Inquiries, dismay, and hype regarding stock prices and their changes (Part 4)

Haha… this is unreal. I decided to take a position in a stock for the first time in a long time, as I’ve basically only held indexes for a couple of years. I bought SoFi since it had dropped and still seems quite promising. Well, five minutes after buying and the price dives -6% out of nowhere. I’m starting to actually believe I have some kind of superpowers, because otherwise you just can’t time things this poorly. This is exactly why I’ve only held indexes.

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myyjan-muddy-watersin-hyokattya-yhtion-kimppuun`
* Translation: SoFi shares fell after short-seller Muddy Waters attacked the company.
* But it’s in a URL format.

*   If I translate it as a sentence: "SoFi shares fell as short-seller Muddy Waters attacked the company."
*   But it's a URL.

*   Actually, looking at Rule 6: "Ensure the translation only contains the original language and
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Yeah, I already noticed that something like this is obviously the case. It just makes me laugh what the probability is that a short report is published at the exact same moment I hit the buy button.

Let’s see what happens now. No idea how much truth there is behind the short report, but I’m sure it will be revealed in time.

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If you read the short report a bit further, you can see they’re completely clueless about the company’s business model. It was total bullshit. And yes, around the $17.6 mark where you bought is a very good entry. You should go read the SoFi thread.

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Recommendation: BUY

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Dividend yield has “collapsed” following the share price rise to a “modest” 11% level. Today 45 crowns and the journey continues towards 50? This one is an absolute gold mine too.

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Konkki hitting all-time highs today for a change :fire:

The portfolio’s biggest and most beautiful. But Fodelia continues to plow the depths and makes sure I don’t accidentally get rich :unamused_face:

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Likewise, the Helsinki Stock Exchange return index reached its first ATH today since the start of the war. It looks like another great year is ahead for Finnish retail investors who have a large portion of their holdings in the domestic market.

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It’s down a bit:

But it’s always worth looking at a longer timeframe :smiling_face_with_sunglasses:

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What’s funny about TTD is that even after this drop, it’s still about 50% overpriced.

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DOCN - the hero of my portfolio!
I already sold my position at the 61 mark. Then my spider-sense started screaming that it was a huge mistake, so I bought back (at a lower price). I originally invested in this because I thought even small players would want easy-to-maintain AI services, and that seems to be what’s happening now. The current share price is still amazing. Someone clearly knows something; I’m just tagging along since I don’t dare to fiddle with it anymore. I’d rather add more if it takes a proper dip.

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Are there any Helen of Troy (HELE) shareholders out there? Falling knives tend to attract Finns (myself included), but I’m not sure if the fall will ever end, as there is a risk of bankruptcy. I don’t consider it the most likely scenario, however, as Hele is still able to generate some free cash flow. It’s in a tight spot with its mountain of debt, though. It has made overpriced acquisitions, and it’s possible it could still take the whole business down. It’s come down a sweet -94.3% from its 2021 peak of $265.97 and hit new lows again today at $15.03. Has anyone dared to catch the knife? I’m a bit interested since I like unloved stocks, but it feels like no bottom can be found at all, so I might skip picking it up. It may well be unloved for a reason. I don’t think the balance sheet contains the kind of value that would create a floor for the share price. If I buy, it’ll be a maximum bet of a thousand euros, and it would be a risky investment where zero is a very possible outcome, but at the same time, it could also be a multibagger over the years.

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Tomorrow, obviously the same trend continues and 370 crowns on the board? :money_mouth_face::money_mouth_face::money_mouth_face::saluting_face::saluting_face::saluting_face: At least a 4% rise on Wall Street bodes well.

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I just bought my monthly installment according to my investment plan. Now the market is serving it up on a silver platter – let’s call this the Trump-induced March-April phenomenon.

VIX 25.09
S5FI 28.23
MMTH 44.91
AAII sentiment bears 52.0%
Equity put/call ratio 0.9

I might just buy another batch.

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The “familiar and safe” Sotkamo Silver has fallen nearly 60% from its yearly highs. This isn’t unusual for hype stocks, but rather a standard scenario.

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I owned HELE a few years ago. I thought that after the inflation crunch, the business would eventually return to growth. That turnaround never happened, but surprisingly, I even managed to get out of the stock with a small profit.

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Heh, my speculation regarding Vår Energi’s and Equinor’s reaction today was spot on. The rally is accelerating into absolute madness! I sold the rest of my Equinor at 371 and 385 crowns. The Vår trim already went through above 45 crowns. Selling is so tough, I should have the patience to wait. It seems people are only just now truly realizing that these are worth owning :sweat_smile::sweat_smile:

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Sorry, these texts seem to be ending up all over the place as I’m on my phone. But I find it very difficult to understand Hacksaw’s valuation. Those figures for the coming years are largely in line with Hacksaw’s own guidance. Figures provided by Redeye. So the market cap in euros is around 1.5 billion. And an EBIT of 200 million is already expected for this year. The 2028 figure is closer to 350 million. So the forward P/E (2028) is well under 5. Does the market not believe the guidance, or what’s the deal? The balance sheet is also in order, and Hacksaw pays dividends + buys back its own shares. “Budget Evo” is, on top of everything, in a fairly recession-proof industry, so macro concerns shouldn’t weigh on it that much. Is there a catch here, or is it a mispriced company? Will the growth come to a grinding halt? Are there enough growth drivers? Will competitors eventually steamroll the “little Evo”? Is this perhaps Intellego 2.0? :rofl:

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I’m a real stock picker, for example with this TTD :slight_smile:

https://x.com/fiscal_ai/status/2034299064586731824


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I’m also signing up for this Stock Picker of the Year race. My portfolio contains Hyzon, Avinger, TTD, Qt, and Tecnotree, Faron, and other favorites that have either taken a beating or gone completely bust.

Chin up and on towards new fortunes!

One can always make even worse investment decisions :wink:

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