Minkäslainen vaikutus valuuttakursseilla on bisnekseen. Yhtiö nyt operoi useassa maassa, mutta kaipa tuo realin viime aikainen vahvistuminen voidaan nähdä positiivisena signaalina
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Siirtyy koko ajan enemmän koviin valuuttoihin, on jo nyt valtaosaltaan niissä.
Mutta esim. USD:n vahvistuminen tekee todennäköisesti Q1:stä haastavan tuloksen osalta, vaikka bisnes muuten etenisi odotettuun suuntaan.
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Realin osuus näköjään sen verran pieni, ettei kurssimuutokset ihan mahdottomasti bisnestä enää heiluttele
Alex Saigh, Patria’s CEO, said: “Patria is off to a very exciting start to 2025 as fundraising totaled a record $3.2 billion, highlighting the expanded reach of our investment platforms and distribution capabilities, and putting us in a strong position to achieve our $6 billion fundraising target for the year. We also reported 1Q25 FRE of $42.6 million, or $0.27 per share, representing year-over-year growth of 21% and 16%, respectively, despite the volatility in the region. Also, FEAUM grew 6% sequentially and 46% year-over-year, and we generated over $700 million of organic net inflows, reflecting an annualized organic growth rate of 9%. While a looming trade war and rising global economic concerns create potential headwinds, we believe we are well positioned to generate the $200 to $225 million of FRE we are targeting for 2025 as the increased diversification of our platform is paying off in terms of fundraising and profitable organic growth, enhancing our confidence in the three-year targets we introduced at our Investor Day back on December 9 th*.”*
Financial Highlights (reported in $ USD)
IFRS results included $13.6 million of net income attributable to Patria in Q1 2025. Patria generated Fee Related Earnings of $42.6 million in Q1 2025, up 21% from $35.1 million in Q1 2024, with an FRE margin of 55.1%. Distributable Earnings were $36.8 million for Q1 2025, or $0.23 per share.
Ei tuo hirveän huonolta vaikuta taaskaan. Hyvää kasvua ja ohjeistus kuluvalle vuodelle toistettiin. Näiden latinofirmojen osakkeet eivät kyllä liikahda oikein minnekään. Yleensä alas 
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Noin 10% AUM lisäys kiinteistöjen hallintaan.
https://ir.patria.com/node/8281/html#dp229056_ex9901.htm
Patria Investments Signs Agreement Involving Six Real Estate Funds from Genial Investimentos
Transaction reinforces leadership in the Brazilian REIT market and enhances portfolio diversification. With this transaction, Patria’s Real Estate division in Brazil adds approximately R$ 2.5 billion in AUM, reaching a total of R$ 26 billion.
May 30, 2025 – Patria Investments, a leading alternative asset manager in Latin America, announces the signing of an agreement for the transfer of portfolio management of six real estate investment funds (FIIs) from Genial Investimentos. This transaction is part of Patria’s broader strategy to expand and diversify its Real Estate portfolio. Completion of the transaction is subject to approval by Brazilian’s antitrust authority (CADE) and the respective investors’ assembly of the FIIs.
While the financial terms of the transaction will not be disclosed, upon completion, approximately R$ 2.5 billion in assets under management will be added to Patria’s Real Estate portfolio, bringing the total to around R$ 26 billion. This further consolidates Patria’s leadership among independent REIT managers in Brazil, with three of the largest funds in their respective segments: HGLG (logistics), PVBI (offices), and HGRU (urban income), as well as some of the top-performing funds in the credit and securities segments (CVBI, HGCR, and RVBI).
Upon satisfaction of the closing conditions, Patria’s subsidiaries will assume management of the funds. The six funds involved, which collectively have nearly 190,000 unitholders, are: MALL11 (shopping centers), BPFF11 (fund of funds), PLCR11 (CRIs), SPTW11 (offices), GLOG11 (logistics), and PLCA11 (CRAs).
“This is an important step that further strengthens Patria’s REIT portfolio, which is already one of the largest and most diversified in the country—especially following the acquisitions of VBI’s and CSHG’s real estate businesses. This transaction consolidates Patria’s leadership and expands the range of attractive investment opportunities, while continuing to deliver consistent returns to our investors” said Rodrigo Abbud, Partner and Head of Real Estate at Patria Investments in Brazil.
Patria’s Real Estate portfolio currently includes 18 FIIs listed on B3 and 2 FIIs traded over-the-counter, operating across key market segments such as logistics, offices, urban income, credit, and securities. By strengthening its presence in strategic sectors and increasing portfolio diversification, Patria positions itself as a compelling platform for investors. At the same time, the ongoing consolidation of the REIT market contributes to the professionalization of the industry, raising management standards and benefiting both unitholders and tenants.
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Patria on mukana tarjoamassa United Healthista ($UNH) myynnissä olevasta LatAm alueen toimijasta Banmedica 'sta
Banmedican EBITDA 200M$ luokkaa, arviolta 1Mrd$ kauppahinta
The company has four non-binding bids for its Banmedica subsidiary, which operates in Colombia and Chile, for about $1 billion, according to both people, who asked not to be identified because the talks are private.
UnitedHealth’s shares tumbled 25.5% in May alone and year-to-date are down 40%. UnitedHealth left Brazil in 2023 and Peru in March. It is aiming to get around $1 billion for Banmedica’s operations in Colombia and Chile, the people said.
The two people said the company expects to set a deadline for binding proposals as soon as July.
UnitedHealth received bids from Washington, D.C.-based private equity firm Acon Investments; Sao Paulo-based private equity firm Patria Investments (PAX.O), opens new tab; Texas non-profit health firm Christus Health; and Lima-based healthcare and insurance provider Auna (GZ4.F), opens new tab, the people said. Auna is in talks with a financial partner, one of the sources added.
Patria, UnitedHealth Group and Christus Health declined to comment. Acon and Auna did not respond to requests for comment.
Lisäksi uusin sijoittajapresis julkaistu, on taas lukemista 
https://ir.patria.com/static-files/afe069aa-87ad-432c-82c6-278c909f554a
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Q2 luvut omaan silmään näyttävät hyviltä ja lisäksi loppuvuodelle nostettiin 5-10% fundraisingin tavoitetta alkuperäisestä 6 miljardista. FRE suhteen ohjeistus pidettiin 200-225 miljoonassa vuodelle.
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Hyvältähän tää näyttää edelleen 
Financial Highlights (reported in $ USD)IFRS results included $22.5 million of net income attributable to Patria in Q3 2025. Patria generated Fee Related Earnings of $49.5 million in Q3 2025, up 22% from $40.6 million in Q3 2024, with an FRE margin of 58.5%. Distributable Earnings were $46.9 million for Q3 2025, or $0.30 per share, up 31% from $0.23 in Q3 2024.
Dividends
Patria declared a quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share to record holders of common stock at the close of business on November 14th, 2025. This dividend will be paid on December 12th, 2025.
ja Q3 sijoittajapresis:
https://ir.patria.com/static-files/36eb4673-6649-48c5-9b80-deb1a25905ae
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Ja kertoivat myös maksavansa ensi vuonna 0,65 taalaa osinkoa per osake eli 8,33 % korotus vuositasolla. I’ll take it.
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Sijoittajapuhelussa oli ihan hyvää infoa tarjolla. Dollarin viime aikainen heikentyminen nähdään positiivisena asiana, kun sijoittajat historiallisesti ovat suunnanneet katseensa kehittyville markkinoille. Toki nyt vähän kaikkea muutakin tapahtuu markkinoilla, joten nähtäväksi jää mihin suuntaan asiat menevät
Palkkiotuottojen kasvun odotetaan jatkuvan 2026 ollen noin 1.42 - 1.54 dollaria osakkeelta. Tähän tietysti päälle mahdolliset tuottosidonnaiset palkkiot ym, joita pitäisi tulla ihan mukavasti
On tuo jonkin verran noussut, mutta ei osake ainakaan verrokkeihin nähden kovin kallis ole mikäli kurssi on noin reilut 10X palkkiotuotot
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isosti lisää yrityslainamarkkinaa haltuun 
hankintahinnasta en löytänyt mainintaa 
Patria Investments Limited (“Patria”) (NASDAQ: PAX), a global alternative asset manager, announced today the agreement to acquire 51% of Solis Investimentos, a Brazilian investment manager specializing in the structuring and management of CLOs. The CLO market in Brazil has been benefiting from a variety of structural and secular trends which have driven asset growth at a compound annual growth rate (“CAGR”) of 35% over the last 5 years.
Upon completion of the transaction, the addition of Solis’ approximate US$ 3.5 bn of Fee-Earning AUM (“FEAUM”) will increase Patria’s total Credit FEAUM by over 40% to more than US$ 11.7 bn pro-forma as of 3Q25, solidifying its position as a leading Credit platform in Latin America. Pro-forma for the transaction, Credit will account for over 25% of Patria’s total FEAUM.
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Ja seuraava isompi kauppa
UnitedHealth myy Banmedican Patrialle
UnitedHealth Group has agreed to sell its last South American business Banmedica to Brazilian private equity group Patria Investments for $1 billion, two sources with knowledge of the matter said on Sunday.
The final agreement was signed on Saturday and an announcement is expected on Monday, the sources added, asking for anonymity to disclose private talks.
UnitedHealth has been trying to exit Latin America since 2022 and had previously sold its businesses in Brazil and Peru.
The sale of Banmedica, which currently operates in Colombia and Chile, has been under discussion for almost a year.
Patria and UnitedHealth did not immediately reply to requests for comment on Sunday. Banmedica had 1.7 million health insurance plan members, seven hospitals and 47 medical centers as of June, after its divestment from Peru.
The exit from the region reduces one more distraction from the turnaround efforts led by CEO Stephen Hemsley. UnitedHealth, a member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, raised its annual profit forecast in October and said it aims for a return to growth in 2026 that should accelerate in 2027.
Hemsley returned as CEO in May after leading the company from 2006 to 2017 and has been working to regain investor and consumer trust after a difficult period for UnitedHealth that included the murder of a top executive, an unexpected surge in medical costs and a federal probe.
He was brought in as a part of a management shakeup after the company’s first earnings miss in over a decade in April.
UnitedHealth booked an $8.3 billion loss last year related to the sale of its South American operations, $7.1 billion stemming from the Brazil exit and $1.2 billion from Banmedica.
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Tuossa tarkemmin Solis-yritysostosta sekä CLO markkinasta
On noi lainamarkkinan luvut melko isoja 
https://ir.patria.com/static-files/a94efafa-6b45-44bf-8005-703904aefa87
Tarkemmat speksit transaktiosta
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Patria on kaivanut ostohousut kaapista loppuvuoteen.
Uusi REIT -toimija tarttunut syöttiin ja siirtynyt PAXin haltuun. noin 20% lisäys kiinteistöjen hallittavaan omaisuuteen.
Realin 
painoarvo kasvaa valuuttojen osalta 15% → 25%
Patria Investments Limited (“Patria”) (NASDAQ: PAX), a global alternative asset manager, announced today the agreement to acquire RBR Gestão de Recursos Ltda. (“RBR Gestão”), which, after internal corporate reorganization, will hold approximately US$ 1.5 bn of listed Real Estate Investment Trusts (“REITs”). RBR Gestão is the current manager of 12 funds, of which 11 are listed REITs focused predominately on Credit and Multi-Asset strategies. Other assets that are not within the perimeter of the transaction will be carved out under the aforementioned internal corporate reorganization and will remain under the management of other RBR Group companies and their respective teams. Although not subject to shareholders nor antitrust approvals, the transaction remains subject to the satisfaction of conditions precedent customary for this type of transaction. Post acquisition, Patria will be the leading manager of listed REITs in Brazil with scale across a variety of strategies, including Office, Logistics, Credit, Multi-Asset and Urban Retail.
Upon closing of the transaction, the addition of approximately US$ 1.3 bn of Fee Earning Assets under Management (“FEAUM”) will increase Patria’s total Real Estate FEAUM to US$ 8.5 bn pro-forma as of 3Q25, representing a Compound Annual Growth Rate (“CAGR”) of over 65% since Patria’s IPO in early 2021. Patria’s high-margin Real Estate strategies, of which 90% is in permanent capital vehicles, will account for over 20% of Patria’s total FEAUM.
Rodrigo Abbud, Patria’s Head of Real Estate in Brazil, said: “It’s remarkable to see the evolution of Patria’s Real Estate platform. With the acquisition of RBR Gestão and the management of these 12 funds, Patria becomes the leading REIT manager in Brazil, positioning us for continued growth in a market where, in addition to investment performance, scale is key.”
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Shorttirapsa julkaistu muutama päivä sitten
- Kovin olennaisia ongelmakohtia en tuosta löytänyt. Osa omistuksista varmasti pärjää paremmin ja toiset huonommin, kuuluu yritystoimintaan.
- Rahastojen väliset siirrot on nähdäkseni normaalia toimintaa, kun vanhoja suljetaan ja osa omistuksista siirretään uuteen.
- Rahastoista irtautuminen on vielä kesken, joten realisoitunutta NAVia on aika turhaa vertailla, näyttää graafilla toki kivalta agenda huomioiden.
Pallottelin asiaa myös ChatGPT:n kanssa. Yhteenveto raportin pääkohdista piilotettuna, jos haluaa lukea.
1) Core Short Thesis — “Overstating performance & masking losses”
Snowcap Claim:
Patria is allegedly masking losses in flagship funds by using aggressive valuations and off-balance-sheet loans, keeping cash-burning/distressed assets marked high despite poor fundamentals. Key funds supposedly hide weak performance and unrealized NAV is dominated by a few troubled positions.
Assessment:
- Mixed credibility — Private markets do rely on valuations, and differences between private valuations and public comps are common. However, Snowcap’s narrative is built on their interpretation of Brazilian filings and former employee quotes — not verified by independent auditors or regulators.
- Independent public information (e.g., analyst commentary) notes Patria has delivered mixed profitability and variable fundraising efficiency, but no public audit/regulator has found wrongdoing.
Verdict: Unverified and potentially biased hypothesis. Snowcap’s own disclosure states they hold a short position, signaling inherent bias.
2) Extreme Valuation Multiples on Key Holdings
Snowcap Claim:
Examples like Elfa Medicamentos valued at ~15x EV/EBITDA vs 4–6x for listed peers, and other portfolio companies at high multiples despite distress indicators.
Assessment:
- Possible, but context matters — Private company valuations are inherently less precise than public ones. High multiples may reflect growth, control premiums, illiquidity, or different EBITDA adjustments.
- Snowcap compares private valuations to public comps without always accounting for differences in business models or risk profiles.
- Snowcap’s view that “Elfa equity could be worthless” is speculative without audited asset-by-asset liquidation/valuation evidence.
Verdict: Claim requires deeper due diligence; not conclusive on its own.
3) Off-Balance Sheet Loans & Fund Guarantees
Snowcap Claim:
Alleges Patria used off-balance sheet financing and fund guarantees to prop up troubled investments and delay loss recognition.
Assessment:
- This is a red-flag style allegation, but unproven in public domain.
- There’s no known regulatory or auditor finding that Patria has improperly hidden liabilities or used illicit structures to mislead investors.
- Recent news notes a delay in the Form 20-F filing — but this was explained as extended reviews due to business combinations, not fraud.
Verdict: Unverified; presented as speculation rather than documented fact.
4) Performance Fees & Asset Transfers Between Funds
Snowcap Claim:
Most performance fees in FY2024 came from a transfer of assets between Patria funds instead of real portfolio exits.
Assessment:
- It’s possible funds engage in cross-fund transactions; this occurs in private markets, but whether this was done to artificially inflate fees is not independently confirmed.
- Public filings do not highlight irregularities in fee reporting or banned practices.
Verdict: Allegation of questionable behavior requires substantiation beyond short-seller analysis.
5) AUM Roll-off & Duration Risk
Snowcap Claim:
Claims up to 40% of AUM could mature/roll off within 3 years, potentially pressuring earnings.
Assessment:
- This is plausible as a private markets feature — many funds have finite lives and will either realize exits or roll into new vehicles.
- Patria’s disclosures on AUM mix and duration aren’t as granular publicly, so the exact roll-off percentage is hard to verify independently.
Verdict: Possible risk factor, not necessarily misconduct.
6) Blackstone Exit / Auditor Change / CFO Resignation
Snowcap Points:
- Blackstone sold down its stake.
- Patria changed auditors in 2025 without full public explanation.
- CFO resignation observed.
Assessment:
- Blackstone selling down: Confirmed — Blackstone reduced its stake over time. That doesn’t necessarily imply performance issues; strategic de-risking is common.
- Auditor change & CFO departure: Patria’s filings do show changes in leadership and auditors, but absence of detailed comment doesn’t prove wrongdoing.
- Changes in management and service providers do happen normally in companies of this size.
Verdict: Relevant context but not proof of systemic fraud.
What Snowcap is not proving with public evidence
| Major Snowcap Claim | Verified Independently? |
|---|---|
| Patria is inflating NAVs fraudulently |  Not independently verified |
| Assets are worthless despite valuations | Speculative |
| Off-balance sheet guarantees misused | Unproven |
| Management lacked transparency |  Some governance changes, but no regulatory finding |
Toiselta kantilta katsottuna:
- USD/Real kurssi on otollinen ja vaikka valuuttakurssien vaikutus on pienentynyt, niin tällä on potentiaalisesti ainakin lyhyellä aikavälillä tulosta parantava vaikutus.
- Kehittyvät markkinat vetää nyt enemmän pääomia, kun US-markkina näyttää samoja piirteitä ja siellä riskitasot kasvussa.
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Yhtiöhän sanoi tulosjulkistuksessa, että suunnitelmissa tähtäillä USA:n( ja Meksikon) (real estate& Credit ainakin) markkinoille.
Saa nähdä vaikuttaako USA:n epävakaampi meininki näihin suunnitelmiin. Tosin sieltä saattaa kyllä avautua mielenkiintoisia kohteita kun vähän on ristiaallokkoa käynnissä.
Noin yleisesti täytyy kyllä tj:n vastailuista sanoa että on ainakin perusteellisia ja laajoja vastauksia Q& A- sessioissa. Tietty voihan sieltä jäädä jotain olennaista piiloonkin, mutta kyllä vaikuttaisi, että halutaan vastata mieluummin liikaa kuin liian vähän.
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Q4 tulosjulkistus siirtyy viikon verran aikaisemmaksi eli on huomenna 3.2.2026:
Ja USA:ssa ostoksilla:
https://ir.patria.com/static-files/53b375d7-a3c4-47e0-aa15-332605eb2f6c
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