pulkkinen can move this post to the energy thread or, for example, the Swedish micro- and small-cap thread.

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A nicely put-together summary of the company. I would also add one more business pillar to this thread: the agreement of a Nordic-wide service business contract with the Lithuanian partner, Komforts. The annual impact is around 500k-700k€, which is quite significant for a company of this size.

http://webtools.bequoted.com/news/post?key=saxlund-tecknar-exklusivt-avtal-for-service-och-eftermarknad-74749&channel=244&ecss=http://media.saxlund.se.loopiadns.com/2018/01/BECSS1.css

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I could create a dedicated company page for this, so you can follow it and get stock market releases, stock prices, and ownership listings from here :slight_smile:

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Here you go, guys: Saxlund Group - osake - Inderes

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Excellent summary!:+1::+1: I think a dedicated thread for Saxlund is well justified. There might be reason to write about this company in the near future (hopefully, I own shares myself) if things progress as anticipated. Job well done @jaska1

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Many thanks @Yu_Gong!

This would also be a suitable target for analysis for the Swedish office!

@Keepitcoming That’s an important addition. The CEO has even emphasized that it’s one of the areas for development and they definitely want to be involved in the maintenance side. A few more deals like that and the foundation for the maintenance business will be quite nice!

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Thumbs up for this, just start a new thread for companies that are discussed a lot! :+1:t3:

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Let’s add these complaint cases for a few more orders.

http://webtools.bequoted.com/news/post?key=dotterbolag-i-sverige-erhaller-tilldelningsbeslut-71813&channel=244&ecss=http://media.saxlund.se.loopiadns.com/2018/01/BECSS1.css

Saxlund won this tender, but a complaint was filed within that 2-week period.

The CEO’s comments on this from H1/2019:

“As the company has communicated previously, the Swedish subsidiary has been allocated one more deal, to Tekniska Verken i Kiruna AB. Unfortunately, as in many other public procurement, the award decision was appealed and the Technical Works have therefore chosen to redo the procurement. Regardless of the outcome, it is positive that Saxlund transportable heat plants are competitive even in public procurement.” → if these complaints can be resolved and Saxlund becomes the supplier after all the paperwork, this will also have a positive effect on the share price.

A complaint was also received for this other deal, for the entire 34MSEK.

Deal announcement: http://webtools.bequoted.com/news/post?key=dotterbolag-i-sverige-erhaller-tilldelningsbeslut-till-varde-74350&channel=244&ecss=http://media.saxlund.se.loopiadns.com/2018/01/BECSS1.css

Announcement following the complaint: http://webtools.bequoted.com/news/post?key=tilldelningsbeslut-overklagat-74419&channel=244&ecss=http://media.saxlund.se.loopiadns.com/2018/01/BECSS1.css

My expertise is not sufficient regarding these complaints, but somehow I would imagine that Saxlund is still in a strong position for these orders.

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More information on Saxlund’s development can be found on this company page compiled by Morningstar (pdf).

The company’s situation looks difficult. Revenue is around a couple of hundred million Swedish kronor, but operating costs are pushing the result into the red. Shareholders should be prepared to continue financing the company.

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Yep. That’s exactly what it looks like. However, I recommend reading the 2019 reports and checking if a turnaround is happening here. You should also download those PDF dollars to see the numbers etc. more accurately. Unfortunately, they are only in Swedish.

But even if a turnaround were to happen, it’s not realistic to expect it to be so massive that some financing arrangements wouldn’t be needed, IMO.

Edit: In this publication (from 2017), it talks about phosphorus recovery in Germany, in Finnish.

http://julkaisut.valtioneuvosto.fi/bitstream/handle/10024/80670/62_Jatevesienfosforihyotykayttoon_30082017.pdf p. 18

“3.5.1 Legislation and guidance on wastewater sludge treatment and application
The German Bundestag approved a new wastewater sludge decree on 24 May 2015, which mandates phosphorus recovery from sewage sludge in all treatment plants serving more than 50,000 people. The obligation applies to approximately 500 treatment plants, where the sludge produced contains about 66% of all phosphorus in sewage sludge generated in Germany. The decree gives treatment plants a transition period of 12–15 years to fulfill the obligation. By 2023, the treatment plants subject to the phosphorus recovery obligation must develop a recovery concept. Only treatment plants smaller than the set limit can continue to apply sludge to soil in the future, and the new decree tightens the limit values for organic pollutants in these sludges. (BMUB 2017, ESPP 2017b, ESPP 2017f)”

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Let’s continue here; Last year’s annual report came out at 6:00 PM, as did this year’s Q1, but Q2 and Q3 came out in the morning. I couldn’t find the time for tomorrow on the company’s website.

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One would imagine it would come before the market opens. Well, we’ll see tomorrow! I think I’ll go all in for tomorrow, so no lightening up today.

Has anyone found that post?

Came here when the time was right… Investerare

It’s here already :slight_smile:

The improvement over the previous year is at least amazing. I haven’t had time to delve into it in more detail yet.

At least for now, the stock price reaction is subdued. It’s a horizontal flight…

That financial statement is probably already priced into the stock’s rise over the past few months.

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Did you notice that the number of shares has increased 12-fold since last year? At the time of the financial statement, the company already had 332,763,678 shares, which gives a market value of 233 million at a share price of 0.7 kronor. The company no longer had equity at the turn of the year, so there is a fairly reasonable risk of bankruptcy here.

The calculation of changes in equity is quite stark:

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Yeah, it’s been known that they need additional funding before they can stand on their own two feet again. And this, of course, includes the risk that funding won’t be secured and they’ll have to close up shop.

But they seem to be on a good path, which would support the idea that funding will be arranged. Revenue has remained almost the same even though costs have been significantly reduced.

(Translated with Google Translate)

  • Revenue was SEK 47,976 (51,625)
  • Operating profit for the period was -445 SEK (-5,387). The result is charged with fixed costs, of which approximately SEK 500,000 has been paid
  • Profit after tax was 369 SEK (-7,910)
  • Earnings per share were SEK 0.00 (-0.31) before and after dilution
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The CEO’s words were pleasant and optimistic to read; there is faith in the company’s turnaround:

"It is very interesting that we have signed an agreement with Martin and Küttner-Martin, which was established under Germany’s phosphorus recovery law. The market for similar deals will grow in the coming years, and Saxlund’s unique sludge pump positions the group well to sign more agreements in 2020 and beyond.

Saxlund England has shown good development in 2019 with a positive result and is well-positioned to start new business in 2020.

Saxlund has worked hard in 2019 to develop its own service and aftermarkets, but has also explored how the group can expand its offerings. It is therefore very pleasing that Saxlund is now the exclusive representative of the Komfort Group in Scandinavia. Komforts has delivered approximately 30 plants over the last 10 years. The agreement is valid for 2 years, and Saxlund expects aftermarket sales to grow by approximately 5,000–7,000k SEK."

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