Amazon - When will growth limits be reached?

@Olli_Koponen and Amazon

https://twitter.com/Ollikopo/status/1785558485368709283

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Here is some more on how Amazon is doing. :slight_smile:

https://twitter.com/EconomyApp/status/1785406002155974830

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App Economy Insights on X: "$AMZN Amazon Q1 FY24: • Revenue +13% Y/Y to  $143B ($0.7B beat). • Operating margin 11% (+7pp Y/Y). • FCF $50B TTM. AWS:  • Revenue +17% Y/Y"

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This video predicted growth for Amazon’s logistics chain. Apparently, it’s a 100 billion dollar business.

Amazon is an interesting investment opportunity as there are numerous potential growth markets.

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Amazon’s cloud computing business unit has reached an annual revenue of $100 billion. :slight_smile:

https://twitter.com/StockMKTNewz/status/1788927683084108091

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Here is an interesting “pie chart” related to Amazon. :slight_smile:

https://twitter.com/namakookiro/status/1789136756144771076

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Amazon Web Services (AWS) CEO Adam Selipsky is stepping down on June 3 after three years, and will be replaced by Matt Garman. During his tenure, AWS’s revenue doubled to $90.8 billion and operating profit nearly doubled to $24.6 billion.

On the other hand, there has been dissatisfaction with AWS’s “AI development,” but AWS remains the leader in its field, at least in the United States.

While AWS has the largest share in the U.S. cloud market, its dominance is under pressure from Microsoft’s (MSFT.O), opens new tab fast-growing Azure service that is benefiting from AI offerings powered by its tie-up with OpenAI. And Alphabet’s (GOOGL.O), opens new tab Google is expected to roll out new AI services on Tuesday at its annual developer conference.

https://www.reuters.com/technology/amazons-cloud-unit-ceo-step-down-firm-says-2024-05-14/

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Christa N’Dure has written a good piece on Amazon. :slight_smile:

Although the competitive landscape continues to intensify, Amazon has a strong brand and a loyal customer base backing it. In the future, the company’s success will depend on how it can leverage data to provide better personalized service to customers.

Subheadings:

  1. Amazon’s founding and early stages
  2. Strategy development and expansion
  3. Competition and challenges along the way
  4. Amazon’s impact on the e-commerce industry
  5. Jeff Bezos’s leadership style and success factors have been key to Amazon’s success
  6. Jeff Bezos’s advice for entrepreneurs
  7. Future outlook for Amazon
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The article is nice, but it overlooks the fact that Amazon is more than just an online store. Namely, AWS, or Amazon’s cloud service platform, is a very important part of the business. This search result I dug up from Google illustrates it:
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Amazon’s pharmacy unit announced it is expanding its $5 monthly subscription service that covers generic medications. With the expansion, Amazon stated that more than 50 million more people will become eligible to use the service, known as RxPass, which was launched for Prime members in January 2023.

https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/amazon-pharmacy-expands-5-monthly-subscription-medicare-patients-2024-06-18/

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Amazon investors may be interested in Twitch’s job cuts, as they reflect financial pressures and restructuring within the broader company. Twitch has been unprofitable under Amazon’s ownership, and the layoff of 500 employees (35% of the workforce) signals a need for cost-cutting and increased efficiency.

This could impact Amazon’s long-term profitability and investor confidence. This news may also signal Amazon’s future plans regarding its streaming services.

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New traditional processor from Amazon:

Amazon’s AI-powered shopping assistant “Rufus” is now available to all U.S. users in the Amazon mobile app. It is a type of assistant located in the app’s bottom navigation bar; it helps with finding products, comparisons, and shopping recommendations.

Rufus was originally available in beta only to selected customers, but it is now accessible to everyone in the United States. The AI chatbot has been trained with Amazon’s products in mind, and it has also been developed based on customer reviews and other public information.

Customers can ask Rufus about products and get various recommendations. For example, they can ask what to consider when buying headphones or what products are needed to start an indoor garden. Rufus also provides information on fashion and technology trends and helps, among other things, to check delivery times for current orders.

I cannot assess the significance of Rufus when considering Amazon as an investment. :slight_smile: Those surprised by this are… Juha Mieto.

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Here is an article from Salkunrakentaja about Amazon. :slight_smile:

Analysts are not letting past price performance distract them, however; instead, they are looking at the company’s prospects and still consider the stock a buy.

All 44 analysts following the company give Amazon shares a buy recommendation, according to the TipRanks website, which rates analysts and companies.

Subheadings:

  1. Expecting a strong second-quarter earnings report
  2. High valuation multiple with high growth
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Below are a couple of tweets regarding Amazon’s “valuations”. :slight_smile:

https://x.com/RihardJarc/status/1816877411469766959

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https://x.com/RihardJarc/status/1816877414561022426

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Amazon’s stock has risen to staggering heights, and analysts have been quite positive about it. It is still seen as interesting, even though the stock has risen significantly. The technology sector has experienced difficulties, but Amazon has stood out – after all, the company represents that sector too, in a way.

Why Amazon?

  • Amazon’s cloud computing business AWS is growing at a staggering pace and is the company’s most important source of income.
  • Amazon’s advertising business is also seeing strong growth.
  • Amazon has succeeded in improving its operations and reducing costs. Dominant, yet flexible…
  • Amazon continues to grow its market share in global e-commerce.
  • Analysts still expect Amazon’s earnings to grow strongly in the coming years, and if difficult times arise, one would believe they would be easier for it than for others.

Amazon’s stock is more expensive than most other stocks, but its high valuation multiple is justified by strong growth and its position. According to analysts, Amazon’s stock could continue to rise for a long time.

Summary

Strong growth, efficient operations, and a positive future outlook make Amazon interesting. How many of us have refrained from buying something because it has already risen so much and can’t possibly go up anymore? :smiley:

And yes, generative AI (GenAI) is a significant growth driver for AWS, and the company has invested in it and continues to do so.


All right, why shouldn’t the Rookie buy this for their portfolio? :slight_smile: Do Twitch’s problems and cuts reflect something? Everyone is so bullish and wild about this. :open_mouth:


EDIT:

Conveniently came across this mini-tweet thread, which, on the other hand, doesn’t answer my questions:

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Rest of the tweet thread

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Both good and bad things were said about Amazon’s results.

Looking at comments from various sources, there weren’t exactly any fireworks relative to expectations, but holders were hardly spooked.:slightly_smiling_face:

In short: solid performance, but market expectations were quite high.

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A brief article about Amazon can be found on the Sijoittaja.fi website.

Amazon is facing competition particularly due to Chinese Temu and Shein. According to Amazon, consumers have switched to cheaper products, and this was, according to them, also a partial reason for the weaker revenue.

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An interesting tweet from Arhi Kivilahti about Amazon, and I also included a link to the article there. :slight_smile:

Amazon has gradually transformed from a retail giant into a “platform business,” which has boosted its growth and profitability. Amazon should apparently be compared more to Chinese marketplaces than to traditional retailers.

https://x.com/ArhiKivilahti/status/1820694997806534717

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And here is the link:

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Expectations for the company are high. :slight_smile:

https://x.com/Beth_Kindig/status/1825916755400610220

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Amazon responds to competition from Temu.

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Amazon is being compared to MercadoLibre, which is Latin America’s largest e-commerce and marketplace platform, offering shopping, selling, and payment services.

https://x.com/ZeevyInvesting/status/1830206874790076672

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In my opinion, the only correct response to these is “Amazon is the Amazon of X country” when someone advertises a new online store that is going to be the “Amazon of X country.”

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