Aspo - Diversified Company

I noticed that Aspo doesn’t have its own thread yet, so let’s create one.

Aspo is one of the “last of the Mohicans” when it comes to conglomerates: Aspo owns four subsidiaries, the most significant being the shipping company ESL Shipping. The others are chemical distributor Telko, Leipurin, and Kauko. Aspo’s specialty is its strong focus on Russia and other eastern markets, from which many Finnish companies have withdrawn in recent years.

Looking at revenue and dividends, Aspo has sailed quite steadily over the last 10 years:

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Aspo is coming to ROAST tomorrow; you can post tough questions here: https://www.inderes.fi/fi/videot/roast-aspo-27112018

Note: the recording will be in the same place if you read this later.

Aspo’s comprehensive report is also still relatively current and can be found here: https://www.inderes.fi/fi/kahden-kerroksen-vakea-0

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For some reason, Aspo hasn’t sparked any discussion yet :slight_smile:

Yesterday, the company’s diversified story saw significant, though not entirely unexpected, news as Aspo writes down Kauko and its parts will be sold/restructured. Kauko has been the “problem child” of the Aspo family from the very beginning. Due to the write-down, the company also issued a negative outlook for the rest of the year.

Here’s Olli’s morning comment on the topic:

“We consider the controlled shutdown of Kauko to be the correct solution, as the company has been underperforming for a long time, and its operating profit has been around zero or slightly negative. Last summer, Kauko already ceased its loss-making software development operations.”

what does this Baker (Leipurin) do?

From Sauli’s March report:
“Leipurin is a service company that operates in the markets of bakery and confectionery products, the food industry, and, in accordance with its renewed strategy, also in the out-of-home (OOH) eating market. The solutions offered by Leipurin include product range development, recipes, raw materials, training, and equipment, all the way to point-of-sale design.”

I’ve been invested in Aspo since the previous CEO’s tenure, and after he moved to the board, Aki Ojanen has continued to advocate for shareholder interests. I like this kind of long-term perspective, and I’ve bought more shares for my portfolio during dips.

With interest rates now (perhaps) turning upwards, I’m a little concerned about the company’s debt, but they’ve always managed it before :blush:

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At least Aspo’s Annual General Meeting will be available on InderesTV next Tuesday :smiling_face_with_three_hearts: Aspon yhtiökokous 2019 9.4.2019 kello 10:00 alkaen - Inderes

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I wonder if the cranes are working yet… hopefully no surprises.

Aspo’s AGM interview tomorrow morning. Before that, here’s last year’s interview: https://www.inderes.fi/fi/file/aspo-yhtiokokous-2018-haastattelu

To the question “where Aspo needs to succeed during 2018”, the following answers were given:

  1. New ship investments must start generating returns (crane problems spoiled this)
  2. Telko must grow and profitability must improve (this was very successful, especially in profitability)
  3. Leipurin must continue its turnaround (mediocre performance, profitability improved but less than expected).
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wasn’t that last quarter pretty good both top and bottom line. those figures aren’t due to the new ifrs standard, are they?

It fell a little short of our expectations, as the comparison period was weak due to cold weather. IFRS16 only marginally increased operating profit by EUR 0.2 million. Below is what was expected.

How much do the repaired cranes affect Aspo’s results, now that they are being moved to transport steel where they were supposed to?

Hi. We commented on this in the update report Odotamme tuloskasvusta vielä konkretiaa - Inderes

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In the presentation video, the CEO said that the new vessels had been in use by SSAB for 1 month and were already producing, but only fully in Q3.

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At least Q3 clearly fell short of both our and consensus expectations. ESL’s earnings improvement was clearly more subdued than we expected, and counter-cyclical Telko’s earnings weakened significantly.

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7.80 and sell visible in the Aspo section, will the justification come tomorrow?

Comes to the morning

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I gave up on Kino yesterday at a good price of 8.6. I think I can buy back at a good level below 8. What would be a good one? 7.4 could be good.

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So would a level of 7.8 EUR be perfectly fine in Inderes’ opinion, or should it be lower?

If the acquisition of KaukoTelko resulted in nothing but experience, the share price probably wouldn’t be that high?

Yes, the KaukoTelko acquisition left a lot in hand. The arrangement made in 2008 was actually very good for the shareholders. Here are a couple of pictures from our extensive report (Tulosparannus yhä selvemmin varustamon harteilla - Inderes):

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ASPO Plc
Inside Information
November 20, 2019 at 2:45 p.m.

Profit Warning: Aspo Lowers Its 2019 Guidance

Aspo Plc has decided to lower its guidance for the full year 2019 based on its estimated results for the last quarter.

The reasons for lowering the guidance are significantly lower-than-expected transport volumes in the steel industry in the Group’s shipping business and a significant decrease in demand from industrial customers in Telko’s Western markets.

New guidance

Aspo’s operating profit in 2019 will be higher than in 2018 (EUR 20.6 million).

Old guidance

Aspo’s operating profit will be EUR 24–30 million (20.6) in 2019.

Aspo will publish its financial statements release for 2019 on February 13, 2020.

ASPO Plc

Aki Ojanen
CEO

Further information:
Aki Ojanen, CEO of Aspo Plc, tel. +358 9 5211, +358 400 106 592

DISTRIBUTION:
NASDAQ OMX Helsinki
Key media
www.aspo.fi

another warning. It was nice to exit at the 8.6 level. Soon I might consider buying, as long as the price gets LOW enough!

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