Has anyone found a reason yet why Emppu is getting hammered so hard again? It’s been sliding all through January.
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Those Swedish gaming outfits have typically seen a wave of selling concentrated at the end of the day. Paradox and Stillfront, for instance, have been aggressively sold off all through the start of the year.
In Paradox’s case, Tin Fonder’s funds are at least forced sellers. Tin has owned Embracer in the past, so I wonder if they’re selling there too?
It could also be general selling targeting the gaming sector. Are rising memory prices spooking the finance bros?
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Maybe this will become our new Nokia?
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What is the background to this?
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I’ve gone through this dynamic in that Paradox thread, but tl;dr;
- Paradox is, for example, Tin Ny Teknik’s largest position
- The fund’s value has decreased partly due to “rotten apples” owned by the fund (e.g., Evo and Qt)
- When other parts of the portfolio decline, the size of the largest position grows relatively
- The fund is forced to trim its largest position as well for risk management reasons
In the latest Tin Ny Teknik ownership distribution, it was revealed that Paradox’s weight has dropped to the 8.xx->6.xx% levels. You can check Tin Ny Teknik’s holdings through Nordnet, for example.
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Osakekeisari and the halving of cocoa prices 
https://x.com/OsakeKeisari/status/2010073595733815322
A tweet from the same man regarding Posti and its ATH levels
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A nice nearly 54 percent rise in just over a week, and Friday’s price action was quite wild.
Even though my portfolio is heavily weighted in IREN, NBIS, and CIFR, I’ll likely need to increase my position in APLD as well. It has shown incredible growth within the past year and is helping alleviate hyperscalers’ anxiety over AI bottlenecks (energy). The company has a reasonably good contract situation (long, lucrative contracts, but at the same time a dependency on a few customers), but it carries expensive debt and still needs to build out infrastructure. Recent months’ insider selling is also a minor question mark. Analysts are quite bullish, however, and I count myself in that same group.
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Jarmo Friman and the copper rally
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I guess it’s time for a little celebration after such a solid overnight rally. Nothing new in the tungsten markets; the price continues to climb, and we’re already on the better side of a thousand. The G7 summit is in the States this week, and the theme is critical minerals. Australia has been invited as well, so who knows, maybe a few words will even be exchanged about tungsten.
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Saab might have a new model coming, the Saab 700. Currently, the share price is around 690 SEK.
Hopefully, we won’t return to the 96 or 99 eras. 900 and 9000 are more interesting 
The hilarious middle-aged guy was playing with AI again and asked it to create (target price 310 SEK) a fictional Inderes- 310 version.
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Vår Energi is propping up my portfolio carcass today, backed by a 3% rise. Second largest in the portfolio right after Nordea.
The orange man will soon do something stupid again that might spike the price of crude oil….
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AMD surged quite parabolically at the start of October. Could $200 be a key level, or will we start a new rally from around the 165-175 range next?
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The defense sector has been on quite a strong run since the beginning of the year. I sold Tkms, Renk, and Theon too early from both my children’s and my own portfolios. Today, however, I jumped back into Theon during the “dip”. I’m curious, how are others here investing in this sector?
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I personally invest in the defense sector through monthly savings in an ETF. There are various geographical and other ways to diversify and differentiate among them, so it is quite possible to find an option that suits your needs 
I opted for an ETF because I don’t have enough time to sift through individual companies, nor do I know how to evaluate who the long-term “winners” will be.
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I sold my own Saab shares at 550 SEK. The profit was quite good, and of course, time will tell whether it was a smart move or not. I don’t personally like to follow the price charts of stocks I’ve already sold. The profit was sufficient. I still own US defense industry companies.
Reasoning: Saab’s order books are full and more are coming in. However, the number of production lines is lagging behind, and deliveries along with them. I’m predicting a sharp downward turn in the next interim report. Expectations have become massive.
The products of these two US companies have been proven excellent in real-world situations and can wipe the floor with Russian weapons. Additionally, their production lines are obviously in order, and Europe can’t afford to buy poor quality. Not to forget, of course, the double-digit percentage increase Trump wants for the US defense budget.
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I’ve had Saab, BAE Systems, and Leonardo DRS in my portfolio for a couple of years. It’s been a wild ride lately, maybe even a bit too much. I suppose there will be some kind of correction at some point, but I don’t plan on doing anything about it. Future prospects are still good. Let’s enjoy the ride and buy the dip if there’s a significant slump.
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Novo’s rise just keeps on going! 400 crowns might be broken as early as this week. Let’s stay on board.
BNP Paribas selling was probably a gross mistake. I have a feeling already that it will go over €100. Currently at €87 and change, and it’s generating an EPS of at least €10 this year. It was completely nuts that the stock was being sold at 65 euros just 2 months ago, but what can you do; the market is sometimes totally insane and can stay insane for years before sanity returns, one way or another.
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Could this be the bottom? At least there’s starting to be demand on the buy side.
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Oma Säästöpankki has gained 50% over the last 6 months and is up today as well. There have hardly been any down days in the last few weeks. Could a positive profit warning be coming, or is confidence recovering? Analyst coverage is unfortunately thin.
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Last night I wrote my prediction for the day’s biggest gainer. However, the post was flagged and deleted. Somewhat strange censorship in my opinion. Of the top ten owners of the company whose name must not be mentioned (at the top of the gainers list), five have increased their holdings and none of them have sold. The top 10 list now also includes billionaire Mr. Sprott. Silver is at all-time highs, at nearly $86, and there is no reversal in sight for the trend, imo.
In precious metal circles, the current undervaluation of silver mines has been particularly noted, as they have not followed the price development of silver. Yet. However, the share price has already risen 150% in a month, which is a good start. Much, of course, depends on the development of the silver price.
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