Kuros Biosciences AG

Opening a thread for the medical product manufacturer Kuros Biosciences AG.

https://kurosbio.com/

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What does it do?

A medical device company that manufactures synthetic bone grafts. Its flagship product is MagnetOs, which is being rapidly expanded for global use.

“MagnetOs is an advanced bone graft substitute developed by Kuros Biosciences, designed to promote bone healing and fusion in various clinical situations, especially in spinal fusions.”

The business is therefore strongly developing around a product family built on a single product/technology.

Product competitive advantages?

Surface Technology:

MagnetOs technology and features: MagnetOs’ unique distinguishing feature is its NeedleGrip™ submicron surface technology. This surface technology guides wound healing into a bone-forming pathway and is capable of promoting bone growth even in soft tissue. The science behind this is called osteoimmunology, which is a growing field of research. This leads to more predictable fusion for surgeons and patients.

Clinical Evidence

Studies have demonstrated the superiority of MagnetOs compared to autograft in instrumented posterolateral fusion:

:black_small_square: MagnetOs achieved a 79% fusion rate compared to 47% with autograft.

:black_small_square: Particularly noteworthy is that in the subgroup of smokers (a very challenging patient group for achieving fusion), MagnetOs achieved a 74% fusion rate, whereas with autograft it was only 30%.

◦ Kuros is committed to producing the highest level of clinical evidence, which is rare in the synthetic bone graft market, where the FDA typically does not require clinical data for 510(k) clearance.

◦ Over 20 controlled clinical studies (Level I-IV) have been initiated or completed, including seven Level I studies. This creates comprehensive evidence of the product’s efficacy.

◦ MagnetOs has demonstrated the ability to produce well-organized and mature mineralized bone, and graft resorption is consistent with bone remodeling.

Note: To my understanding, OssDesign (a competitor of sorts), for example, has also had quite good fusion rates.

Excellent safety profile:

◦ MagnetOs does not contain human cells or growth factors, which reduces concerns about disease transmission.

◦ This differs significantly from many competitors, such as BMP-2 (Infuse®), which is associated with safety concerns such as atypical bone formation, radiculitis, dysphagia, inflammation, and potential cancer risks.

Ease of use and extensive product family:

◦ All MagnetOs formulations are stored at room temperature and are ready for use, offering efficiency and easy storage for hospitals and surgeons.

◦ The product is easy to mold and stays reliably in place.

◦ The MagnetOs product family includes MagnetOs Granules, MagnetOs Putty, MagnetOs Easypack Putty, and MagnetOs Flex Matrix, addressing the diverse needs of surgeons in various clinical situations.

Versatile applications:

Spinal fusion: It is used as a bone void filler in spinal fusion applications (PLF and interbody fusions). Notably, interbody space clearance significantly expanded its market potential. Most MagnetOs products can be used in “standalone” fusions, meaning they do not need to be supplemented with the patient’s own bone (autograft).

Extremities and pelvis (orthopedics): MagnetOs Putty and Granules are used as bone void fillers in orthopedics (including long bones, foot and ankle, pelvis) in both the EU and the US.

Dentistry: MagnetOs Granules and Putty have received clearance for dental indications in the EU.

Craniomaxillofacial trauma (CMF): Indications also in the skull, face, and jaw.

Oncology: A separate specialized category that intersects with spine, orthopedics, and extremities.

Strong commercial success and strategic focus:

◦ Total MagnetOs sales were CHF 75.6 million in 2024, an increase of 125% from 2023 (CHF 33.6 million).

◦ The product has been used in fusion surgery for over 25,000 patients.

◦ The company has strategically focused on its MagnetOs product portfolio by discontinuing the Fibrin-PTH program.

◦ Kuros has expanded its distribution network to over 20 countries and aims for further expansion.

◦ A five-year strategic agreement with Medtronic’s spine division expands MagnetOs’ availability in key US spinal surgery regions without Kuros having to expand its own sales force.

The company also continuously innovates. For example, ‘Minimally Invasive Surgery (MIS)’ instrumentation for installing their product has just been introduced to the market:

https://kurosbio.com/resources/kuros-biosciences-launches-magnetos-mis-delivery-system-by-completing-first-cases-and-continues-global-expansion-with-incremental-brazil-clearance/

Source materials?

CMD / May 2025: https://kurosbio.com/resources/capital-markets-day-webcast-presentation-deck/

Reports and presentations: https://kurosbio.com/resources/?resource_type=reports-presentations

Target markets?

The target markets for their products are an order of magnitude larger, approximately $5-7 billion. The company has just reached a market capitalization of $1 billion. By all accounts, the company should still have room to grow far into the future if the product performs well. Less than 2% of the TAM has been achieved.

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Screenshot_2025-08-16-08-47-03-76_e8ec7f438399cab5ee8e514c0b876721

Geographical expansion has just begun:
Screenshot_2025-08-16-08-47-15-49_e8ec7f438399cab5ee8e514c0b876721

Financials?

The company is net debt-free, has grown rapidly, and continues to guide for strong growth in the coming years.

Screenshot_2025-08-16-08-47-56-80_e8ec7f438399cab5ee8e514c0b876721

In the recent H1/2025 review, the company demonstrated strength in both revenue growth (77%) and profitability. Operating profit turned positive.

Financial Highlights
• Total Medical Device sales rose by 78% to USD 63.5 million in H1 2025 (H1 2024: USD 35.7 million)
• Direct MagnetOs™ sales increased by 77% to USD 62.7 million in H1 2025 (H1 2024: USD 35.4 million)
• The Group achieved its first-ever operating profit, reaching USD 3.5 million, compared to an operating loss of USD (0.2) million in H1 2024
• Total Group EBITDA reached USD 5.1 million in H1 2025 (H1 2024: USD 0.8 million) and total Group adjusted EBITDA* amounted to USD 7.8 million in H1 2025, equaling a margin of 12.3% (H1 2024: USD 4.5 million at 12.6%). After amortization, depreciation, the net finance result, income tax and the profit/loss from discontinued operations, the Group reported a net loss of USD (2.0) million in H1 2025 (H1 2024: USD (0.2) million)
• Cash position remains strong while funding strategic growth initiatives and investing in working capital, with cash and cash equivalents totaling USD 18.4 million as of June 30, 2025 (December 31, 2024: USD 19.8 million)
• Reporting currency changed from CHF to USD to align with the Group’s primary market and operational footprint in the U.S.
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A new guidance for 2027 was also provided, projecting $220m – $250m in revenue. A production facility in the United States is being prepared for the company by the end of 2026, which will significantly support this.

The Group continues to expect sales growth of at least 60% in 2025 and anticipates sales of between USD 220 million and USD 250 million by 2027

The H1 review, including slides and Q&A section, can be found on the Quartr App, among other places.The company has guided for 60% growth this year, which was significantly exceeded in the early part of the year. In the Q&A, the CEO guided that they do not see growth slowing down in H2 and it is expected to be “similar to H1 in proportion to previous years”. This would suggest that the company has a good chance of reaching its guidance this year.

Other Sources:

Inderes’ @Antti_Siltanen opens his portfolio, it is his largest holding. He has already made a lot of money with this (congratulations). Antti is probably the most knowledgeable among forum members, and it would be nice to hear fresh comments on the H1 review, future prospects, and competitive situation. Do you still see an investment case here?

https://youtu.be/fpZQpeQtxJo?t=1393

Inderes’ @Atte_Riikola just recently added this to his portfolio as a ‘short consideration purchase’. He admitted this in the now legendary ‘No leverage, no benefit’ portfolio review:

https://youtu.be/0q3HEqiUhGM?t=5049

Pricing?

As Atte also stated in the video, this is priced below EV/S 10 and forecasts for 2027 are closer to EV/S 5x. So, it’s no longer cheap, but perhaps an opportunity for those who tolerate risk and look far into the future?

I don’t have much to add to this, but the case interests me and it is now in my portfolios with a few percentage points. Presumably, not much discussion will arise from this due to the company’s challenging comprehensibility, but let’s try to get started with this. Have a good weekend!

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Thanks @timontti for the excellent thread! I probably need to comment on this, as I might be responsible for it having generated some interest lately. The opening already contains good facts. I’ll make some small additions and try to emphasize what I consider the most central points.

Kuros’s MAXA study is a well-designed (RCT) study, whose goal was to show that the product is “non-inferior” compared to autograft. So, it cannot be said that it is SUPERIOR with current knowledge, but at least as good. And if one leaves aside the quibbles, the results indeed look very good and further help convince customers of the product’s quality. Comparative RCT studies against older generation products (CBA, DBM) are also underway. In these, I see a high probability of positive results, and they should further help in gaining market share in the coming years.

A direct competitor, which also appears to have an excellent new generation product that is gaining market share. Fusion rates cannot be directly compared, as Ossd did not conduct a study as rigorously as Kuros. But their product also seems good to me. As a competitor, Ossdsign is commercially a couple of years behind, which could be a problem/hindrance for them to some extent. Bonesupport’s products, on the other hand, are not so much direct competitors. Disclaimer: I have held Ossdsing in my portfolio, as I mentioned in Tomi’s interview. I have since sold it because the valuation relative to my expected growth rate and the cash situation at the time did not seem sufficient.

Here I would emphasize that I expect MagnetOs to continue gaining market share from legacy products (CBA, DBM). Those BMP-2 growth factor products are a bit different. I believe there is also an opportunity to gain market share there, but a large slice of the market will likely remain for growth factors. They approach the task from a slightly different angle.

Kuros has so far operated almost exclusively in spinal solutions (half of the market) and in the United States (well over half of the market geographically). Over the past six months to a year, they have gradually opened up to foot and ankle solutions. This should yield visible results in about two years. Other openings are still at a very early stage or on the drawing board, but they will, of course, materialize over time.

Geographically, new markets are constantly being opened, most recently Brazil. However, the rest of the world is small compared to the USA. It does, of course, contain good complementary potential for the coming years.

And indeed, new products are aimed to be introduced approximately every 18 months, and the company is exploring acquisitions. The most recent product version launched is for endoscopic surgeries. The development pipeline is not precisely known, but I personally do not expect any revolutionary products, rather logical portfolio expansions and a gradual increase in TAM. Acquisitions are, in my opinion, almost essential in the medium/long term to expand the product portfolio in a sensible way. For example, acquisitions of hardware used in spinal surgeries (e.g., spinal cages) would be logical.

This, in my opinion, is the key growth driver until around the end of 2026. Beyond that, there are the aforementioned growth drivers: new products, new indications, new markets, acquisitions.

This was a strong conviction case at the end of 2023. I was lucky because K grew even faster than I had envisioned. At the turn of the year, I changed my attitude. The fastest growth phase was starting to be behind us, and the multiples were getting high. I then sold about 20% of my position (so quite little) and mentally shifted into a lazier holding mode. Indeed, the multiples are relatively high, and I don’t expect any outrageous returns from these levels. Having said that, it is still the largest line in my portfolio, and I currently have no intention of selling (nor adding). I am quite convinced that Kuros will be the winner in this market (though others will fit in too!) in the long run. Whether the future growth rate justifies the current valuation is another question. My answer to that question is, of course, found in my position :slight_smile: (= strong hold). The company, in my opinion, performs very strongly commercially and advances things in a controlled manner with strong research evidence. The product, with current knowledge, is very strong in my opinion (Ossdsign’s Catalyst is probably ~as good a product).

H1/Q2 went exactly as I expected. Market share gains continue, as they have for many years. Nothing new or surprising emerged in future plans. So, I expect rather boring progress in the coming years under the themes described above. Regarding the numbers, I only state that I believe the 2027 targets are quite realistic, and exceeding the revenue range is not at all impossible.

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If the competitor’s (OssDsgn) analyses are of interest, they can be found from both Carnegie and SEB in free coverage:

And from the paid coverage of our western neighbor’s research firm:

I would be interested at this stage if someone could see what kind of forecasts analysts are updating for Kuros after the recent H1. These should be available next week. Well, in the big picture, the guidelines will certainly follow the company’s guidance anyway…

Three analysts follow the company, and from my own tools, only one’s forecasts are visible via marketscreener, and even there I don’t know if the latest forecast is updated.

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Probably no one cares, but I’ll post it anyway

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Nice that you opened a thread for this too!

I’ve been loosely following it for a while, but now that a quarter of the price has melted away, I decided to take a slice for my portfolio. I also didn’t find anything other than that Mscreener data. There, EV/S 2025 is estimated at 7.27, and this year EPS should be positive for the first time by a few cents. For 2027, about 0.5 CHF/share is already predicted, and this is based on a sales forecast of 190 million (company guidance 220-250).

So far, growth figures have been impressive, and the forecast for the coming years is also over 25%. When comparing it to, for example, Revenio’s 2025 EV/S of 5.5 and growth forecasts of just over 10%, this doesn’t seem super expensive at all. I would gladly add more from that 20% level, which is not impossible if we get a more substantial index correction during the autumn.

Here’s a note: those forecasts are CHF-based, and Kuros’s guidance is USD-based. They changed their reporting to dollars this year and also gave their target/guidance in USD.

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Kuros reported quite strong Q3 figures today and raised its 2025 forecast:

Financial & Operational Highlights

  • Total Medical Device sales rose by 77% to USD 101.1 million for the first nine months of 2025 (9M 2024: USD 57.2 million)

  • Direct MagnetOs™ sales increased by 76% to USD 99.7 million for the first nine months of 2025 (9M 2024: USD 56.7 million)

  • EBITDA for the Group reached USD 7.4 million (9M 2024: USD 1.6 million)

  • Adjusted EBITDA* arrived at USD 12.2 million, after adjusting import tariffs of around USD 0.7 million, resulting in a margin of 12.1% (9M 2024: 6.5 million at 11.3%)

  • As of September 30, 2025, the Group’s cash position increased to USD 20.0 million (June 30, 2025: USD 18.4 million) despite continued investments in net-working capital, transformation and strategic growth initiatives

Outlook

  • As in the previous year, the Group expects sales in the second half of the year in line with usual seasonal trends. Accordingly, the Group is raising its sales guidance and now expects growth of at least 70% for 2025

The Swedish OssDsign (OSSD) mentioned in the thread will report its Q3 in just under three weeks, on 4.11.2025. The stock has been sluggish for about five weeks with low trading volume, perhaps hitting bottom below 13 SEK, where many stop-losses probably triggered, and the most impatient might already be buying back as the price has started to rise again…

KURN seems to have only 28 owners in Nordnet, so it’s probably not very well-known here in the Nordics. OSSD, on the other hand, has 1000. These Nordnet ownership figures likely include other Nordic countries besides Finland, and a large portion of those thousand are thus in Sweden.

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By the way, Kuros’s CMD presentations from May are so good that I want to emphasize this a bit and recommend watching them. Direct link to the presentation: https://edge.media-server.com/mmc/go/KurosCapitalMarketDay/

The whole event is quite long, 2.5 hours. A lot of interesting things come up during the first hour. From there, everyone can decide whether to watch further. A small warning: the surgical operation around 1:11:00-1:13:30 looks quite intense :grimacing:

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Now, all the bone graft companies I follow have released their Q3 reports.

Kurosin’s Q3 was quite as expected, with USD growth of 75% in Q3’25 vs Q3’24.

Ossdsign performed below its own expectations, with comparable currency growth of 35% in Q3’25 vs Q3’24. Growth has slowed rapidly this year since Q1’25.

Bonesupport also performed slightly below its own expectations. Their flagship product, cerament V, is doing great. On the other hand, BVF is performing weaker. In constant currencies, growth was 34%.

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In the Q&A, OSSD’s still current CEO Morten Henneveld commented that September sales were at a record level (though he didn’t specify how much) and that good sales momentum continued through October. July sales “slipped” into the previous Q2, but they certainly had quiet summer months.

Currently, there are 10 people in sales; the target is 15 by the end of 2025 and 20 by Q1/2026. The earnings report’s statement “Looking ahead, we have entered an exciting phase of acceleration driven by an expansion of our sales team through targeted hiring with the goal of doubling its size by 2026.“ is quite unclear on how “by 2026” should be interpreted, given that we are already so close to the beginning of 2026, so the comments from the call clarified this quite a bit.

The selling price of Catalyst increased during Q3, and the upward trend in selling prices was said to have continued for several quarters.

The search for a new CEO was neither asked about nor commented on. Henneveld will be at the helm until the end of 2025.

The full earnings call, for example, on YouTube:

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OSSD CEO Henneveld bought 40,000 shares today after the earnings release at a price of 11.06 SEK.

Source: Ossdsigns vd Morten Henneveld köper aktier för 0,45 miljoner kronor | Placera.se

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