Melexis - Sales Representative

Strategic Metrics

Exchange: Brussels
Market capitalization at the time of writing: ~€2.9 billion
Revenue: €964 million (2023)
EBIT: €261 million (2023)
Net profit: €209 million (2023)
Pays dividends?: :white_check_mark: :grin:

What does the company do?

Melexis designs, develops, tests, and markets advanced integrated semiconductor devices. The company has been operating for over 30 years, and its core expertise stems from over 20 years of experience in the automotive electronics market. https://www.melexis.com/en/investors

Melexis has outsourced the manufacturing of its microchips; the most significant supplier is X-FAB, where the individuals who brought Melexis to the stock exchange and are still involved are also significant shareholders. https://www.xfab.com/investors

Key product areas:

  • Sensors and sensor interfaces
  • Embedded and smart controllers

Melexis supplies its products to various industries, but its most important customer base is in the automotive industry. The company sells its products to automotive customers in Europe, Asia, and North America (automotive customers include Tesla, NIO, and BYD).



According to the 2023 financial statements, 90% of Melexis’ revenue comes from the sale of chips to car manufacturers. The remaining 10% comes from the “Beyond Automotive” segment, which focuses on areas such as sustainable world, alternative mobility, robotics, and digital health.

Melexis products are used in applications such as:

  • Powertrain electrification
  • Thermal management
  • Lighting
  • Electric braking
  • Electric steering
  • Battery

Melexis also sees many opportunities in alternative mobility in the coming years, such as electric bicycles, electric scooters, drones, and electric vertical take-off and landing aircraft (eVTOL). In addition, Melexis sensors are also used in robotics.

Examples of Melexis product usage:

  • The Samsung Galaxy Watch5 smartwatch uses Melexis’ unique MLX90632 temperature sensor for menstrual cycle tracking.
  • Melexis’ third-generation smart LIN driver MLX81330 (0.5 A motor driver) and MLX81332 (1.0 A motor driver) are aimed at automotive mechatronic applications with power up to 10 W, including motor-driven flaps and valves, small blowers, and pumps.

Company history and owners

Melexis was founded in 1988 under the name Bulcke Hybrid Technology. It was acquired in 1994 by Elex, which was backed by three entrepreneurs: Roland Duchâtelet, Rudi Dewinter, and Françoise Chombar.

Each of them has served as Melexis’ CEO: first Roland Duchâtelet, then Rudi Dewinter. Dewinter later moved to X-FAB. Françoise Chombar was appointed COO in 1994 and became co-CEO alongside her husband Rudi Dewinter in 2004. Chombar served as sole CEO from 2011 to 2021. Marc Biron, who joined the company in 1997, is the current CEO.

Melexis was listed on the Easdaq stock exchange in October 1997.

https://www.econopolis.be/en/blog/posts/2023/november/melexis-from-the-junkyard-to-fancy-car-essential/

Today, Melexis’ ownership is divided such that Elex (the Duchâtelet family’s investment and holding company) and Sensinnovat (the De Winter-Chombar family’s equivalent) together own 50% + 1 (share) of Melexis shares. The split is 25%/25%, with Sensinnovat holding that one additional share.

https://www.melexis.com/en/news/2023/financial/14nov2023-changes-to-the-shareholding-structure

In X-FAB, the ownership stakes are Elex 25%, Sensinnovat 24.2%.

Share

According to the 1998 financial statements, the number of shares was 45,600,000, from which it decreased to 40.4 million by 2012, and has remained at that figure ever since. :+1:

For dividend hunters, it’s worth noting that dividends totaling almost €900 million have been paid out during the company’s history. (I have not verified the exact amount; the information is from the link above, :point_up: Econopolis).

Growth targets

Melexis held a Capital Markets Day in November 2023, where targets until 2030 were announced. The growth target for the automotive segment is given with the assumption that global vehicle production will not grow quantitatively (S&P Global forecasts 1.7% annual growth, source: 2023 Capital Markets Day material). The company’s growth target is based on the electrification of transport, premiumization, and the increase in intelligent driver assistance systems, which will increasingly require Melexis products in every vehicle.

Growth drivers for Beyond Automotive include the development of robotics and an aging population.

Cash flow and results 2019-2023


Melexis has sought to ensure product availability (apparently due to bottlenecks caused by the COVID-19 pandemic) and has negotiated long-term agreements with its suppliers. The 2023 cash flow was impacted by advance payments of €189 million to X-FAB, as the agreement with Melexis required X-FAB to expand capacity. The final installment of ~€9 million related to this was paid in February 2024.

In the 2023 financial statements, cash flow was commented on as follows:

Following the Advance Payment for a total amount of around EUR 189.2 million, 2023 will be cash flow negative; 2024 cash should be break even, and 2025 and beyond should be cash positive (all other circumstances remaining the same).

Share price development

As can be seen from the company’s results and cash flow development (considering the above for 2023), progress has been made like Timo Jutila himself, except for the share price.

Other interesting things

Smithson Investment Trust, a fund company founded by Terry Smith’s Fundsmith, which invests in small and mid-cap companies, bought Melexis in the summer.

Final words

Here is an introduction to the company; apologies if there is any confusion or shortcomings, as this has been written throughout the day whenever time permitted. I also tried using NotebookLM as an aid, which is quite a suitable tool for this purpose. I will not comment further on valuation, risks, or opportunities; there are many smarter people here to comment on those if the company sparks interest.

I own shares.

Finally, that song.

Edit. A typo was found

26 Likes

Right, I forgot this: the presence is global.

Globaali

While chuckling at my own “Regional Salesman” cleverness, walking the dogs, doing laundry, etc., I also failed to mention this year’s development and expectations for the rest of the year (which likely explain this year’s share price performance) :see_no_evil: :rofl:

H1 24 vs H1 23

Revenue grew by 5% in H1 compared to the previous year, but earnings remained at the previous year’s level. Q3 and full-year guidance:

Melexis expects sales in the third quarter of 2024 to be in the range of 247 to 252 million EUR. For the full year 2024, Melexis expects sales to be around 1 billion euro, with a gross profit margin above 44% and an operating margin above 25%, all taking into account a EUR/USD exchange rate of 1.08 for the remainder of the year.
https://tenor.com/cVvXOnfFbdr.gif

So, the same trend will likely continue for the full year.

In the Q2 earnings call, an analyst asked how Melexis managed to grow its automotive segment revenue when peers have seen double-digit declines at worst, and questioned whether it was just a matter of car manufacturers building up their inventories.

According to CEO Biron, this is not the case; Melexis chips go equally into both internal combustion engine and electric vehicles, and thanks to premiumization, sales related to safety and comfort functions have grown. Good global customer diversification has also been a benefit.

No growth = a defensive victory?

By the way, there was also some Finnish flavor in the Q2 call as former Nordea and Danske Bank analyst Veikko Silvasti filled in for his ING colleague. To the market square! :finland:

In summary, then, monitoring the company’s development in the coming years using the rule of the three Ks (growth, profitability, cash flow). :face_with_monocle:

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X-Fabin lisätessä tuotantokapasiteettiaan, Melexis sai tämän vuoden heinäkuussa päätökseen oman laajennuksensa X-Fabin naapurissa Malesiassa tuplaten paikallisen testauskapasiteettinsa.

https://www.melexis.com/en/news/2023/16jan2023-melexis-to-invest-70m-eur-in-facility-expansion-in-kuching-malaysia

https://www.melexis.com/en/news/2024/10jul2024-melexis-opens-its-largest-wafer-testing-site-worldwide-in-malaysia

The goal of the project is to increase Melexis’ testing capacity. With the demand for semiconductors predicted to double in the next decade, Melexis wants to anticipate this increased need for ICs.

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What are @Ma_oon_lentaja’s thoughts on Melexis’s indebtedness? It just caught my eye that the company’s long-term debt has risen from the €60M level to the current €230M over 4 years (mainly during the last 2 years), while FCF is deteriorating. Where has that money gone? At least so far, depreciation hasn’t even grown significantly, but of course, at least that €70M testing plant in Malaysia is coming up.

The ownership structure is quite interesting indeed, as the company’s most important supplier is practically under the management of the same owners as Melexis.

But there is a quite credible growth path here, and based on earnings multiples, I find it really interesting both relative to its own history and in absolute terms. And hey, almost a 4% dividend yield too!!

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Net Debt/EBITDA (rolling 12mo) ≈ 0.65, so the amount of debt as such is not a concern.

Screenshot_20241021-102402~3

At the end of Q2/24, net debt was 199 million, so the estimate of 160 million from the 2023 financial statements has indeed been exceeded. Something to keep an eye on, as well as management’s comments on cash flow.

In response to the question of where the money has gone, in order of magnitude:

  1. Advances to X-FAB
  2. Dividends
  3. Malaysia

Screenshot_20241021-083243~3
Screenshot_20241021-083304~3
Screenshot_20241021-084520~3

In exchange for the advances, goods are received which will lower acquisition costs for some time, and Malaysia is completed.

Dividends have been paid in two installments, in Q2 and Q4. During the COVID spring, it was decided not to pay a dividend, so discretion has been exercised in that regard as well.

X-FAB’s Q3 results, by the way, are coming out this Thursday the 24th, and Melexis next Wednesday the 30th.

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Let’s also include the revenue shares (%) of the top 10 customers here:
Top 10 customers %

As well as revenue by customer billing address:
Revenue by country

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Quoted from the Tesla thread.

Not bad, even though the growth estimate was Musk’s “best guess,” so perhaps not the most reliable source.

Highlights from X-Fab Q3/24 results

"Business development

In the third quarter of 2024, X-FAB recorded revenues of USD 206.4 million, down 12% year-on-year and up 1% quarter-on-quarter, thereof a positive impact from revenue recognized over time amounting to USD 2.4 million. This compares to a guidance of USD 205-215 million.

Revenues in X-FAB’s core markets – automotive, industrial, and medical – amounted to USD 189.6 million*, down 8% year-on-year and accounted for a 93% share of total revenues*. Bookings were up 4% year-on-year with a book-to-bill of 1.05 in the third quarter. Backlog came in at USD 481.4 million, compared to USD 517.3 million at the end of the previous quarter. The decrease in backlog is related to orders worth USD 114 million for which delivery dates had not yet been confirmed at the end of the quarter. These are longer-term orders for delivery up to 2026.

In the third quarter, X-FAB’s automotive business grew 8% year-on-year, while automotive bookings weakened due to year-end inventory adjustments

…Inventory adjustments in the automotive industry and delays in new model launches have particularly impacted the microsystems business

…The fundamental drivers of X-FAB’s business remain intact. These include the growth of semiconductor content in cars, the "electrification of everything" to drive the decarbonization of the world, and the digitization in the medical sector to make healthcare more efficient in an era of aging populations. X-FAB’s comprehensive set of technologies and expertise enable customers to develop world-leading solutions for the most important challenges facing the world today. X-FAB’s business is expected to return to robust growth once the current destocking cycle is completed."

X-FAB Q3/24

Edit: I managed to listen to the earnings call for a bit. Automotive growth came entirely from China (+55% compared to the previous year and +38% compared to the previous quarter :open_mouth:) EU and USA are in decline.

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Q3 results were released yesterday, and the revenue guidance for the remainder of the year was lowered significantly (~20%), as customers in Europe and the US want to reduce their inventory levels and postponed their orders from the final quarter of the year. There were no postponements in China or within the distributor network (distributors account for 30-35% of revenue).

The share price reacted with a significant drop.

kurssi

Link to the earnings call: https://www.melexis.com/en/investors/q3-2024-results-audiocast

Outlook

Melexis expects sales in the fourth quarter of 2024 to be in the range of 200 to 210 million EUR. For the full year 2024, Melexis expects sales to be around 935 to 945 million euro (previously around 1 billion euro), with a gross profit margin above 43% (previously above 44%) and an operating margin above 24% (previously above 25%), all taking into account a EUR/USD exchange rate of 1.08 for the remainder of the year. For the full year 2024, Melexis expects CAPEX to be around 60 million EUR.

Business update

With 247.9 million EUR sales, Melexis achieved Q3 2024 sales in line with the third quarter of 2023 and 1% higher than the second quarter of 2024, landing at the lower end of the guidance. The outperforming product lines were magnetic position sensors and pressure sensors.

Melexis expanded its sensor portfolio in Q3 2024, with a focus on automotive and industrial applications. Enhancements were made to the Triaxis® magnetic sensing ICs for improved functional safety in steering and pedal position sensing. A Dual Latch IC was added for use in a wide range of embedded applications, including automotive, alternative mobility, consumer and industrial. The company also launched the Triphibian™ pressure sensor IC with a digital output, designed for EV thermal management. Additionally, Melexis enhanced its current sensor ICs, improving both isolation capabilities and functional safety compliance for demanding automotive applications.

Sales to automotive customers represented 90% of total sales in the third quarter of 2024, and 89% of total sales for the first nine months of 2024.

Quote from CEO Marc Biron

“Melexis has performed well over the first nine months of 2024, including 3% sales growth versus the record sales for the first nine months of 2023, despite more challenging end-market circumstances. Recent discussions with customers indicate that they wish to reduce significantly their inventories by year-end, which we have decided to assume. While the inventory correction at our automotive customers is temporary and global car production is projected to grow in 2025, visibility on next year is limited today.

Our growth trajectory and leadership position in sensors and drivers for the automotive market are intact. Melexis products are well-positioned to benefit from continuous automotive content growth, and our diversified product portfolio addresses all types of powertrains. Year to date, we have strong traction with design wins, in particular in China. At the same time we continue to record solid results in Beyond Automotive, which confirms our strategy to diversify our portfolio in robotics, digital health, alternative mobility and sustainable world.”

Q3
Q1-Q3
tase
kassavirta Q3
kassavirta Q1-Q3

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Geely has chosen Melexis lighting technology for the Lynk & Co. Z10 electric car.

Geely

Link to the news:

https://www.melexis.com/en/news/2024/19nov2024-melexis-and-geely-illuminate-the-future-of-automotive-lighting-design

https://www.youtube.com/live/toeBZKdt8_M?si=JE52p3Ch6ZRfFAXB

This August episode of Value: After Hours had completely slipped my mind, but Gwen Hofmeyr’s Maiden Financial has done slightly more comprehensive background work on Melexis than I have.

The company is discussed between approximately 3:26 and 34:30.

Here is also a link to Maiden Financial’s 68-page Melexis analysis.

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Melexis is holding a Capital Markets Day today, the live broadcast starts at 12 PM. Link below :backhand_index_pointing_down:t3:

https://www.melexis.com/en/investors/capital-markets-day-2025