Ferrari - A great car brand, but is it a great investment?

Ferrari is certainly a very familiar car brand to everyone. It has a magnificent history in sports cars and motorsports.

Ferrari is Ferrari. It is far from the shopping list of ordinary people, unlike many premium brands; even Porsche can be distantly considered a sort of sports car for the people, but Ferrari is not. As a car, it represents its magnificent history as well as aesthetics, innovation, and power.

Ferrari was founded in 1939 when Enzo Ferrari left Alfa Romeo’s racing division and founded a company called Auto Avio Costruzioni. In 1940, the company built its first car, and in 1947, the first Ferrari-branded car was introduced.

So far, Ferrari has not yet started courting the masses, and to some extent, the company chooses its customers. A stupendous history in both cars and motorsports is strongly associated with Ferrari; after all, there are much faster and more innovative cars, but Ferrari is Ferrari. The company practically intentionally limits its annual production to maintain its glamour, ensuring that demand constantly exceeds supply. This strategy results in Ferraris always having resale value and ensures the continuity of a certain luxury uniqueness, while also maintaining the brand’s reputation.

Segments:

  • Cars and spare parts: 89.9%
  • Sponsorship, commercial and brand: 10.1%

Geographical distribution:

  • Europe: 47.7%
  • United States: 26.0%
  • Others: 26.3%

Pluses

  • Strong brand: Ferrari is Ferrari
  • Ferrari remains rare and available to few - this has certainly been a major success factor for the company.
  • Both customers and ordinary people are very loyal to this brand.
  • History in cars and motorsports: This cannot be forgotten

Minuses

  • High valuation multiples, partly justified?
  • Limited production is also a challenge. Will Ferrari ever get excited about “more ordinary luxury”? A threat and an opportunity as an investment…
  • Some perceive such luxury product markets as safe, but there can be many opinions on this.
  • Electric vehicles and other soulless technology, perhaps more of an opportunity for others than for Ferrari?
  • Competition is increasing

The company’s goal is to remain unique and to succeed in competitive sports, especially in F1. At the same time, through the company’s Lifestyle activities, they aim to increase revenue and otherwise actively strive to innovate with larger investments. Ferrari sees cost inflation continuing, but strong free cash flow generation partially compensates for increased capital expenditures and higher other costs.

19.7.2024:

P/E: 53
P/B: 21
Return on Equity (ROE): 43.1%

From Ferrari’s website:

image

image

image

image

image

image image
image

31 Likes

Great that Fefe got its own thread as well, thanks @Sijoittaja-alokas! :slight_smile: It occurs to me that perhaps instead of the stock, it might be better to invest in the cars themselves: the greatest classics sell for tens of millions, but less well-known ones can be had at quite a reasonable price, e.g. https://www.nettiauto.com/ferrari/308/13959892

I wouldn’t recommend it as an investment though, but for an enthusiast who knows how to appreciate it. :racing_car:

6 Likes

An important point for all luxury or otherwise brand-name labels is whether they reach new generations. For me, born in the 80s, the Testarossa, F355, F50, Maranello, and F360 were objects of admiration, but to what extent do luxury cars interest today’s youth and children?

2 Likes

The company indeed has a long and illustrious history, but relative to that, it has manufactured quite a small number of cars, which in part makes it unique.

image
image image


This tweet alone probably beats my entire opening post:

https://x.com/QCompounding/status/1815000930883911834

image

7 Likes

Great opening for an iconic brand!

The image of a highly exclusive car that stands out from the rest is built and grows through limited supply and quality. This is an extremely profitable business, and economic cycles don’t affect the wealthy in the same way.

The valuation stings for me as well, and the stock is no secret to investors. It actually carries the same 10% weighting in the Italian index as Unicredit and Stellantis, with its market cap hovering around 70 billion euros. :smiley:

13 Likes

To add to the thread, Ferrari’s largest shareholder is the Agnelli family (founders of Fiat, among others) through the investment company Exor N.V. Exor owns approximately 23% of Ferrari and 36.5% of the voting rights. The company in question can be bought on the German stock exchange. Today’s NAV discount is approximately -40%.

This is not an investment recommendation, only an observation of ways to own Ferrari indirectly.

13 Likes

Ferrari seems to have surprised at least investors with its performance. The stock is indeed expensive in many people’s opinion, and I suppose it has been regarded as such for quite a while now. :saluting_face:

https://x.com/Quartr_App/status/1818970002600432116

Screenshot_20240801_153400_Chrome

5 Likes

In HCP’s Havia’s article, there is a long section about Ferrari as well, so it will certainly interest Ferrari shareholders or others interested in the company.

Currently, Ferrari is selling its 2026 order book. Thanks to the long order books, the company’s business is very predictable. Every car on the production line already has an owner. This differs vastly from mass-produced cars, which are just pushed off the assembly line in the hope that a buyer will be found. If not, they are in a bind and have to stimulate demand, for example, by lowering prices, as Tesla did.

5 Likes

Ferrari has a reasonably good return on invested capital; those largest bars then concern revenue. :slight_smile:

https://x.com/KoyfinCharts/status/1843238822051828171

image

2 Likes

Here is a quick analysis of Ferrari. :slight_smile:

https://x.com/Quality_stocksA/status/1845021828206456845

image

image


EDIT:

JPMorgan:

Price target from $385 —> to $525

“We are upgrading shares of Ferrari (RACE) to Overweight from Neutral after investor meetings we hosted recently with CEO Benedetto Vigna and Manager of Investor Relations Aldo Benetti over the course of two weeks…”

2 Likes

Ferrarilta eka superhyperauto 11 vuoteen, jolla on ihan kohtalaisesti hintaa.

Ferrari said it will only make 799 examples of the F80, and the cars will start at an eye-watering 3.6 million euros, or $3.9 million.

Ferrari shares pulled higher today following news of the F80. Back-of-the-envelope math shows that overall sales of the car could add $3.2 billion to Ferrari’s top line over the F80’s production run.

2 Likes

Ferrari’s third-quarter deliveries fell by 2 percent, and the reason for the decline was a 29 percent drop in deliveries to China, where Ferrari has a smaller market share than its competitors.

Despite slowing growth, the company’s revenue grew by 7 percent, driven by customization services (?), and its outlook remains stable in the luxury car market.

image
image
image


EDIT:

Important chart

https://x.com/finchat_io/status/1853817304422940958
image
image

2 Likes

La Ferrari is unlike others :oncoming_automobile:

https://x.com/finchat_io/status/1869759690512703923

image
image


EDIT:

I’ll add this here as well. :slight_smile:

https://x.com/mvcinvesting/status/1869745010788208719
image
image

5 Likes

Here’s a short and timely “overview” of Ferrari. :slight_smile:

https://x.com/TheRayMyers/status/1882148901542650015

image
image

3 Likes

Ferrari will publish its results on Tuesday, and here is some material related to it.

Understandably, Ferrari’s high price has often been mentioned, but the stock’s performance has indeed been quite good. :slight_smile:

https://x.com/fintegrate/status/1882209409776193731

image
image

Ferrari posted significant profit growth, driven by an apparently strong model lineup and growing demand for customized cars.

The company also expects revenue to continue growing in the coming year. Analysts believe Ferrari will remain strong despite pressures in the European automotive industry, especially in the face of potential US tariffs.

On the other hand, it was noted that the company’s valuation is high, e.g., its P/E ratio is close to fifty. It was also stated that the company limits its sales to maintain its exclusivity, which inevitably slows down revenue growth. Of course, exclusivity is an essential part of Ferrari. :slight_smile:

https://x.com/TheTranscript_/status/1886748459589382627

image
image

Ferari GIFs - Find & Share on GIPHY

4 Likes

The tweet below contains a familiar thesis about Ferrari, but it states again how investors don’t pay a high price for the stock merely due to short-term growth, but because they believe Ferrari’s brand, pricing power, and uniqueness guarantee its long-term financial success.

Investors probably see it in Ferrari that at times there might be various “hiccups” for one reason or another, but Ferrari’s long-term direction is clear to them nonetheless. :slight_smile:

https://x.com/TheRayMyers/status/1888301954289307805

image
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GjSYnq6WcAAJpF0?format=jpg&name=medium

F40 :slight_smile:

1 Like

WSJ has a good article about Ferrari. For those who have followed the company more, it’s basic stuff. Briefly. Ferrari has a new supermodel, which, of course, only a few Ferrari fans can buy, those who already have a collection cultivated with feeling, skill, and money from several, even dozens, of Ferraris.

I already knew about Ferrari’s legendary principle of always selling one car less than the demand, but also that they specifically fuel desire by making delicacies for enthusiasts only for dedicated collectors. A good sales trick. :smiley:

" With a list price of $3.7 million, Ferrari’s new “hypercar” was revealed to the public in October with a twist: It wasn’t available for sale.

All 799 units of the low-slung, high-haunched F80 model—the most expensive production vehicle in Ferrari’s history—had been promised to top customers like Luc Poirier.

The Montreal real estate entrepreneur already owns 42 Ferraris. He said he felt “lucky” to be allowed to buy yet another.

“To be chosen by Ferrari for one of their hypercars is a true milestone for any collector,” he said.

Money isn’t enough to buy a top-of-the-range Ferrari. You need to be in a long-term relationship with the company.

By leveraging the rabid fandom of its customers through a business model based on uber-scarcity, the storied Italian company is enjoying a new golden age. Following an almost tenfold increase in the stock since its initial public offering almost a decade ago, Ferrari is now worth $90 billion, making it the most valuable car company in Europe—despite delivering just 13,752 vehicles last year.

Volkswagen, which sold more than 9 million cars last year, has a market capitalization that is roughly $40 billion lower. Most of Europe’s auto industry is plagued by a weak domestic market, a costly transition to electric vehicles and new competition from China."

https://www.wsj.com/health/bird-flu-cows-cats-human-transmission-7adf14ec?mod=wsjhp_columnists_pos_2&mod=WSJ_home_columnists_pos_2

13 Likes

Ferrari can afford to price its products nicely thanks to its exclusivity :slight_smile: This tweet partly demonstrates it:
https://x.com/finchat_io/status/1895508020064550994
image
image

3 Likes

Ferrari is different, it cannot be compared to traditional manufacturers, nor even to Tesla, which is also a bit of a different player. :slight_smile: (or you can always compare anything in principle, even to Piippo)

https://x.com/everydaystocksx/status/1894704558527369435
image
image

2 Likes