Incap as an Investment

Incap’s market value at a €10.00 share price is ~ €304 million.

Company assets 31.12.2025

  • Inventories €52,101,000
  • Trade and other receivables €27,651,000
  • Cash and cash equivalents €80,755,000 :money_bag:

Company liabilities 31.12.2025

  • Loans from financial institutions €19,593,000
  • Trade and other payables €39,378,000
  • Plus other liabilities totaling >€10 million

In light of these excellent figures, I’m wondering a bit why debt is being used for a €50 million acquisition? Incap could have easily financed the entire deal with cash reserves. :thinking:

The company’s performance remains at a top level and the guidance for 2026 is excellent—a good spot to continue owning! :smiling_face_with_sunglasses:

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The company has at least indicated that a strong cash position strengthens customer confidence, but who knows what its optimal level is.

Admittedly, operational profitability was excellent in Q4, especially since adjusted EBIT apparently still includes EUR 0.6 million in inventory write-downs :clap:. Profitability does, of course, fluctuate somewhat on a quarterly basis along with the mix, so one shouldn’t necessarily draw any broader conclusion from this other than that the company remains in top form. Cash flow for Q4 was also pleasingly strong, and the balance sheet is indeed very robust, even taking into account the already completed Lacon acquisition. To top it off, the most important part of the report—the guidance—matched expectations in its wording, so the starting point for the current year is looking quite promising.

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It’s quite sensible to keep a cash buffer in the EMS business. Especially because the core business is capital-intensive and it’s also a form of risk management –> Reasons include potential additional costs/integration related to an acquisition, for example. Normal hedging :smiley:

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How does Incap create guidance, as their visibility is only 3-6 months? Do they just extrapolate that visibility?

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Otto’s interview!

00:00 Lacon

03:50 Customers

06:29 Design services

08:50 Lacon outlook

12:30 Customer structure

14:25 EU India trade deal

17:00 US India

18:30 New clients

19:34 Euro economy

20:45 Guidance

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For those who prefer to listen in Swedish, there is also an interview with Otto Pukk in Swedish, from today:

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Antti Viljakainen has written a new company report on Incap regarding Q4 :slight_smile:

The overall picture of Incap’s Q4 report was positive thanks to strong profitability and cash flow. Guidance for the current year also met our expectations, and we did not make significant forecast changes following the report. We reiterate our Buy recommendation for Incap and revise our target price for the company to EUR 13.00 (prev. EUR 12.00) due to a moderate decrease in the risk level. This year, earnings growth starting through both inorganic and organic drivers, combined with a reasonable valuation, still offers what we consider a very attractive expected return for the stock in both the short and long term.

Quoted from the report:

Incap’s balance sheet structure has already changed clearly, as the EUR 50 million (EV excluding contingent consideration) Lacon acquisition was completed around mid-February. However, Incap’s balance sheet remains very strong even after the completion of the acquisition, as according to our calculations, the company will be slightly on the net cash side or roughly net debt-free at the end of Q1, depending somewhat on the amount of working capital tied up in the early part of the year. Therefore, the company’s financial position remains strong, but as expected, Incap is saving its funds for organic and inorganic growth and does not intend to pay a dividend next spring either. For a growth company, we believe the decision is well-justified.

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Hello Everyone here at Incap forum! Thank you very much for the interest in Incap, excellent questions during the Q4 Webcast and the general activity here! Please find below summary of the Q&A:

Q: Incap has a good situation with regards to its balance sheet, so why are you taking a loan to pay for the Lacon acquisition?

A: We are now focusing very much on the integration of Lacon, but still, our growth is a story we are expecting to continue. Once we have successfully integrated Lacon, we expect to continue with the M&A track, and for that, we need firepower. This should be seen in the longer term and in a bigger picture.

We see this also from the perspective of risk management, and we want to be able to act on opportunities as they arise. For example, we have to be ready for immediate actions if our clients’ business would keep developing to a positive direction and our production volumes would rapidly go up. We must then be able to finance networking capital increases quickly. We saw in 2022, when India increased volumes with 100 million, that in these types of cases, the cash is needed immediately. It is preferable to remain flexible. If there are opportunities for inorganic growth through major acquisitions, again, time is money. The companies who can react fast and have solid financials in place are a credible buyer to the seller and other counterparties. In addition, there’s going to be loan amortisations coming up. We prefer to have some buffers rather than keeping it too lean.

Q: Are you able to give some colour on the organic growth part of the guidance and what is the foreign exchange rate impact in this clearly higher guidance?

A: With the announcement of the acquisition, we shared Lacon’s numbers showing their past performance, but we haven’t shared that detail in our outlook. We don’t speculate with the exchange rates. It is reflected in the latest development, and steering we gave is based on the current exchange rates.

Q: How does your order book look for the coming three to six months?

A: We are not reporting our order book separately, but we’re expecting growth both through the Lacon acquisition and generally. Our forecast is based on our actual order book and also on the firm forecasts of our customers.

Q: You have said that your defence exposure will be growing with the acquisition of Lacon. How much of your net sales will come from the defence sector?

A: Even with the acquisition of Lacon, our defence exposure is still not very big. We are not dominated by defence, and we think it’s very important to keep the business balanced. There is a big race currently on defence sector but it’s also important to think about the times after that. We expect our defence share to increase during this year and next year as many of our major defence customers are expecting to grow with different programs. Percentage is not that big currently, but it is expected to grow. We are still under 10% on the group level even if we include some expected defence customer growth for this year and Incap unit-level development programs.

Q: Could you elaborate on the expected revenue for 2026 and if there’s anything to comment on the different markets and their impact on your demand?

A: We are not reporting by sector, but we have mentioned defence before and current growth around data centres. There is some growth in other sectors as well but that is more on a company level. In general, we are quite positive with our expectations for this year, and we expect growth organically and inorganically. Overall, we think we will have positive development in many sectors.

Q: You mentioned that there have been some personnel reductions in Slovakia. What was the reason behind those reductions?

A: We discussed that also in the beginning of the year and mentioned that there were postponements of some customer projects. We are always balancing and trying to fit our capacity according to what is the demand for the moment. A part of being an EMS company is to increase and decrease capacity when needed, and in Slovakia we took down the capacity to match the demand. We do that in all units, and it can be increases or decreases.

Q: Could you give an overview of the growth in India?

A: India is developing very nicely. Inderes made some videos when they were visiting us in India, and we gave some examples of the projects that we have ongoing there with positive development. We have new big customer accounts in India that we are developing and ramping up as well as balancing out our largest customer that has its manufacturing in India as well. I wouldn’t say that our third factory is full yet, but there is a lot of activity.

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Seeing Incap grow over the years has been a nice journey, especially with this latest acquisition.

But going on Lacon’s LinkedIn page to do some research about open positions today, and seeing that they’ve also embraced the “Incap Rocks” branding makes me wonder, when are they going to invest in new branding and a new website?

Having a website with flames that look like they’ve been made in Windows Paint is hardly up to par with the expectations of the industry. :sweat_smile:

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I wish this thread would discuss everything but incap’s appearance, but as an incap owner myself, I see this as something that needs to be developed, so it’s good to talk about it.

NOT LIKE THIS.

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I understand the point and have the same gut feeling. But considering that this image series doesn’t represent 100% of Incap’s image and it’s not a consumer sales company…

…is investing in an official LinkedIn default or a dynamic, agile, and distinctive yet professional image like Kamux important for business?

How much does a company looking like it’s run by people hinder Incap’s ability to stand out in its size and industry?

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From personal experience, most deals, especially b2b deals at scale, get done without the branding or website playing any role in it. While it definitely contributes to potential new leads.

I do think that maintaining a level of standard that is expected from the industry would definitely be good, especially for a publicly listed company that will have its existing and potential new investors looking at everything it has to offer.

Especially since this is an investment forum, I couldn’t imagine myself seeing a new potential investor, say someone doing their research, stumble upon Incaps website and see it as a positive.

And I am a big fan of standing out and doing things a bit differently, but in my personal opinion, I think the way Incaps public branding stands right now is not on the good side.

Especially looking at peer groups’ branding.

https://hanza.com/

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Incap states it will be exhibiting for the first time in Germany. I particularly like the angle of “Incap Defence” :smiling_face_with_sunglasses:

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Electronics contract manufacturing - is it the best sector on the Helsinki Stock Exchange? Lead Analyst @Antti_Viljakainen answers this question at the beginning of the video. Historical returns have at least been among the elite of the Helsinki Stock Exchange.

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Have I interpreted this correctly, but wasn’t Incap actually a beneficiary back when energy prices rose due to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine? A comprehensive report states the following about Incap’s largest customer (currently 30%): “The company’s products include inverters, chargers, batteries, solar panels, charge controllers, and accessories, among others.” Doesn’t the profitability and benefit of these products to the customer increase as energy prices rise? This demand was also reflected in Incap’s revenue at the time, which ultimately led to Victron’s overstocking and Incap’s profit warning when energy prices fell.

Is this interpretation close to the truth?

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Incap Group’s business review for January–March 2026 will be published on Thursday, 30 April 2026, at approximately 9:00 a.m. Reporting materials in Finnish and English will be available at that time on the company’s website at https://incapcorp.com/fi/raportit-ja-esitykset/.

Webcast
The company will hold a webcast in English on Thursday, 30 April 2026, starting at 11:00 a.m. The results will be presented by Incap Corporation’s President and CEO Otto Pukk and CFO Antti Pynnönen.

The live webcast can be followed at https://events.teams.microsoft.com/event/52cb15f0-d3c5-4828-999d-a44e79bad322@abb82829-72d6-49fe-9638-f934f5da4760.

During the event, questions can be asked through the Q&A function of the webcast platform. Questions can also be addressed to President and CEO Otto Pukk and CFO Antti Pynnönen here on the Inderes discussion forum. The answers will be published on the company’s website and in this thread.

The recording of the webcast will be available on the company’s website at https://incapcorp.com/fi/raportit-ja-esitykset/ later the same day.


Incap Group’s business review for January–March 2026 will be published on Thursday, 30 April 2026 at approximately 9:00 EEST. At that time, reporting materials in Finnish and English will be available on the company’s website at https://incapcorp.com/reports-and-presentations/.

Webcast
The company will hold a webcast on Thursday, 30 April 2026 at 11:00 EEST. The result will be presented by Incap Corporation’s President and CEO Otto Pukk and CFO Antti Pynnönen.

The live webcast can be followed at https://events.teams.microsoft.com/event/52cb15f0-d3c5-4828-999d-a44e79bad322@abb82829-72d6-49fe-9638-f934f5da4760.

During the webcast, questions can be asked through the webcast Q&A function. Questions can also be addressed to President and CEO Otto Pukk and CFO Antti Pynnönen here in the Inderes discussion forum. The answers will be published on the company’s website and in this thread.

The recording of the webcast will be available on the company’s website at https://incapcorp.com/reports-and-presentations/ later that day.

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Viljakainen provides a preview, as Incap reports its Q1 results on Thursday, April 30. :slight_smile:

We expect the report to show clear growth compared to the comparison period. Growth has been driven especially by the Lacon acquisition completed in February, as well as organic growth, which has picked up from the modest levels of the comparison period thanks to new customer projects in Europe and India. We estimate that operating profitability has remained stable at a strong level, although the integration of the acquisition may have caused some additional costs in Q1. We expect the company to reiterate its guidance despite increased geopolitical uncertainty. We are making no changes to the moderately valued Incap ahead of the Q1 report (2026e: EV/EBIT 8x).

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The Q1 report for Incap is approaching! :date:

Are you following the stock? I recommend checking out the Pinpoint tool at Inderes. It has recently been upgraded with new features to make market expectations easier to understand.

What’s new?

  • Analyst estimates: Compare your view with FactSet analyst estimates.

  • Comments: Read comments from other investors about their estimates (and submit your own if you want).

  • Track your performance: See your own accuracy and rankings over time (updated as soon as results are out).

  • Long-term forecasts: View and submit estimates for 2026–2028.

How it works:
Just enter your own Q1 estimates for Net Sales and EBIT. In return, you get instant access to the Pinpoint Consensus - currently based on 12 investors and 2 analysts. They are expecting the revenue to grow significantly due to acquisitions, and that the EBIT margin will remain stable compared to last year.

Check it out here:

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Incap announced its results, it didn’t seem to go quite as planned, Happy May Day to everyone regardless: Incap Oyj: Incap-konsernin liiketoimintakatsaus tammi–maaliskuulta 2026 (tilintarkastamaton) | Kauppalehti

January–March 2026 highlights
· Revenue for the first quarter of 2026 was EUR 56.0 million (1–3/2025: EUR 52.2 million). This was an increase of 7.3% from the comparison period.
· Revenue was negatively impacted by exchange rates and challenges in component availability. Organic growth excluding the impact of exchange rates remained unchanged.
· The acquisition of Lacon Group was completed, and Lacon Group’s figures have been consolidated into Incap Group’s reporting as of 20 February 2026.
· Comparable EBITA was EUR 5.2 million (EUR 6.0 million) or 9.2% of revenue (11.5%). This was a decrease of 14.2% from the comparison period.
· Operating profit (EBIT) was EUR 4.8 million (EUR 5.7 million) or 8.5% of revenue (11.0%). This was a decrease of 16.7% from the comparison period.
· Net profit for the period was EUR 3.9 million (EUR 3.8 million).
· Earnings per share were EUR 0.13 (EUR 0.13).

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